Trump Overtakes Clinton (Nevada Trump 44, Hillary 42)

Monmouth University ^ | 9/14/2016

[orchestra]

West Long Branch, NJ - The race for Nevada's electoral votes has flipped from two months ago, with Donald Trump now holding a slim 2 point lead over Hillary Clinton, whereas Clinton held a 4 point lead in July's Monmouth University Poll . In the U.S. Senate contest, Republican Joe Heck clings to a narrow 3 point lead over Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, virtually unchanged from his earlier 2 point lead.

Among Silver State voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 44% currently support Trump and 42% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3% say they will choose Nevada's unique "none of these candidates" ballot option. Monmouth's July poll found Clinton leading Trump by 45% to 41%, with Johnson at 5% and none of the above at 4%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein will not appear on the ballot in Nevada.

Among self-identified Republicans, 88% support Trump, which is identical to his 88% support in July. Among Democrats, 90% support Clinton, which is similar to her 92% support in July. Independents have shifted, however, now giving Trump a clear 43% to 29% advantage over Clinton, with 17% supporting Johnson. Two months ago, the independent vote was divided at 39% for Trump, 37% for Clinton, and 10% for Johnson.

"The race in Nevada is still tight, but the momentum has swung toward Trump," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Clinton still has a sizable lead among non-white voters - 63% to 28% for Trump, which is down slightly from her 64% to 23% lead among this group in July. The Republican nominee retains his lead among white voters, now standing at 51% to 33%, which is up slightly from 49% to 37% two months ago.

[Sarah Barracuda]

look at the breaking news section there is a thread about it

[Red Badger]

LOL!..............

[Reno89519]

Anyone here in Reno and Nevada can attest to the obvious, lots of Trump support, there was lots of Sanders support, and practically no visible Clinton support. Good to see polls start to catch up to this reality.

[FenwickBabbitt]

“Green Party candidate Jill Stein will not appear on the ballot in Nevada.”

That’s too bad. I was hoping that she’d be on every ballot in the country. It shouldn’t matter though. I’ve thought for a long time that Trump will probably pull off a win in NV.

[donozark]

And I thought I saw a shadow in the first video release on Sunday! Kinda like the shadow growing in the movie OMEN. LOL!

[1Old Pro]

Trump picks up a few more non-whites and it’s over for crooked sick Hillary.

[Ravi]

I think Monmouth is about to release a CO poll with Trump ahead. On twitter at least. Don’t quote me. I believe it when I see it in RCP.

[Pollster1]

Obama won Nevada by 7% over Romney, so that is a 9% swing against totalitarian socialism.

[jjsheridan5]

I have been a broken record on this, but Virginia is not the Democrat state that it is portrayed to be. The bulk of the state is Republican, but candidates like Romney resulted in depressed turnout. FFX County is a big county, and solidly Democratic, but it isn't that big, and is not monolithically Democratic. The Democrats, and the Republican establishment, want people to believe that Virginia is an east coast version of Washington state, but the truth of the matter is that a Republican who can get Republican turnout back up will win VA fairly easily.

It isn't the government contractors/employees that have changed the state, which is a common misconception. It is actually the extremely large increase in "diversity" which has exploded in northern VA. I remember the first Obama election, and in a voting place that ordinarily was quiet and small, it was a sea of people who do not speak English (coupled with a sprinkling of young white liberals). Remember, that Trump gained a huge crowd in the swing county of Loudoun, which is also home to much of the government consultant crowd.

Virginia is not lost. And while it is no longer an automatic Republican state, the right Republican candidate should win comfortably (the new felon vote notwithstanding).

[Tanniker Smith]

I’d loved to see him move that needle a little further out of the margin of election fraud.

[nhwingut]

“Show me one state where Trump will win that Romney didn’t.”
-Stuart Stevens.

How about 6 states - Florida, Ohio, Colorado, NH, Nevada, Iowa

LOL!

[BobL]

“The Republican nominee retains his lead among white voters, now standing at 51% to 33%, which is up slightly from 49% to 37% two months ago.”

Considering that honkies are still the majority of voters, the fact that this demographic shifted 6 points towards Trump is yuge. Obama always knew that he needed to make a good showing with the honkie class and so tried (and succeeded) to present himself as ‘reasonable’ and not extreme. Hillary, on the other hand, presents herself as a FLAMING RADICAL and unlike Obama, cannot control it.

[Red Steel]

It’s going to cascade against the Witch Hellary. Too many states to defend.

[Clintonfatigued]

The unionized casino worker vote is secretly leaning towards Trump, even though the union leadership is in Clinton’s pocket. Trump is known as a good employer there.

[No Dems 2016]

Today is a such a good poll day!

[pangaea6]

You noticed that too. I’ve even seen the new Ohio and FL polls where Trump is eading by as many as 5 as being a narrow lead. If its Hillary, a 2 point lead is “sustained” lead or moderate lead, 5 points is a commanding lead or substantial lead. Win or lose I sure hope Trump starts his own conservative tv network.