It's hardly more probable. I guess math was never your strong suit, nor logic.
I know you can't consider this, but kindly show us how Cruz ever wins this.
If he's successfuly in doing the work of the GOPe in preventing Trump from a first ballot win (unlikely as that may be), you can't possibly think they are going to hand it to Cruz afterwards, can you?
Like I said, math and logic aren't your strongest suits......
At least I’m not delusional.
No reputable source seems to be able to figure out a way that Trump can get to 1237.
If he can, he has no worries.
If he cannot, which seems more likely, he has a big worry.
Cruz has way outplayed him in the ground game and could probably win easily on a second ballot.
That is how Cruz can win.