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2016 Wisconsin Presidential Voting Recount: An Exercise In Manual and Automated Futility
Hot Air ^ | 8:01AM today | by Ed Morrissey

Posted on 12/12/2016 9:22:08 AM PST by drewh

If the state of Wisconsin didn’t finish its recount yesterday, it will almost certainly complete that task today — one way or another. By the end of the day on Saturday, precincts that had reported 91.32% of the original vote totals have completed their recounts. Ten precincts in the state had yet to report any results, plus the city of Milwaukee had still not reported their full results including all absentee ballot recounts. Unlike everywhere else in Wisconsin, Milwaukee counts their absentees in a central location and then reports the results back to the precincts for the final tallies. Remember, though, that these absentees have already been counted in the original results; they are being recounted along with all of the other ballots, not counted for the first time, so it’s not likely that those numbers will change in any different degree than we are seeing elsewhere.

So … what degree is that? Minuscule. Donald Trump won the election by 22,617 votes in the original count from Election Night out of a total vote of 2.939,293 ballots in the presidential race. The net change in ballot counts from the 91.32% votes from completed precincts: 1,480 added, which makes the change 0.0551% of the original count in those completed precincts. The change in vote totals for each candidate: ◾Trump: +628 ◾Clinton: +691 ◾Stein: +68 ◾Johnson: +76

With only eight percent of precincts left to report official recount results (including all of the city of Milwaukee), Jill Stein has only managed to reduce Trump’s lead by 63 votes. To change the outcome of the election, Wisconsin would have to find changes that would produce a 22,555-vote difference in the final 255,000 or so votes left to tally. That would require a change of 8.84% at a minimum — and every change would have to be in favor of Hillary Clinton. It’s not going to happen.

As I wrote two weeks ago, the recount in Wisconsin (and in Michigan and Pennsylvania, for that matter) have only succeeded in two things: separating a lot of gullible people from their money, and in demonstrating that the mechanisms for counting votes operate in a highly reliable manner. Ivory Snow trademarked its soap slogan of “99 and 44/100ths% pure,” but it also applies almost precisely to Wisconsin’s election-night counts, too. In fact, the earlier-reporting precincts had an even lower rate of error, but no county has had any changes that stand out as particularly remarkable, let alone have any drama at all to them.

Some Stein and Hillary supporters have responded to the utter lack of significance in the recount results by blaming it on the denial of a statewide hand recount (a decision reached by a state judge at the beginning of the recount process). That’s an absurd argument in a couple of different ways. First, 47 of Wisconsin’s 72 counties did perform hand recounts, and another 13 had a mix of precincts doing hand recounts or machine recounts; two of those 13 only had one municipality using machines. Only 12 counties conducted their recounts entirely by machines. The 47 counties that exclusively conducted recounts by hand account for roughly 70% of the vote total in the election.

The second absurdity: It turns out that there was little difference in the change rate for hand-recounted precincts. The overall change rate for the state thus far has been 0.0551%, as noted above. The overall change rate for the 47 counties that conducted recounts entirely by hand was … 0.0607%. The difference between those two change rates, applied to the entire state’s vote total, would add another 166 votes in total.

The state should finish its recount sometime today. If for some reason the remaining precincts do not report final recount totals, the state does have the option of using their original Election Night tallies in order to certify their slate of electors in time for tomorrow’s safe-harbor deadline for the Electoral College, but it’s unlikely it will come to that. It won’t make any difference at all anyway. As was utterly predictable, recounting a state with a 22,617-vote gap was a waste of time, resources, and money … but at least Jill Stein got another 15 minutes of conspiracy-theory fame in 2016, and a lot of fools and their money suffered their usual fate.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
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1 posted on 12/12/2016 9:22:08 AM PST by drewh
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To: drewh
In other news....

Judge rejects Green Party's Pennsylvania recount case

2 posted on 12/12/2016 9:26:07 AM PST by TechJunkYard (Trump THIS, Hill-baby!)
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To: drewh

The dems have now moved on to accusing Trump of colluding with the Russians and begging EV electors to change their votes.


3 posted on 12/12/2016 9:28:46 AM PST by ScottinVA
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To: drewh

Thanks Jill for the $3 million cash infusion into the Wisconsin economy just in time for Christmas.


4 posted on 12/12/2016 9:28:47 AM PST by UB355 (Slower traffic keep right)
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To: UB355

“Thanks Jill for the $3 million cash infusion into the Wisconsin economy just in time for Christmas.”

It was $3.49 million with more to probably be billed to her.


5 posted on 12/12/2016 9:42:28 AM PST by TexasGator
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To: drewh

2016 Wisconsin Presidential Voting Recount: An Exercise In Manual and Automated Futility

More like an exercise in mental masterbation!


6 posted on 12/12/2016 9:44:37 AM PST by GoldenPup
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To: drewh

The recount in all 72 WI counties is done, certified results later today.

Sorry all your conspiracy guys who just knew WI was going to forfeit it’s Electoral Votes. Never was a possibility.


7 posted on 12/12/2016 9:45:02 AM PST by bigbob (We have better coverage than Verizon - Can You Hear Us Now?)
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To: drewh

$3.5 million for 63 votes.
Did they have Yeb! as a consultant?
He was the only one who spent that kind of money foolishly this election cycle.


8 posted on 12/12/2016 9:49:38 AM PST by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents)
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To: ScottinVA

CIA:Washington Post report Linking Russia to Trump & Election Hacking Is an “outright Lie” http://truepundit.com/cia-washington-post-report-linking-russian-government-to-trump-election-hacking-is-outright-lie/


9 posted on 12/12/2016 9:50:44 AM PST by Democrat_media (bot funded Jill Stein's recount website.12 million $ from Soros behind big scheme)
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To: bigbob

they must finish the count today to certify tomorrow!


10 posted on 12/12/2016 9:51:43 AM PST by drewh
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To: Lurkinanloomin

So it cost about $500,000 per vote.


11 posted on 12/12/2016 9:53:18 AM PST by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies ('45 will be the best ever.)
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To: drewh

Milwaukee has a habit and a record of withholding final totals until they know how many votes to create fi=or a win. At least that’s the buzz.


12 posted on 12/12/2016 10:17:07 AM PST by afraidfortherepublic ( “Some ideas are so stupid that only intellectuals believe them.”)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

unless the state incurred less costs, the final estimate was 3.9 million of which she paid 3.5 million.
hope she has to come up with another half million


13 posted on 12/12/2016 10:25:11 AM PST by stylin19a (obama = Fredo smart)
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To: All
* Trump: +628 * Clinton: +691 * Stein: +68 * Johnson: +76


And that alone gives the reason you can't simply have a nation wide popular vote count. The accuracy required is impossible.

If it were a close result you would have to recount every precinct in the country...:^)

14 posted on 12/12/2016 10:30:02 AM PST by az_gila
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To: ScottinVA

It’s amazing how little it bothers them to act like huge hypocrites, considering how outraged they were at the idea that Trump might not accept the results of the vote regardless of the circumstances.


15 posted on 12/12/2016 11:12:28 AM PST by FenwickBabbitt
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