Trump would have to win 60+% of all the delegates left, and there is no freaking way he will do that!
Trump will be well short of 1237 at the convention.
When that happens he can thank himself for all the people he pissed off along the way.
Manafort knows that campaigns are allowed to cut individual deals with individual delegates.
The last time around they traded everything from plane tickets to college educations. Trump has 10 billion big ones that says he’s loaded for bear.
Trump will get it. Trump will get around 150 delegates out of CA. When it comes to prognostications Cruzers are the worst. More dreaming really.
Trump would have to win 60+% of all the delegates left, and there is no freaking way he will do that!
Yeah he will. You know why Cruzer? Obviously not. I'll tell you why because since after March 15th, many of the rules have changed to states that are Winner-Take-All and Winner-Take-Most states. Plenty coming up soon like NY, DE, and MD to name a few.
Actually, Trump needs 55% (has 743 of 1237, 898 delegates left). Cruz needs 80% (has 517 of 1237, 898 delegates left).
If Trump takes 178 more delegates - a definite possibility with NY, PA, NJ, MD and CT coming up - Cruz is mathematically eliminated from winning. He can only play the role of a spoiler.
That's all? You do realize that he is going to get 80-100 percent in NY, and way more than 60 percent throughout the northeast states cited by Manafort. Then, he's going to get at least 60 percent, maybe more, in California. See, by California, Cruz will be mathematically eliminated. He is eliminated as a practical matter right now, like a baseball team down by 10 games with 12 to play. But he is guaranteed to lose the next 6 games. So in California, even Cruz cultists will have to be asking "why is he still running?" Shouldn't the party come together to support the last one standing, like it has done every 4th year in as far back as primaries have been held?
And so, Cruz, already trailing by a lot in California, will tank there by June, and it will be all over but the lying.
To paraphrase Sonny Bono, "And the shill goes on. "
I think the % is something like 50%.
I know.
Trump may go in hiding for a week.
He may make a good hire in Manafort... if you’re okay with a former GOPer.
But, in the end, Trump will never be able to control himself or be able to speak coherently enough to debate Ted Cruz.
The last time Trump hid away from a debate for a fund raiser for veterans ... only less than a third of the money raised has gone to veterans. Where is the rest, Trump?
And Cruz needs how many? And he’s how likely to get them by winning elections before the convention?
More I see of Cruz, the less impressed I am.