The ONLY sure things are DEATH and TAXES.
My POV is simply that what happened is Paris is what the common voter is MOST prone to respond to, in favor of Pen, who wants to stop migration of Muslim refugees immediately.
[D & T]
I once saw a great movie about that - a “film” actually - George Costanza
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z1w_dp2PK9E