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Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.


Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA


Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirma; hurricanejose; hurricanekatia; irma; livehurricaneirma
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Comment #1 Removed by Moderator

To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the Florida peninsula from
Jupiter Inlet southward and around the peninsula to Bonita Beach,
including the Florida Keys.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the Florida peninsula from
Jupiter Inlet southward and around the peninsula to Bonita Beach,
including the Florida Keys, Lake Okeechobee, and Florida Bay.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...
----------------------------------------------
Location...20.4N 69.7W
About 75 MI...N of Puerto Plata Dominican Republic About 120 MI...ESE of Grand Turk Island
Maximum Sustained Winds...175 MPH
Present Movement...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...921 MB...27.20 Inches

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

2 posted on 09/07/2017 8:11:20 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: NautiNurse

Well, I’m praying that Irma will blow way out to sea


3 posted on 09/07/2017 8:11:34 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: NautiNurse
Good website: Windy.com - you can play it forward to see the projected path with lots of other data...
4 posted on 09/07/2017 8:12:09 AM PDT by Heartlander (Prediction: Increasingly, logic will be seen as a covert form of theism. - Denyse O'Leary)
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To: TheStickman

Ping for larer


5 posted on 09/07/2017 8:12:16 AM PDT by TheStickman (#MAGA all day every day!)
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To: NautiNurse

Good on the Polk Co. Sheriff.


6 posted on 09/07/2017 8:12:44 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: NautiNurse

They mentioned in the last update that the eye was cloud filled. It is not mentioned this time, so is the eye clear again?


7 posted on 09/07/2017 8:14:14 AM PDT by Ingtar
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To: bgill

This isn’t as draconian as it sounds; he says “active arrest warrant.” Now on the other hand should he even be talking about it, or just doing it?


8 posted on 09/07/2017 8:14:34 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: Ingtar

See satellite photo at top of thread. It’s pretty clear what the eye looks like.


9 posted on 09/07/2017 8:15:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for keeping these threads going! You’re a life-saver! Literally...


10 posted on 09/07/2017 8:15:14 AM PDT by livius
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To: NautiNurse

Well hello, dear FRiend. Haven’t seen you in awhile.


11 posted on 09/07/2017 8:15:40 AM PDT by vortec94
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To: NautiNurse

Well, I *do* like this post, but will also note that the storm’s position this morning is _exactly_ on the line forecasted by the hurricane center early last evening. So in other words... Irma is tracking as expected thus far.

So at some point Saturday the turn should begin. “When” and “how much” will determine everything.


12 posted on 09/07/2017 8:17:29 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp

SE Florida is now within the 72 hour window when models tend to have good agreement. The best they can hope for, IMO, is a track slightly off the coast that keeps the worst of the eyewall just offshore. The coastline above Florida is basically screwed, IMO. Surge is gonna be a bear.


13 posted on 09/07/2017 8:20:18 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

With the small screen I am looking at now, I am not seeing much difference. Perhaps it is my old eyes. I see the distinct eye even when they said cloud filled, so was confused.


14 posted on 09/07/2017 8:21:52 AM PDT by Ingtar
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To: alancarp
EVACUEES LOOKING FOR A PLACE TO GO: If you have an RV or camping gear, check either the Atlanta Motor Speedway or Talladega Motor Speedway. Both are free to use for evacuees.

Caveat: if you have choices, take Talladega... the forecasted path might make camping a bit rough near Atlanta by next Tuesday or so.

15 posted on 09/07/2017 8:22:26 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: alancarp

A very bad hurricane for the tip of Florida, a very bad storm for the southern third of the peninsula, a bad storm for the rest of the peninsula. Irma could boogie right up the middle of the peninsula, but petering out as she goes for lack of additional water. Prayer can’t hurt; the Lord ultimately determines through His sovereign control over all nature where the storms will go. I pray that Irma will head out to sea, but would it be better overall if she runs square aground and is quickly sapped of her power that way?

It is interesting for me because I am supposed to be headed into northern Florida (Gainesville) as of late next week. They said hotels were booked out to Georgia, but I had no problem booking Friday-Friday as of next week.


16 posted on 09/07/2017 8:23:12 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: alancarp

Thanks for your helpful info!


17 posted on 09/07/2017 8:23:40 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: dirtboy

Not familiar with the GA coast but SC and NC have been nailed enough in the past several decades that there is very little residential oceanfront construction remaining that is not raised on pilings. Going to wipe out frontal dunes with major beach erosion in many areas, though, and that typically renders oceanfront houses left sitting on the “new” beach un-rebuildable. They can be moved and sometimes are, for instance the house from “Nights In Rodanthe.” That was a major undertaking though, it’s a large, elaborate Hatteras style beach cottage.


18 posted on 09/07/2017 8:24:15 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks! Still worried about my friend with Metro Dade PD. He’s not scared of the hurricane, he’s scared of the month afterwards. His family is inland at Winter Haven.

We have friends and clients in Port Charlotte, Wauchula, Zolfo Springs, Arcadia, and Sarasota/LBK.


19 posted on 09/07/2017 8:24:28 AM PDT by DCBryan1 (No realli, moose bytes can be quite nasti!)
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To: NautiNurse

I memory serves, you are on West Coast. U may skate on this one.

Be well. Be safe


20 posted on 09/07/2017 8:25:11 AM PDT by Strac6 ("Mrs. Strac, Pilatus, and Sig Sauer: All the fun things in my life are Swiss!")
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