Posted on 09/01/2016 5:42:09 AM PDT by usafa92
Hillary Clinton’s post-convention lead has disappeared, putting her behind Donald Trump for the first time nationally since mid-July.
The latest weekly Rasmussen Reports White House Watch shows Trump with 40% support to Clinton’s 39% among Likely U.S. Voters, after Clinton led 42% to 38% a week ago. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson now earns seven percent (7%) of the vote, down from nine percent (9%) the previous two weeks, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein picks up three percent (3%) support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Clinton's support has been trending down from a high of 44% in early August just after the Democratic National Convention. This is her lowest level of support since mid-July. Trump's support has been eroding, too, from his high of 44% at that time. A one-point lead is statistically insignificant in a survey with a +/- 3 percentage point of margin of error. It highlights, however, that this remains a very close race.
Both major candidates have lost some support this week from voters in their respective parties. Trump now has the backing of 71% of Republicans, down from 76% a week ago. Clinton has 73% of the Democratic vote, down from 79% in the previous survey. Trump attracts 15% of Democrats, while 12% of Republicans prefer Clinton. The GOP nominee continues to hold a small lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party, this week leading 36% to 28%.
Johnson draws support from eight percent (8%) of Republicans, three percent (3%) of Democrats and 12% of unaffiliated voters. Stein earns six percent (6%) of the vote among unaffiliateds.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 29-30, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Percentages are one thing but in the final analysis it all comes down to ELECTORAL VOTES and we know who casts those. Cuidado!!!!
Johnson is a Liberal. I know quite a few Liberal people who dislike Hillary and will be supporting Johnson. I do not know any Republicans who support Johnson.
For a poll, I figure this isn’t all bad. Figuring that nearly half the population get some for of government handout, it will tend to be a balance. Plus, some people are cowed to not share support for Trump with a stranger. But, bigger picture, the anti-Clinton support (Trump, Johnson, and Stein) is substantial. Johnson an Stein will cost Clinton the election as I seriously doubt any thinking and serious Republican, conservative, or moderate would throw their vote away with Johnson or Stein.
Is it me or is Johnson starting to sound more and more like a good alternative for a liberal who doesn’t like Hillary?
My liberal daughter is voting for Johnson because she hates Hillary.
I think Johnson and Stein are taking as much from Hillary as Trump..Trump has consistently polled better in the 4 way by 1% or so than in a 2 way.
Nader cost algore the WH in 2000...let’s hope that that whackjob Johnson doesn’t do the same to Trump
I’m already hearing Gary Potson ads on Hannity here in Florida. The progressive Republicans are transparently trying to throw the election to Hillary.
I'm sure a lot of disgruntled Republicans and Democrats unhappy with the choices are "parking" their votes with them as sort of a protest. But when they get behind that curtain on election day, they are going to hold their noses and vote their party's nominee in.
As you can see, Trump has much more to gain than Crooked Hillary. To be generous, I'll give Johnson 2% and Stein 1%. That would pretty much give Trump a 46-41% advantage in this poll.
But I don't agree with the weighting of it. They probably still have D+9 or something ridiculous like that. The 2012 actual election was D+6 and no way does Crooked Hillary outperform Obama! These pollsters are dreaming.
The Weiner factor also reminds people of Clinton sleaze.
The events of yesterday and last night may be sufficient to flush Hillary! from her cover, at least temporarily.
Then people will be reminded (again) why they dislike her so vehemently.
Point to Mr. Trump.
they will rig the vote or suspend elections from marshall law..we have a rouge government..they are not going to play by the rules
Could it be that the media is looking at Hillary emails and saying, “Wow, maybe we are the ones who got it wrong. Maybe she is as bad as they say.” Are the emails possibly getting some of the media to feel slimy when they spin the news towards Hillary?
Well, it’s official. Even the liberal guru of polling Nate Silver has now declared the Trump comeback real. Of course last week he was claiming Hillary could win the popular vote by 10 points and “run the table” in November even winning “hard red” states like Mississippi. Now he’s saying the race will be much closer +/- 2-4 points, (but of course still assuring his nervous liberal buddies that “the fundamentals” still favor Hillary”. (so put down the noose and bottle of poison!)
In the drive-by analyses I’ve seen all season, Johnson helps Trump.
True, but eventually that card will be played.
Hillary is probably more like 3.9 percent.
Keep replaying her speech to the American Legion from yesterday and she will reach zero.
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