Posted on 10/19/2017 6:06:02 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
Republican Roy Moore leads Democrat Doug Jones by 11 percentage points in a new Raycom News Network Senate Election poll conducted by Strategy Research.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.wbrc.com ...
This poll appears to have changed drastically in the last two days. First, the two were tied, now Moore is ahead.
Didn’t look closer, but it does confirm that our doubt in pollsters is not without justification.
(Although I’m very very glad that Moore is ahead - if he indeed is.)
Polls. Three days ago FOX aired one that had Moore 8 points behind. That’s a 19-point spread. Polls... secret sauce (adjusting for prior turnout)... pollsters.
Go, Roy.
I’m looking forward to seeing how much money McConnell will spend in this race. If the primary is worth $10 million to him you think he would spend a similar amount in the general against a DEMOCRAT. Right?
The D/R/I sampling in the Fox poll was a joke.
Can’t be. I just read that the Republican majority is in danger because we picked far right wacko candidates in the primaries.
Do I really need a sarc/???
The sampling usually is a joke.
It’s usually transparently motivated. More importantly, it uses past performance adjustments to compensate for having too small a sample. If you blindly sampled ten times as many people, the party selection bias would be markedly reduced.
It wouldn't surprise me if he spent $10 million.
It would surprise me if he spent it AGAINST the democrat.
Fox had a poll that had him 8 points behind? Can you provide a link to that?
No, he was ahead all along.
The other poll was a anomaly or just a flat out fraud.
He was ten ahead about 10 days ago, and I knew yesterday’s was for effect.
I said as much, and this seems to confirm it.
I wasn’t the only one saying so.
Waste of money on a failing effort...would have been much better suited for October 2018. $10 million is not chump change - imagine if that was spent, for example, in Michigan against Debbie Stabenow instead of in an intra-party battle.
This is a different polling outfit.
The Fox poll showing a tie was dog feces.
No, I can’t provide a link. But, pretty I’m sure I saw it announced last week.
Now, I did a quick internet check before replying, and there’s a more recent poll which has it tied at 42-42 as of a couple of days ago. Sorry.
Facebook seems to be populated by middle aged folks-———the kids are rarely there now.
.
Three days ago, eh?
Meanwhile, Shemp Smith was crowing that a new Fox News poll today had Moore and Jones neck and neck. Figured that one is fishy.
What ive discovered about polls is.....
If the republican is leading by 1..they win by 10...
If the democrat is leading by 1..they win by 1...with a 123% turnout...
The Fox poll showed a tie. But, it’s a Registered Voter poll. This being an off-year, special election, that poll is probably off by a lot. Taking all the polls into account, the new one, and the four in the RealClear average, Judge Moore is ahead by 6 or 7 points. Let’s see what kind of money the Democrats throw into this race. I’d be happy is they spent $5 or 10 million, and we won by 1 vote.
Push polls in Alabama who show this close are delusional. The Republican senate funds spent 4-5 million trying to get Strange the nomination and then left Moore on his own when they lost their “man”. Anyone send a few bucks to Moore if you can. No money = close. We need to low this out of the water.
No way will Alabama vote a democrats into statewide office. Demo = pro gay, pro abortion, anti second, anti free speech, anti personal freedom, anti Christian. It will never happen. No how no way. Moore will be a US senator. Just a matter of how close.
The Fox poll was of 300 “register voters” while this one is of 1000 “likely voters”.....big difference! A friend of mine is high up in the state party and she says all polls done with likely voters show Moore winning handily....
I doubt the GOPe or the Democrats will throw much money at this election. GOPe hates Moore, but why waste money when they know he is going to win. Same for the Democrats.
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