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Election wiz predicts Donald Trump will win election
NY Post ^ | Oct. 25, 2016 | Bob Fredericks

Posted on 10/25/2016 12:24:23 AM PDT by Innovative

Donald Trump may be behind in most polls but one veteran New York prognosticator still predicts he will win come Election Day.

“I think he was the strongest candidate in the primaries and that he will prevail,” Helmut Norpoth, a political-science professor at SUNY Stony Brook, told The Post on Monday, even as the RealClearPolitics average shows the Republican candidate trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton by 6.1 percentage points.

Norpoth developed a model that, applied retroactively in earlier races, would have correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912 — with the exception of 2000, when predicted winner Al Gore barely lost to George W. Bush.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: helmutnorpoth; norpoth; primarymodel; stonybrook; trump
Just for something different.

I also think that if Trump supporters will actually get out and VOTE, he will win.

So, be sure to get out the vote.

1 posted on 10/25/2016 12:24:23 AM PDT by Innovative
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To: Innovative

Yeah I think the treason party screwed up by pushing fake polls. If the Hillary zombies think she is going to win they are more likely to stay home, plus a lot are not too enthusiastic about her to begin with as voters are about Trump. I mean look at her rallies, she brings in a fraction of the crowd he brings in.


2 posted on 10/25/2016 12:36:57 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Hillary Clinton IS a felon.)
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To: Innovative

Yeah, believe stupid polls, win stupid prizes.


3 posted on 10/25/2016 12:42:37 AM PDT by Bullish (The fly on Hillary's forehead knows)
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To: Innovative

ABSO -F-ing - LUTELY !!!!


4 posted on 10/25/2016 1:18:09 AM PDT by LeoWindhorse (America First !)
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To: LeoWindhorse
Sure, rally attendance may not mean that much, but when this is repeated not once but several times it just must mean something. Compare and contrast Kaine vs Pence:

WOW! Tim Kaine Holds Rally and ONLY 30 PEOPLE Show Up!

This was in Palm Beach. A couple of weeks ago, he was in Miami and got all of 50 spectators. In the meantime Pence collects good crowds wherever he goes.

5 posted on 10/25/2016 1:38:43 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

“If the Hillary zombies think she is going to win they are more likely to stay home, plus a lot are not too enthusiastic about her to begin with as voters are about Trump.”

That’s exactly what I’ve been preaching for some time.

I just cannot see any reason for Trump supporters to be so depressed over all the false polls - it’s going to backfire on the rats!


6 posted on 10/25/2016 2:12:22 AM PDT by redfreedom
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Helmut Norpoth got the 2000 Election right!

He said Al Gore would win the Popular Vote!

He only got 1960 Kennedy vs Nixon wrong but don’t people say the mob stole it for Kennedy?

So Helmut might have a perfect record!!! =P


7 posted on 10/25/2016 3:30:32 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: Innovative

The thing about dark helmut is that he has an awesome risk/reward formula here for his prediction. If he is wrong he just slinks back to the university no worse off. If he is right he becomes the toast of the town and a highly sought after expert. My point is, that because there is such a glaring oportunity for a nay sayer right now, someone will fill it. So is he real or just an opportunist?


8 posted on 10/25/2016 3:34:44 AM PDT by BRL
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To: Innovative

The news reports say that Obamacare increase will be in the double digits.

I heard Newt Gringich mention a few weeks ago that peoples’ life spans will be cut short by Obamacare. It surprised me that he would state that in those terms. Not that it isn’t true, but it is hidden from sight by all the pundits and democrats. And all those nasty women, (Elizabeth Warren’s terminology), who vote for Hillary, just to have a vagina in the White House, will be in truth voting for a shorter life span.

Add Obamacare to the millions upon millions of illegals in the country, and what is going on in the Veterans hospitals will be nation wide.


9 posted on 10/25/2016 3:53:31 AM PDT by odawg
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To: Innovative
I also think that if Trump supporters will actually get out and VOTE, he will win.

They need to vote in great numbers to overcome the fraud.

10 posted on 10/25/2016 4:21:43 AM PDT by stevem
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To: ScaniaBoy
Sure, rally attendance may not mean that much, but when this is repeated not once but several times it just must mean something. Compare and contrast Kaine vs Pence:

Yep - Trump/Pence have consistently huge crowds wherever they go. Clinton/Kaine have consistently small/so-so crowds except in some actual Dim strongholds and even then they don't match Trump.

11 posted on 10/25/2016 4:43:15 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: trebb

“RealClearPolitics average shows the Republican candidate trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton by 6.1 percentage points.”.....

Another poll watcher? Should we not look to the electoral votes? The rest of this circus will be just that, window dressing.


12 posted on 10/25/2016 5:17:32 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: redfreedom

Yes but she still may win through voter fraud. Look at this story that just came out, here we go....

http://www.infowars.com/report-votes-switched-from-trump-to-hillary-in-texas/

Trump is not running against a politician, he is running against a criminal cartel that will use any method to win.


13 posted on 10/25/2016 5:21:27 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (Hillary Clinton IS a felon.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda; redfreedom

Expect the polls to tighten two to three days before the election to compensate.


14 posted on 10/25/2016 6:39:09 AM PDT by cport (How can political capital be spent on a bunch of ingrates)
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To: redfreedom

Yep. In reality she can’t win. They are spinning , but Trump will win.


15 posted on 10/25/2016 9:59:02 AM PDT by Carry me back (Cut the feds by 90%9)
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