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Will Nuclear North Korea Survive 2018?
Townhall.com ^ | January 4, 2017 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 01/04/2018 5:15:45 AM PST by Kaslin

For good or evil, we may see radical changes in North Korea in 2018.

The beefed-up United Nations sanctions by midyear could lead to widespread North Korean hunger, as well as the virtual end of the country's industry and transportation.

In the past, the West had called off such existential sanctions and rushed in cash and humanitarian aid on news of growing starvation. Would it now if the bleak alternative was a lunatic's nuclear missile possibly striking San Diego or Seattle?

To survive an unending trade embargo -- and perhaps to avoid a coup -- Kim Jong Un would likely either have to recalibrate his nuclear program or consider using it.

China has always been unwilling to give up pit bull North Korea as its client. The Kim dynasty has proved especially useful over the past 30 years for aggravating and distracting the Chinese communist government's archenemy, Japan, and its chief rival, the United States.

Yet China is now worried that the Donald Trump administration is as unfathomable as the prior Obama administration's strategic patience doctrine was predictable.

Beijing's sponsorship of the rogue nuclear regime in North Korea could increasingly become bad business, given global anxieties over the many possible trajectories of North Korea nuclear missiles.

What are some likely scenarios for 2018?

1) The status quo. China may loudly proclaim that it is following U.N. commercial sanctions while it secretly offers just enough sanction-busting aid to keep Kim Jong Un afloat. It might use its leverage to force Kim to cool his nuclear rhetoric -- even as it stealthily supplies embargoed fuel and food.

(Excerpt) Read more at townhall.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: 2018issues; nknukes; northkorea; trumpasia; uselessnations; vdh

1 posted on 01/04/2018 5:15:45 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: aposiopetic; bestintxas; Bodega; BroJoeK; carolinablonde; COBOL2Java; DuncanWaring; EXCH54FE; ...

Victor Davis Hanson Column


Please Freepmail me, if you want to be added, or removed from the ping list

2 posted on 01/04/2018 5:17:02 AM PST by Kaslin (Quid est Veritas?: What Is Truth?)
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To: Kaslin

At some point, I think China is going to talk to some of the generals and arrange a coup to occur. It’ll be made to look like some car-accident or heart-attack. Then some committee will meet and shrink the whole thing down to a manageable state. This drama-by-week isn’t really resolving much of anything.


3 posted on 01/04/2018 5:33:23 AM PST by pepsionice
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To: pepsionice

It is a race against time for Kim and China. They will both wait until after the 2018 elections to see if the Democrats take back the House and Senate.


4 posted on 01/04/2018 5:47:05 AM PST by EQAndyBuzz (Delusional - Adjective, Describes a Democrat or member of the MSM)
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To: Kaslin

Lessee...

...do I want my people to STARVE; or glow in the dark??


5 posted on 01/04/2018 5:48:13 AM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
They will both wait until after the 2018 elections to see if the Democrats take back the House and Senate.

I think they alREADY know this.

Much better than the American people; fed by leftist pap; do!

6 posted on 01/04/2018 5:49:50 AM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Kaslin
Will Nuclear North Korea Survive 2018?

North Korea shouldn't have survived 1951.

7 posted on 01/04/2018 6:02:33 AM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: Kaslin; TigerLikesRooster

Very interesting article.

North Korea: A gulag disguised as a nation...


8 posted on 01/04/2018 6:40:21 AM PST by COBOL2Java (Arguing with the left is like trying to reason with a crazy bum hearing voices)
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To: Kaslin
Yes,it will...simply because the Butchers of Beijing will make sure of it.This dangerous psychopath knows it.He is so useful to Beijing in so many ways that the Butchers are surely laughing (quietly) over what's been going on recently.
9 posted on 01/04/2018 9:06:40 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (Remember: All Cultures Are Equal!)
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