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Hurricane Michael
NHC/NOAA ^
| 6 October 2018
| NHC/NOAA
Posted on 10/07/2018 10:07:16 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Mitchell: The NHC has issued a Public Advisory Update indicating Tropical Storm Mitchell has formed about 90 miles South of Cozumel, Mexico. Current forecast predicts Mitchell will reach hurricane strength in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall in the Northern GOM. Landfall is estimated by 96 hours.
Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanemichael; michael; nautinurse; storm; tropical; tropicalstorms
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To: Arkansas Tider
If it’s still there.........................
81
posted on
10/08/2018 6:55:17 AM PDT
by
Red Badger
(Q............PREPARE FOR 'SKY IS FALLING' WEEK...........................)
To: NautiNurse
Thread bumped to Breaking News with threat of U.S. landfall, please post any subsequent update threads there as well.
To: NautiNurse
83
posted on
10/08/2018 7:32:56 AM PDT
by
Rennes Templar
(Trump: America First. Obama: Quran First. Clintons: Money First)
To: NautiNurse
I’m in the coastal panhandle. Forecast track seems to have shifted west since last night, am I right?
84
posted on
10/08/2018 7:36:44 AM PDT
by
clintonh8r
(Truth is hate speech to those who hate the truth.)
To: NonValueAdded
Today is very rainy and windy here in SE Florida.
To: Jacquerie
I hope it weakens for you. I just Saturday paid for a rental on the Cape for the first two weeks in November. The house I usually rent in Indian Pass wasn’t available.
Anyway, good luck, and I’ll pray for all in the path.
86
posted on
10/08/2018 7:46:24 AM PDT
by
americas.best.days...
( Donald John Trump has pulled the sword from the stone.)
To: NautiNurse
Two little strings go toward the Tampa Bay area...
Thanks for the ping.
87
posted on
10/08/2018 7:53:09 AM PDT
by
GOPJ
(If a Supreme Court justice can't be presumed innocent, what hope do the rest of us have? -Greenfield)
To: NautiNurse
To: Red Badger
Michael has been upgraded to a hurricane at the 11am advisory, and now is forecast to be a 120mph major at landfall.
89
posted on
10/08/2018 7:53:12 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
To: clintonh8r
Can't vouch for last night (was watching baseball), but here's the latest... and it appears that convergence is happening with the models.
If you're within 100 miles of Appalachicola, I'd prepare QUICKLY for a major hurricane strike.
90
posted on
10/08/2018 7:56:47 AM PDT
by
alancarp
(George Orwell was an optimist.)
To: alancarp
BULLETIN
Hurricane Michael Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 08 2018
...MICHAEL BECOMES A HURRICANE AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING EXPECTED... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA...
...RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND DANGEROUS WINDS INCREASING FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.2N 84.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM ENE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT (
snipped to US interests only):
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Navarre Florida to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama-Florida border to Suwannee River Florida
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay
* Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Michael was located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 84.9 West. Michael is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected through Tuesday night, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move northward near the western tip of Cuba this afternoon and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by tonight. Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday and Tuesday night, and is
expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday.
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and
Michael is forecast to become a major hurricane by Tuesday or Tuesday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force Reserve reconnaissance data is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
91
posted on
10/08/2018 8:04:43 AM PDT
by
alancarp
(George Orwell was an optimist.)
To: alancarp
Okay West Florida - you have 48 hours. Go time.
92
posted on
10/08/2018 8:05:50 AM PDT
by
alancarp
(George Orwell was an optimist.)
To: dirtboy
Thank you!...................Better batten down the hatches!...............
93
posted on
10/08/2018 8:12:59 AM PDT
by
Red Badger
(Q............PREPARE FOR 'SKY IS FALLING' WEEK...........................)
To: NautiNurse; All
94
posted on
10/08/2018 8:24:34 AM PDT
by
Diana in Wisconsin
(I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
To: All
Election possibility : A cat 3 may mean no power for weeks in some spots in a very red area of Florida
To: NautiNurse
The actor playing McConnell on Saturday night live was a dead ringer. Pretty funny indeed.
96
posted on
10/08/2018 8:27:34 AM PDT
by
Yaelle
To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Michael becomes a hurricane and continued strengthening expected...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 50 MI...S of of the Western Tip of Cuba
About 140 MI...ENE of Cozumel, Mexico
Maximum Sustained Winds...75 MPH
Present Movement...N at 7 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...982 MB...
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
97
posted on
10/08/2018 8:33:15 AM PDT
by
NautiNurse
(Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
To: All
98
posted on
10/08/2018 8:33:59 AM PDT
by
cll
(Serviam!)
To: alancarp
Thank you for covering while I was out-of-pocket! Thanks too for whomever updated the thread title, etc. !!! What a team!
99
posted on
10/08/2018 8:35:28 AM PDT
by
NautiNurse
(Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
To: All
100
posted on
10/08/2018 8:38:36 AM PDT
by
NautiNurse
(Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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