Trump leads Cruz by 15 points in crucial Indiana race

MSNBC ^ | May 1, 2016 | Mark Murray

[Trump20162020]

Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.

Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters – followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent.

[GonzoII]

You beat me by 3 seconds....

[bert]

Think Cruz..... Think Letters From Iwo Jima

[stockpirate]

This can’t be true, Faux Spews, “We deceive you believe” reported a poll that has Ted up by 8 points. The last time that company did a poll was 2011, but they didn’t mention that.

[cgbg]

To anyone thinking of responding to Ted’s latest fundraising letter—I have some tulip bulbs to sell you—their value will never go down.

;-)

Oh, yeah, and not to worry, Ted always outperforms polls—not.

[Flick Lives]

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Indiana was conducted by live-caller interviews (via landline and cell phone) among 2,149 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.1 percentage points), 645 likely Republican primary voters (plus-minus 3.9 percentage points) and 449 likely Democratic primary voters (plus-minus 4.6 percentage points).

Somehow this poll seems a bit more rigorous than the recent Downs Center poll that had Cruz up 15 points. That was a poll of 400 people over a 2-week period. The same Downs Center where their own website's most recent poll or article was published in 2011.

[Liz]

In the words of the infallible Paul Manafort: The NE primaries
hammered the nails into Cruz's coffin; Indiana will show him he's in it."

Then again, Cruz always has a trick ready to gain attention:
Word is Bishop Romney will marry him and Kasich on Glenn's TV show.

[Democrats hate too much]

Thank You INDIANA!!!

[Democrats hate too much]

This will break the 60s by election day!

[Gaffer]

Well, you have to agree that there seems to be a big buttload of difference between polls of party insider bureaucrats and ‘selected’ delegates and actual voters, don’t you? :0)

[bert]

I would argue that Cruz continues because he wants something and hopes to wield some power at the convention to that end

What does he want?

[Fresh Wind]

Wednesday morning, Cruz needs to suspend his campaign.

It’s over, Ted. Think of the country instead of your selfish ego-driven goal.

[GonzoII]

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC%20NewsWSJMarist.pdf

[Georgia Girl 2]

Cruz is going to be lucky if he’s allowed in the convention at this point. He should have cut a deal with Trump a month ago. That ship has sailed.

[bert]

No, his voters are needed in the General Election

They will be welcomed before it is all over

[hoosiermama]

Terre Haute rally today is in Indiana coal country
WVA coal country is bringing him 60% + of their vote.
Indiana has cross over vote. Polls are not polling independents and democrats. Expect some areas of our state to be much higher

[GonzoII]

"In the words of the infallible Paul Manafort: The NE primaries hammered the nails into Cruz's coffin; Indiana will show him he's in it.""

This poll confirms the reports that Trump's internal poll had him at 50% or more and shows why Manafort was so confident.

[Liz]

What does he want?

As the campaign wears on, and he continues to lose badly, his future plans shrink precipitously.

I’d imagine at this point, just staying in the Senate might be his last forlorn hope.

[Liz]

Trump is doing the impossible-—in RI he actually broke into 60%.

[Balding_Eagle]

It’s not up to Ted to decide when he gets out.

That option ended quite some time back, now the puppet masters will decide.