However, here is the link to the original study they reference:
http://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-016-0005
Excerpt:
Policymakers are interested in early-years interventions to ameliorate childhood risks. They hope for improved adult outcomes in the long run that bring a return on investment. The size of the return that can be expected partly depends on how strongly childhood risks forecast adult outcomes, but there is disagreement about whether childhood determines adulthood. We integrated multiple nationwide administrative databases and electronic medical records with the four-decade-long Dunedin birth cohort study to test child-to-adult prediction in a different way, using a population-segmentation approach. A segment comprising 22% of the cohort accounted for 36% of the cohort’s injury insurance claims; 40% of excess obese kilograms; 54% of cigarettes smoked; 57% of hospital nights; 66% of welfare benefits; 77% of fatherless child-rearing; 78% of prescription fills; and 81% of criminal convictions. Childhood risks, including poor brain health at three years of age, predicted this segment with large effect sizes. Early-years interventions that are effective for this population segment could yield very large returns on investment.
The 45-minute test might work in some cases, but not all. Some kids are just born as bad seeds.
Boy, they got their share of grant money!
So once you’ve identified the future trouble makers, then what? Do you sterilize them? Imprison them?
Its just the 80 - 20 rule rehashed.
I wonder what difference skin color and welfare status has made on childhood deprivation and its resulting propensity for crime?
Just wondering.
Shrimp on a treadmill study. Doesn’t take 38 years to identify the 1/5 who will commit 3/4 of future crime. It’s the same 1/5 who are committing 3/4 of the crime today.
Any kindergarten teacher can predict who will end up in gaol.
Bullshit. Crime is committed when an adult makes the conscious choice to do something illegal. That thing called “free will” which modern-day idiots reject.
Anyone else see or read Minority Report? First thing that came to mind when I saw this piece!
What about Muslims of any age? Their religion defines their criminal ideology which is incompatible with our free institutions and constitutional government.
1/5th of the people responsible for 2/5ths of the obesity??? What, is the study by mass?
Math and reason is the enemy! Attack!!!
Sure you can predict. Ask one question: are both parents present and running a solid loving home?
Mandatory long term contraception for the women on long term welfare would do wonders to reduce the size of that population AND improve outcomes for the children because they now have focused attention and support from parents and social services because there are fewer who need it.
Bring out the old Bell Curve and make your plots. Match the races to the results of this study and you will see that the study was a total boondoggle and the results were already well known.
Just the latest example of government planning on making your life miserable based on statistics.
Let me take a guess...
Castrate their parents.