[demkicker]

Trump can SOOOO win this election if he plays it smart during the debates. I pray he will not hand Hitlery the election by hitting back ‘too hard’ because she will no doubt try her best to get under his skin (which many claim to be thin). And I don’t want him to give the MSM any ammunition.

[freedom1st]

Thanks for your analysis. I like your objective analytical review instead of a subjective review.

[Disestablishmentarian]

This is great stuff. Thank you.

Personally, I put NC, NV , WI and MI in Trump’s column, while still calling CO a tossup. But, admittedly, I allow myself a subjective component (because I can!)

[mrsmith]

Historically, never minding the effect of actual events upon the polls, it’s reasonable to assume a 3 or 4% change towards Trump- which looks mighty good.

Here’s electoral weirdness: The ‘expert’ prognosis of a Trump win currently runs through Wisconcin!
http://www.270towin.com/maps/princeton-election-consortium
IE: that’s the smallest change in their (adjustable) map that gives him a victory.

And thanks for your informative and useful post!

[scouter]

Just for everyone's information, I got the data for this from a web site I follow called Electoral-Vote.com. They have been pretty accurate, historically, even if their commentary is left-leaning. The URL is: http://www.electoral-vote.com

[simpson96]

[TaxPayer2000]

Thanks!

[TaxPayer2000]

Thanks!

[wyowolf]

Alabama Alaska etc going from Strongly to likely??? why??

[thingumbob]

Read on an earlier thread that RCP threw the 538 poll out of their averages so it would make Hillarys number go up instead of further down.

don't like the 538 libs but at least their numbers seemed to be objective.as opposed to RCP's crap filled averages. Desperation seems to be setting in.......insert gloating smile here.......

[Twinkie]

VOTE TRUMP ANYWAY!!!