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Posted on 10/30/2016 1:36:14 PM PDT by conservativepoet
Very much so! More then lean!
Assuming Hillary collapses in this election? No, maybe, no.
In Connecticut. Trump signs outnumber Clinton signs. But both signs are less numerous than comparable signs in 2012. What I’m seeing are “surrogate” signs for Trump: a lot local GOP candidates getting preferred signage. Malloy (an atrocious Dem) won gubernatorial reelection by 4% a few years ago (and he wasn’t popular), so it’s a tough slog for anyone on the GOP side to win. Too many boxes of votes in the closets of Bridgeport, New Haven and Hartford, and perhaps too many Fairfield County RINOs.
One of the two (literally) Hillary signs I see in NE PA on my way to work says “Rural PA for Hillary”
I take this to mean that they know their support outside of Philly is right around zip.
NY is a stretch. Trump has big leads upstate and in the collar counties downstate.
Gorilla in the room is NYC - he would need to keep Hillary’s margin down to 60-65% to win the state.
If its a landslide, I think he would get it and CT next door.
If that doesn’t pan out, it ain’t happening.
Hello. I live in Virginia. So many here know that the polls are unfairly skewed but still seem to believe polls about VA. Please be assured that Virginia will be going for Trump this year.
So praying that my home state comes back to sanity.
For several months I’ve been predicting that Trump will win 40 states...
Not on my list is NY, NJ or CT...
plus VT, MA, RI, DE, IL, HI & Cal.
----> Larry Schweikart @LarrySchweikart 6h6 hours ago
VA: Portsmiuth, largest black district in the state, down 33% from 2012
Fok5ks, they aren"t even going to win VA.
Yeah!
He was just rhetorically using the p... word.
“Anyone think there’s a chance Trump wins NY, NJ or CT?”
Don’t be surprised if Trump has one more trick up his sleeve. I predict a rally in NYC on Friday, preferably across the street from Clinton’s headquarters.
Hey, I hope I’m wrong, but this state is just toooooo liberal.
This means the democrat weighed polls are wrong...
Turn out turn out, I have been saying it, was what Romney lacked and Trump has
If the internals by region are remotely correct in the Remington poll for PA that recently came out, Hillary has ZERO chance in PA. Even though they claimed Hillary up 4 in the poll.
Basically based on the regional internals of that poll, Hillary will only net win 10-20k votes in counties he net gained over 130k in outside of the Philly region.
If you assume Trump will get about 3 Million votes, which based on enthusiasm and the face R’s have put ~2.7M in the box each of the last 3 elections... That’s a reasonable expectation. Hillary will need to outperform by at least 150k votes in the Philly region over Obama in 12 to have any shot at winning... And that’s ain’t going to happen. She will underperform Obama 12 everywhere not just in PA.
Trump should easily take PA by 3-4 on the low end.
I was in rural PA today and saw too many Hillary signs for my liking. There were still more for Trump, though.
Wait until they start unloading the 53 ‘ long tractor trailers of Hillary votes from the cemeteries.
Clinton is down 25k votes in vs Obama in 2012 assuming its no blue dog democrats voting for Trump. AA vote is -20% vs 2012.
I see more Gary Johnson signs around me than Cankles signs. And more of The Don’s signs than both of them combined.
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