Posted on 01/24/2017 6:44:30 PM PST by SJackson
In the run-up to his swearing-in on Friday, President Donald Trump made a series of big promises to Israel. Aside from his oft-repeated pledge to move the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, he has talked about reviving the peace process with the Palestinians, with a goal of achieving a deal before he leaves the White House.
Undeterred by the failure of past presidents to achieve this dream, Mr. Trump has already tasked his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, with the challenge of brokering the agreement.
Mr. Kushner inherits this charge at a time when trust between the parties is at an all-time low. Trust is an essential ingredient for closing any deal that requires some degree of risk. Therefore, the incoming president would be wise to look back to some old plays and also to make some small bets as a way to build trust between the parties and lay the groundwork for real progress.
We have seen that even when you have a White House intent on reaching an agreement on this conflict, it all depends on the parties’ willingness to compromise on the most difficult issues. No solution can be imposed from the outside. At the same time, reaching any Israeli-Palestinian accord will require renewed trust between Israel and the United States. The Art Lover’s Guide to Israel Sponsored
Mr. Trump is looking for ways to reassure Israel that he has its back. It is understandable, therefore, that the new administration has indicated its desire to move the embassy to Jerusalem. ADL long has believed in the case for relocating our embassy to Israel’s capital, even though it is controversial and could have significant reactions in the region.
Whatever he decides on the embassy, there are measures that Mr. Trump can support on day one that may not solve the whole crisis but can demonstrate strong support for the Jewish state and foster trust between Israel and the Palestinian Authority. This would require a mix of reviving old arrangements even as it allows for some new approaches. ADVERTISEMENT x
First, Mr. Trump would be well served to dust off a policy approach that has been shelved in recent years but possesses real urgency. In 2005, President George W. Bush sent a letter to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon prior to Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza. The correspondence was important because it contained two elements that never had been articulated previously by a U.S. president around settlements and refugees.
Written in the context of Israel’s unilateral withdrawal from Gaza, the letter recognized the reality of settlements. Since 1967, population growth and demographic shifts irrevocably had altered realities on the ground. It was therefore unrealistic to expect Israel to uproot the largest civilian areas located near the Green Line, known as the settlement “blocs.”
“In light of new realities on the ground,” President Bush wrote, “including already existing major Israeli populations centers, it is unrealistic to expect that the outcome of final status negotiations will be a full and complete return to the armistice lines of 1949.”
Israel is struggling now to find a formula that will allow it to continue building housing units in the settlements most likely to be included in Israel in any peace agreement while limiting construction in the most problematic areas that pose the greatest obstacle to territorial compromise. This could be achieved by invoking the existing Bush letter rather than contriving a new formula.
Moreover, by returning to this notion of treating the settlement blocs near the Green Line differently, Mr. Trump would be making a clear and powerful statement to Israel, the Palestinian Authority and the world that contrary to UN Resolution 2443, there is an arrangement for Israel’s settlement policy that is consistent with a two-state vision.
The resolution was only the latest example of the Palestinian preference for international forums over the hard work of the negotiating room. The U.S. abstention on 2443 reinforced that tendency. President Trump should make clear that the path of incitement, delegitimization, demonization and violent terror will not yield any progress for Palestinian aspirations, while the route of negotiation will yield dividends for all.
Meanwhile, the 2005 letter also provides a smarter approach on refugees. It offers official recognition that any resolution to the Palestinian refugee issue “will need to be found through the establishment of a Palestinian state, and the settling of Palestinian refugees there, rather than in Israel.”
This is crucial because the United States, the Middle East Quartet, the United Nations and other actors all acknowledge that the so-called right of return cannot be a pretext to flood Israel with Palestinian refugees and demographically overwhelm the Jewish state. This is unrealistic and unreasonable. By reviving the Bush position, the U.S. can reinsert a more reasonable position into the process, one that can facilitate the return of both Israel and the Palestinians to the negotiating table.
Mr. Trump also can encourage Israel to take small but pragmatic steps to meet some of the urgent needs of Palestinian civilians. This could include freeing up areas of the West Bank for Palestinian economic activity and building consistent with Israel’s security needs. It also might entail taking measures to foster additional investment and growth in the Palestinian economy and reducing the frustration and tension that can undergird violence.
As a successful businessman, Mr. Trump surely will appreciate the constructive role of commerce in bringing people together and creating mutual interests in stability and growth.
Indeed, just this week, an Israel’s coordinator of government activities in the territories, Gen. Yoav Mordechai, and his Palestinian counterpart, Civil Affairs Minister Hussein al-Sheikh, announced that they had reached a water deal that promises to improve the quality of life for Palestinians. This is the fourth such agreement reached over the past year and a half.
While reaching compromises on discrete issues like mail delivery, water sharing, electricity and cellular connectivity is not a substitute for solving the toughest political issues, they show a pathway toward rebuilding absent trust and improving quality of life.
Mr. Trump has promised big new things around the world, including in the Middle East. But reviving an old arrangement – even while seeking small, achievable improvements on the ground – could be the best route to a better long-term future.
If you'd like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
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By reviving the Bush position, the U.S. can reinsert a more reasonable position into the process
Still laughing. Clinton appointee's job in jeopardy?
Obama had eight years, but now his appointees know exactly what to do. Give me a break.
Obama coming in said he’d have a peace initiative and resolve the problem in months.
Now this Hostess Twinkie says they should use the old Bush plan.
Obama didn’t want anything to do with Bush plans. Here we are.
I say let Trump work his magic.
The others had their day.
If Trump “revives” the talks he will finish his term with the same results every other president has had. If he formally allies the US with Israel, he will improve things immensely. That would be the most effective form of negotiation. I think he will not let himself get bogged down in “talks” that only buy further time for the arabs.
The hilarious part about this, was that in the day they trashed Bush’s plans just like they had trashed all Republican plans for peace.
The Democrats always have the answers when they are out of power.
There will never be peace in the middle east. The problem is the false religion Islam. As long as Islam exists, the world will be at war with it, as it has been since its false “prophet” died.
Peace would require a purge of Islam and then wait for 2 or 3 generations.
The Bush approach worked so well.
Oh the Gog plan...
It has been written...
Who is Gog and Magog?
http://absolutetruth613.blogspot.com/2012/04/who-is-gog-and-magog.html
...and...
Gog's weapons are already on Israeli soil...
Agree with Palidin2. Historically only one approach has ever worked with islam. Kill all the men. Everyone else - convert or die.
Annex some territory w/oil fields. Establish military base there. Fund it w/oil production, refining.
Islam could be fought, crumbled, and cut up. Then, the pieces themselves chopped, diced and crumbled and minced. Then pureed. Finally, mixed with acid, and chemically broken down to its molecules.
Then, after some short time, at the molecular level, individual Islamic atoms would start coupling, then tribling... and grouping... forming clumps and regenerating.
I wasn’t describing a Permanent Peace, just a tamping down of Jihad for a while.
How I say it at every opportunity is that the Islamic War or the Long War began in the 7th century and will continue until every living human on Earth is Mohammedan or until there are no Mohammedans left on Earth.
Drop all pretense of being even-handed, honest-broker, in this Israel-Arab scene. That has been tried for 50 years and has not yielded any benefit. We are for Israel. Period.
It is way past time that U.S. Presidents “pledge” (for them) to seek a lasting peace between Israel and the Arabs in Gaza and the west bank.
U.S. Presidents should quit that.
The only ones who need to make, and have never yet made such a pledge are the political leaders of the Arabs in Gaza and the West Bank.
They never have been willing to go head to head, one on one, just them and Israel and no one else, and negotiate for peace. They have never put PEACE as their priority.
Until THAT happens, U.S. Presidents should do nothing more nor less than to support the democratic state of Israel and its security.
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