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Lamb vs. Saccone Special Election PA18
NY Times ^ | March 13, 2018

Posted on 03/13/2018 5:16:01 PM PDT by Pinkbell

A thread to discuss the results.

I feel like Lamb has a lot of momentum, has run as a moderate, and has run a better campaign. I'll predict he'll win tonight (although I'd like to see Saccone win).

NYT does a good job with election results.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 18thdistrict; conorlamb; lamb; pa2018; paspecialelection; pennsylvania; ricksaccone; saccone; trump
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To: NutsOnYew

is that the liberal area of the district?


61 posted on 03/13/2018 5:49:44 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: dictatorMA

Time for Ronna Romney McDaniel to walk the plank.


62 posted on 03/13/2018 5:49:54 PM PDT by txhurl (The Final Thunderdome: Two Americas enter, One America leaves.)
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To: Theodore R.

Losing by 3,317 with 60 precincts (10 percent of the total)


63 posted on 03/13/2018 5:50:48 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: NFHale

Yeah, but just last night on Facebook I was talking to a couple of buds of mine from the 101st, one of whom was/is a flaming liberal.

We used to have knockdown drag-outs when Reagan was President.

So, they do exist.


64 posted on 03/13/2018 5:51:04 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Democrat laws and regulations kill people.)
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To: bigbob
I love Trump, I really do; I even have his sticker on my car. (How many of you can say that?)

But he turns off a lot of people ... I will stick with him ... but I’m just sayin ...

65 posted on 03/13/2018 5:51:18 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: romanesq

Yep. I knew Lamb might win the same way I knew that Moore was going to lose. People said there were Jones signs all over the place, and they weren’t seeing Moore signs. I was reading the same reports this time.


66 posted on 03/13/2018 5:52:09 PM PDT by Pinkbell
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To: SoFloFreeper

Yeah. I live in the area ... I kind of know it, but I’m not an expert. I think Saccone will pull this out ... Lamb isn’t getting the numbers I thought he’d get in some areas. please don’t get too excited as I am a layman, but I think Lamb might not make it :-).

The Dems are certainly going to get their narrative though ... even if they lose.


67 posted on 03/13/2018 5:52:58 PM PDT by edh
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To: SoFloFreeper
Yep, Lambs best county.

There are going to be about 230,000 total votes, so be patient.

68 posted on 03/13/2018 5:53:13 PM PDT by NutsOnYew (If the world was perfect, it wouldn't be.)
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To: Theodore R.

Losing by 4,356 with 76 precincts, heavily Allegheny returns


69 posted on 03/13/2018 5:53:37 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: txhurl

Why? Was she the one who pissed off the steelworkers enough to go work for the Democrat? Was she the one who was too lazy to raise money? Is she the one who is so uninspiring that Trump voters don’t care if she wins?


70 posted on 03/13/2018 5:53:50 PM PDT by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust Sessions. The Great Awakening is at hand...MAGA!)
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To: Theodore R.

NYT’s prediction meter now has this as a tossup.

I guess that means that there’s more red districts left than blue...


71 posted on 03/13/2018 5:55:00 PM PDT by JPJones (More tariffs, less income tax.)
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To: edh

You’re right. He’s not getting the numbers. From what I’m looking at, Saccone is very likely to take this.


72 posted on 03/13/2018 5:55:13 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm
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To: edh

Hope you’re right ... we need this one badly ...


73 posted on 03/13/2018 5:55:17 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Pennsylvania, like everything else in this country, is politically divided. It has nothing to do with liking or disliking President Trump.


74 posted on 03/13/2018 5:55:28 PM PDT by Southnsoul
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To: Theodore R.

The question will be whether Lamb can run out fast enough and hide. The votes out favor Saccone but not sure there are enough of them.


75 posted on 03/13/2018 5:55:47 PM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: 11th_VA

Right now, NYT is estimating 49.9% to 49.6%. R to win.

Its still early.


76 posted on 03/13/2018 5:56:16 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: NohSpinZone; Sacajaweau

Go to the NYT map.....it is mostly in Allegheny area....most of the red areas haven’t been counted.


77 posted on 03/13/2018 5:56:33 PM PDT by originalbuckeye ('In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act'- George Orwell.)
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To: Theodore R.

“Losing by 4,356 with 76 precincts, heavily Allegheny returns”

Lamb doesn’t appear to be doing what he needs to be doing in the parts of Washington County that are coming in (i.e. city of Washington). I still think Saccone has a shot though this is *ridiculously* close so far.

I’m happy to report that where I live is solid red by a 40% margin :-) (it is so refreshing to say that having lived in one of the blue areas on the map for a long time ... saw it drift from a ridiculously nice, picturesque small town to “on the verge” ... only took 20 years too).


78 posted on 03/13/2018 5:57:00 PM PDT by edh
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Now 50.1% to 49.3%. R to win


79 posted on 03/13/2018 5:57:24 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: edh

“I kind of know it, but I’m not an expert. I think Saccone will pull this out ... Lamb isn’t getting the numbers I thought he’d get in some areas.”

Thank you for this glimmer of light. Even with the big lead for Lamb, the NY Times just backed off on predictor arrows and is back at a dead heat.

You must have hit it right on the head. The Lame numbers in Alleghany are not coming in where needed. That’s the indicator for the moment.


80 posted on 03/13/2018 5:57:28 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama.)
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