Posted on 09/24/2016 5:37:42 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
I myself have GA Likely Republican (not Lean).
In my Lean Republican column, I have AZ, FL, IA and OH. And, in my toss-up column NV and NC (in my no-toss up model, they go our way).
We still need to take at least one of the states in the Lean Democrat column (CO, ME, MI, NH, NM!, PA, VA and WI). These states are called Hillary’s Blue Wall.
Joshua fought the battle of Jericho and the walls came tumbling down!
Wow. Thanks for all the info. Yeah they were WAY off in quite a few primary polls on both sides.
why are we even talking about Georgia? if Georgia is even competitive, Trump has no shot anyway.
GA was never a swing state, hell if obama could not win it with all the blacks there , then no way in hell would Clinton.
Anyone who thought GA was a swing state , and believed the media lies is a mental midget at best.
Trump only down 4 in New Jersey, but that won’t be declared a swing state, because it would show that this election is over.
Only Republican states can be declared swing states
Georgia IS the deep south....these Libs think they can say something and It will be so....what morons!
ME splits its votes and most are calling 2 for Trump and 1 for Clinton.
Regarding ME: Trump is comfortably ahead in the 2nd District and Hillary in the 1st. If the election is close, the state will probably split 3 EVs to one candidate (the winner statewide) and 1 to the other.
Here’s how I rate the Electoral College:
Romney states + OH + IA + FL + NC + NV + ME-2 for Trump = 266 EVs (3 short of a tie, 4 short of a win)
Leans Hillary:
CO (9) MI (16), ME at-large (2), NH (4), NM (5), PA (20), VA (13), WI (10)
The riots in NC incline me to think VA will come into play.
Stressing lack of jobs, choice in education and a family-centered child care are keys to the northern and midwestern states.
Gary Johnson peel-off will determine the outcomes in CO and NM.
I notice that in many of the Leans Hillary states, the down ticket isn’t doing so well. In contrast, in FL and OH, the down ticket candidates are cruising. I figure we’re a team and we’re going to win or lose together. I strongly recommend sending Rand Paul and Ted Cruz to Colorado to campaign with our Senate candidate there.
NJ is a sleeper state. Only one solid poll during the past month, with very promising results. I am sure Kellyanne has an eye on this state. RI is another sleeper state. So is DE. NM used to be a sleeper state, but it’s being found out. These are expensive states to advertise. In NJ, for example, you have to buy the New York market. It could be that a quiet campaign may be the best campaign to snatch NJ and maybe a couple other northeast states.
Key in VA is northern VA turnout and Richmond to a lesser extent. The rest of the state is pretty conservative (except for Charlottesville where you have the UVA influence, but it’s not that much because I doubt most of the students will bother voting).
Northern VA loved Obama, but I don’t think they’re all that keen on Clinton. Lots of active and retired military there. Also there are millions of soccer Moms there and they would gravitate toward a law and order candidate. The mess that’s going on in Charlottesville must frighten them, as they are a stone’s throw from D.C. On the other hand, there’s a huge immigrant population (mainly employed in the service industries) and the whites are college educated and those two constituencies are favoring Clinton.
Good point, never thought of it that way
When Trump wins NJ on election night, election night is over with at that point
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