Posted on 09/05/2018 6:26:11 AM PDT by vannrox
It is a typical knee jerk reaction of the poorly informed.
Wishful thinking.
We know darn well that voter fraud will be a big part of any confidence the Democrats have of winning the house.
AZ Senate Primary
GOP total vote 647,163 (56%)
DEM total vote 501856 (44%)
GOP + 145,307 Outstanding result
Florida Governor Primary
GOP total vote 1,618,473
DEM total vote 1,509,960
GOP + 108,513 Outstanding result
“Signs” are still growing for Hillary Clintoon to win the presidency in 2016! It can happen! Don’t give up! ROTFL.
Yes like a 4.2 GDP now predicted to be 4.7% 56% of voters say Democrats out of step. NO WHITES NEED APPLY sigsn on Dem HQs, Sanctuary cities raising taxes open borders promises to impeach President Trump and free stuff for all what’s there to stop them?
I agree. Vote first, then look in the bag.
My worry is that these articles (becoming much more frequent) are the staging ground as cover for massive voter fraud in the mid-terms.Plus, if the Republicans prevail, the libs can continue their "RUSSIA! RUSSIA!" caterwauling.
Win-win.
“Signs grow for democrat blue wave in house”
Sigh, how can you “grow” something that, according to the democrats and media has been full grown for over a year? Meaning, this same damn story has been printed again and again and again and again aaaaaaand again for over a year.
Seems to me that if this were so “in the bag” the democrats would not need to keep telling everyone it was. But at the core of this “wave” hysteria is the reliance on historical data wherein a sitting President’s party typically loses seats in midterms. What has not been count d on by the media is that this President is not typical and the democrats put impeachment on the agenda.
Generic balloting for a “wave” is usually a lot bigger than 5 points. Wave, don’t think so. The GOP retains the House, barely.
“The methodology of every poll I’ve seen has been...suspect.”
Last night, I was watching One America News. The subject was yesterday’s ABC poll showing Dems with a 15 pt advantage. They had a former trump pollster on and was asking him about it.
He said that as far as he was concerned, the poll had some very flawed methodology - especially as it pertained to making contact with voters and then extrapolating the numbers from those who were polled.
He did bring up an mildly alarming point as it pertains to Texas and the US Senate race there. He did note that although more Republicans voted in the primary, overall new voter registrations are favoring the Dems at a 2 to 1 margin.
+1
Right now the perception that I'm seeing are Democrats working their asses off to mobilize every last voter while Republicans seemingly aren't too concerned. "Don't believe the polls!" they tell us. "They all said Hillary would win!"
They forget that Hillary lost because she became complacent and lazy while Trump scraped and clawed for every last vote.
The only poll that matters is 8 weeks from next Tuesday.
In 2006, more people had land-lines, and conservatives were more likely to answer poll calls.
With the GOP refusing to recognize that they need more than their midterm base to beat back the highly motivated Democrat voters, they are likely going to lose the house, because without those non traditional MAGA voters showing up, they will lose a LOT of purple and pink districts this fall.
The Senate isn’t in play, GOP will win several seats in the senate... 6+ is what I see right now... but I admit I am being a bit optimistic.
Sadly the GOP’s only hope for holding the house is the Dems so overplaying their hands that their behavior engages and motivates those non traditional MAGA voters to show up, because the GOP sure as hell is doing nothing to even speak to them let alone get them engaged.
If that happens R’s will hold and could even gain seats in the house as well... but this stupid stupid belief that the same old 20 year old messaging that never got those folks to show up before is suddenly going to get them to this year, that the GOP seems to be relying on is not going to work.
Hell I would not be surprised if 10-15 house seats flipped just in the upper midwest/rust belt alone from GOP to D. Trump showed them how to win, and they just completely ignored the lessons.
Time will tell, the Kavanaugh hearings are a fustercluck and will anger that non traditional base.. but its only early sept... too far away from election day to likely keep the anger going.... D’s openly run on impeachment, and that would engage the non traditional MAGA voters...
We’ll see how it goes down... But yes, the Senate is NOT in play.... anyone telling you there is a calculus for the D’s retaking the Senate is either a complete ignoramus or a flat out liar. R’s will gain in the Senate regardless of how the rest of this plays out.
You say that like it's a bad thing.
What you fail to appreciate is that to the left/liberals, no amount of exposure of their corruption and malfeasance is enough to get them to NOT vote for dems.
Look no further than the fact that despite the massive failures and deaths caused by socialism, the left/liberals still think it is a good idea, and that it can work.
Remember how bigly Hellary was predicted to beat Trump in 2016. If we all get out and vote like we did in 2016 we will make a RED wave, and prove them wrong AGAIN.
The methodology of every poll I’ve seen has been...suspect. I figure if there was really good news to be had, they wouldn’t need to cook the polls.
++++++
I’m very inclined to agree with you on the “cooking the books” issue. The obvious cheats are:
Over polling Democrats.
Polling registered voters rather than likely voters.
Weighting of the results by the pollster based on gut feel.
Those look like the biggies to me. They are all real. They happen routinely.
Its a 2016 redo .
The US media needs to charged under the Rico and Treason acts .
They are dangerously like Mao Cultural Revolution nutters and so are tye Rat party .
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