May 15, 2012
Assessing the Representativeness of Public Opinion Surveys Overview
http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/15/assessing-the-representativeness-of-public-opinion-surveys/
Posted on 10/25/2016 11:40:40 AM PDT by Quicksilver
May 15, 2012
Assessing the Representativeness of Public Opinion Surveys Overview
http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/15/assessing-the-representativeness-of-public-opinion-surveys/
People like me are fed up with the polls so we either don’t answer, or answer in a non responsive manner. FU MSM and you push pollsters.
In other words...
The challenges of polling when too many people understand the agenda of push polling.
I do not pick up phone calls from anyone I don’t know. None.
If it is important, they will leave a message.
The phone poll people can thank the Robo Call plague for finding few working pickups.
So, in 1997 out of 1000 calls or attempts to solicit a response, there were 139 responses.
In 2012 there were less than 8 per 1000.
I couldn’t agree more. If I take a call from a pollster I answer as an Independent and I refuse to answer the demographics questions.
Maybe we would treat them more responsibly if they did not abuse data, make up information, use push-pull polling. Maybe. Maybe. Maybe.
How about just a “reasonable standard” of honesty and some self-policing by the polling profession.
We and they could all sleep better at night.
“The phone poll people can thank the Robo Call plague for finding few working pickups.”
A plague that is outlawed at the Federal and the State level for most states, but of course is not enforced because it’s not vital like enforcing bogus “social justice” Presidential Executive Orders and economy-destroying and freedom-destroying regulations.
“In 2012 there were less than 8 per 1000.”
And way worse now, four years later!
I don’t really believe that the type of person who answers and who doesn’t answer are the same. I think older people answer their phone more. Probably a little lonely.
I seldom answer my phone anymore. The continuous interruptions by sales people finally broke me of the habit.
“If you look carefully you can see that the response rate dropped 15% in 2009 to 9% in 2012. That means the current response rate on 2016 is about 5% which is very good news. That means pollsters that I can control can make stuff up. Yes! Winning!”
Love, Hillary
“P.S. If the trend lines hold no-one will respond in 2020. I will then be able to lead any opponent 100 to 0%, even in Texas!”
One would think the ROBO callers had a paid K Street Lobbyist.
In other words...
Their gonna just...
Make stuff up!!!
Yes, and then claim they have math on their side!
Their solution is “weighting” but the problem with weighting is that if they knew how to do it with scientific accuracy then they wouldn’t need a poll in the first place.
It’s been a long-standing fact that 99.4213 percent of all statistics are made up on the spot.
Reasons for declining participation rates:
* too many marketing efforts presented as polls, so we turn it off
* the biased polls that we can tell are biased and decide not to participate
* the pollsters who hang up on you or end the interview when you don’t answer the right way
* the polls go on for a long time because they want detailed data to make up for the smaller data set
I can’t even remember the last time I was polled. Maybe 5-10 years ago, I think.
I guess if I had the time to speak with someone, I’d probably answer their questions.
Michigan - for 2012 we got several poll calls about Romney/Obama. This time around we got one local Michigan poll back in September, other than that nothing.
“What, you voted for Obama in 2012? We’ll make you a Hillary leaning voter!”
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