Posted on 01/10/2018 8:41:48 PM PST by 11th_VA
Next Tuesday’s special Senate election in northwestern Wisconsin will be the first indicator of whether a surge in Democratic electoral success last year around the country is coming to Wisconsin in 2018.
In the wake of President Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, and a tumultuous first year in office in which his job approval rating plummeted, Democrats received more votes than expected in state and federal special elections last year, even in races they lost, according to multiple reports.
There were 98 special legislative elections last year across the country, with Democrats picking up 11 seats held by Republicans, according to election-tracking website ballotpedia.com. That was the biggest gain for Democrats in at least seven years.
The political number-crunchers at fivethirtyeight.com reviewed the 2017 results and previous voting history in each district and found the Democratic vote total in special elections was 12 points higher than in previous elections.
Pollsters at ALG Research, a Washington-based research company that works with Democrats including Barack Obama’s campaign, drew a similar conclusion. They found Democrats in legislative special elections last year improved upon Obama’s 2012 vote percentage difference versus Mitt Romney in those same districts by 6 points and Hillary Clinton’s 2016 vote percentage difference versus Donald Trump in those districts by 12.1 points.
It’s unclear whether that Democratic voter enthusiasm will translate to a win in Wisconsin’s 10th Senate District. Obama lost the district by 6 points in 2012 and Clinton lost it by 17 points in 2016.
Next week’s special election pits Rep. Adam Jarchow, R-Balsam Lake, against St. Croix County medical examiner and Somerset School Board member Patty Schachtner, a Democrat from the town of Star Prairie who appeared on a 2006 episode of the reality TV show “Wife Swap.” Libertarian candidate Brian Corriea is also on the ballot.
(Excerpt) Read more at host.madison.com ...
What surge in Democrat electoral success?
They lost special election after special election. They won one or two, and that’s supposed to be the total record?
LOL
Except for Moore, they’ve had a long string of bad luck.
Most people don’t realize that Mitt Romney got more votes in Wisconsin than Trump got - and Mitt lost the state.
They even lost the recount in VA and 90% of the time, they win those..
even the coin toss went the wrong way for them.
I think some blacks in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania voted for Trump simply by staying home.
That’s the way they wanted to do it.... and that’s just fine by me.
What, they couldn’t get HRC down there to make the toss. I hear she’s really good at them, having won six in a row in Iowa.
Yup, Democrats winning everywhere!!!!!!
..../.....s....
His predecessor was Republican. That gives some hope.
It's like when they said the Scott Walker recall election in June 2012 was a "national bellwether," and that Walker winning was good news for Mitt Romney. Obviously that was a load of bologna.
Well, they’ve won 10% of them!
That illustrates the problem when your facing a candidate that is a great activator, that generates turnout like Obama did.
In Wisconsin in the fall the good news is that Walker is on the ballot, and in a different manner he generates GOP turnout. How that will play for the GOP candidate running against the awful Tammy Baldwin, I dunno. I am hoping she is retired.
LOL
Good one...
LOL
Now we’re talkin’.
you post that as if Romney got thousands more when he got 2K more than DJT which is within the recount margin, which means it’s meaningless and not worth mentioning.
Trump got 47% of the vote and Romney 45%.
Trump had to deal with 3.58% of the vote going for the libertarian with 100K votes. In 2012 the closest candidate to Obama and Romney only got 20K votes.
Romney did not have the same luck with Obama.
Your analysis of the Libertarian vote does not apply to the 2016 election.
In 2016, the Libertarian candidate for president publicly campaigned for Open Borders and Amnesty.
In 2016, the Libertarian candidate for vice president publicly stated he would vote for Hillary Clinton if he was not on the Libertarian ticket.
Trump would have been lucky to get 50% of the Libertarian vote in 2016.
On the other hand, the always hard left Green Party had record turnout in Wisconsin in 2016, and their 31,000 votes would have won the state for Clinton.
If some visionary had advised the Green Party that Trump would win the election, 90% of them would have switched their vote to Clinton.
To better understand "THE MASTER KEY" to stealing elections with computers, watch: 
Bennie Smith, a Memphis computer programmer, discovered HOW this is done through aDidn’t Wisconsin put in some kind of voter ID to reduce fraud as well ?
Our county row offices were dominated by Democrats since the Eisenhower administration closed. The disgust with ObaMao was so high by the 2011 elections that the Republicans swept them all.
They are now back to roughly the same 60-40 split which reflects party registration in the country. Westmoreland County is very old school Democrat . . . Trump carried it by more than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Thanks for the post. Nice job.
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