A Republican winning the governor’s race in NJ? Anything is possible but the demographics make it a tall order.
Big liberal cities outvote the state’s rural areas and small towns.
After two terms of Christie, another GOP win is unlikely.
A win in Virginia will be a superior night. A win in New Jersey will be an earthquake of goodness. If we lose both, I will be very depressed. There is no reason for us to lose Virginia during an off off year. Democrats are not going to show up in numbers from 2014 even much less then in 2016.
Unless we are pitting solid conservatives against the left, these elections should not be considered bell cows.