Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.
FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.
Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.
Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.
The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.
Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.
As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.
Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
The base is about obliterated and you are calling the warnings of the hurricane “hype”?
A few people died, big deal?
I’ll bet you also think the warnings in the Bible about the end times are hype as well.
Do us all a favor and keep your ignorant self off hurricane threads in the future if you despise them so much.
That does not sound good.
Keep us posted as to what you find out.
Like they need more rain.
Mr mm and I were discussing a trip to FL and trying to find some place to stay.
After last year, prices have gone up and the places we want to stay, accommodations are scarce.
I actually thought about looking into a vacation rental in the pan handle.
From NHC:
000
WTNT44 KNHC 112053
TCDAT4
Tropical Storm Michael Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
500 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018
Satellite and radar data show that Michael’s rain shield is
beginning to expand northward and northwestward, and that cooler and
drier air is starting to wrap around the western portion of the
circulation. These trends indicate that Michael’s transition to an
extratropical low has started. There have been recent observations
of 40 to nearly 45 kt sustained winds along the southeastern coast
of North Carolina, so the initial intensity remains 45 kt. Little
change in strength is expected through this evening, but Michael is
forecast to quickly intensify after it completes extratropical
transition and exits the east coast of the United States tonight.
The official intensity forecast is based on guidance from the NOAA
Ocean Prediction Center.
It should also be noted that an area of damaging wind gusts of up to
50 kt has developed around the northwest side of the circulation
over central North Carolina and Virginia this afternoon. As a
result, the gust factor has been increased in this advisory, as this
area of strong winds will spread northward and eastward across
portions of eastern Virginia and northeastern North Carolina this
evening and tonight.
Michael is moving northeastward or 050/21 kt. The storm will
continue to accelerate as it become further embedded within the
mid-latitude westerlies. The post-tropical cyclone will race
across the north Atlantic during the next few days, before slowing
down late in the period before it weakens and dissipates. The
track guidance continues to be in good agreement and little change
was required from the previous NHC track forecast.
Gale- to storm-force winds are expected over portions of the
Mid-Atlantic coast as Michael exits the U.S. east coast and becomes
post-tropical. Non-tropical high wind watches, warnings, and
advisories have been issued by local NWS offices for wind hazards in
these areas north of Duck, North Carolina.
Key Messages:
1. Life-threatening flash flooding is occurring over portions of
North Carolina and southern Virginia and will continue through the
evening.
2. Damaging winds are spreading eastward across portions of central
and eastern North Carolina, and will continue through this evening.
These winds have the potential to cause tree and structural damage.
Strong winds are also expected over portions of southeastern
Virginia and the Virginia Eastern Shore tonight as Michael becomes
post-tropical.
3. Dangerous storm surge is possible tonight along the sound side of
the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet to Duck, where a
Storm Surge Watch is in effect.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/2100Z 36.1N 78.8W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
12H 12/0600Z 38.1N 74.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 12/1800Z 41.2N 66.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 13/0600Z 44.5N 55.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 13/1800Z 47.0N 42.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 14/1800Z 48.5N 17.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 15/1800Z 46.5N 7.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brown
Yes, Michael has left its mark on North Carolina, though thankfully not in the same places as Florence left its mark.
Thousands of trees down in NC today and hundreds of thousands without power. One death. Western NC was especially hard hit. Over 100 roads closed, many in the mountains of NC.
I am in central NC (near Raleigh). I did not lose power today but heard transformers “blow” several times and had flickering lights and a message from Duke Energy that over 200 residents in my area had lost power. And that is just one small potato.
Several reporters from local station WRAL just barely missed being hit by trees coming down near them as they were out reporting on the damage.
It seems to be finally over. SO GLAD and heartfelt sorrows for those in Florida who lost so much!
surreal!
Well, we made it through the storm here on the GA/AL border with a 16 hour power outage and a yellow pine across the road that blocked everyone’s exit. We each burned a vacation day and stayed indoors until the sun came out. The yard is a carpet of sweetgum leaves, tree branches, and pine straw, but we otherwise made it out OK. Prayers up for those folks in the Panama City area who went through what they did. Ours was a kiddie ride compared to their Roller Coaster From Hell.
Thanks for your local report! Glad to know you made it through safely and your electricity is restored. Sounds like autumn leaf raking came a few weeks early this year.
Thanks for your local report.
We lucked out and never did lose power. Had a lot of rain and very windy at times.
I busted a hump all last weekend to get our 1.2 acres spiffied up before the storm hit. Even took the leaf blower to the driveway and sidewalk. Now, you can’t tell where the yard stops and the concrete begins. LOL
Is it wet over there
Very very distressing! Prayers up for all Mexico Beach residents.
“You know, only 3% of the people in the path of the hurricane reported had flood insurance”
Do you know anything about flood insurance? It’s very expensive to start with and if you’re lucky it may pay up to %70 of loss.Many can’t afford it and many who can, roll the dice
You went from challenging the wind speeds to dozens of tangents over the last few days, A total nutcase
GREENSBORO, N.C. — Greensboro Mayor Nancy Vaughan declared a
State of Emergency on Thursday afternoon in response flooding and
winds from Tropical Storm Michael.
The State of Emergency was declared in conjunction with Guilford
County at about 3:30 p.m., according to a city press release.
More than 88,000 people were without power on Thursday in Guilford
County. There were more than 388,000 without power in North Carolina.
FOX 8 Greensboro
Usually hurricane winds will uproot trees. Trees snapped off ten feet off the ground are from tornadic winds. When a hurricane has winds as strong as this one, there’s not much difference between the two.Storm researchers look at things like ground scouring and bark scouring to determine winds speeds and types of wind(straight line, cyclonic. This one will be studied closely
Oh my goodness! How bout that, eh? You never know about rumors...
Been out all evening and coming home reflected on how fortunate I am to have a home to come to, with electricity, food and clean water, ice, and my dear corgi. The things I work for, but take take for granted. Thank God for all the good, and notice it...
Heartbreaking. I’m going through closets and cabinets to donate clothing and supplies.
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