Posted on 03/18/2016 6:33:15 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Right, right, national polls aren’t worth much, especially six weeks into state-by-state voting, but they’re interesting as evidence of broad trends that might (or might not) be shaping up. The theory was that Rubio finally getting KO’d in Florida would free up 10-15 percent of the Republican vote, most of which would stampede towards Cruz as the last conservative standing against Trump. That’s … not what we’re seeing here. Cruz is up, but so is Kasich. And in one of these polls, so is Trump.
Maybe that Rubio endorsement is worth less than we thought. First, from Morning Consult:
Twelve percent of the vote shook loose with Rubio’s departure — and Cruz, up four points from 23 percent, received just a third of it. Kasich gained five points by contrast while the “someone else” and “don’t know” categories each received a couple of percentage points. That’s not the numbers you’d expect to see if consolidation behind Cruz were underway.
Rasmussen has a similar story:
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters finds Trump with 43% support to Senator Ted Cruz’s 28% and Ohio Governor John Kasich’s 21%. Just five percent (5%) of GOP voters like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
In our last survey of the Republican field just after the February 20 South Carolina Primary and Jeb Bush’s departure from the race, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Dr. Ben Carson were still in the running. At that time, it was Trump 36%, Rubio 21%, Cruz 17%, Kasich 12% and Carson with eight percent (8%) GOP support.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
The Rubio effect. As effective as he was.
Predictable fallout from Rubio’s departure.
The Cruz folks can keep arguing that their man will overtake Trump in a 1-1, but the numbers thus far just aren’t adding up to that forecast.
Two man race, huh?
How’s that working out there for ya, Ted?
I imagine after the Romney knife twist/endorsement, Trump will go up or Cruz will go down and Kasich up.
I’m not surprised that Trump drew Rubio folks. Amnesty people aren’t going to switch to Cruz - they go to the other amnesty candidate (Kasich) and the not-as-strict-as-Cruz enforcement candidate (Trump).
14 have dropped out and Trump is still leading.
Cruz supporters are delutional.
That is my bet as well. This poll was surely based on pre-hugs with Romney today, and possibly prior to many responders digesting the Cruz endorsement by Linda Graham.
Expect the entire globalist Gang of Eight to endorse this pup also, as needed. Blech.
The SS Cruz appears to be taking on water and listing to port.
Beck’s gonna lose it again and cry tomorrow.
The latest Real Clear Politics NATIONAL poll for Republican Presidential Nomination shows...
A poll conducted (3/3-3/6), before Rubio dropped out had Trump 30%, Cruz 27%, and Kasich 22%.
The latest poll, conducted 3/16-3/17 — AFTER Rubio dropped out has Trump 43%, Cruz 28%, and Kasich 21%.
Trump went up 13 points, whereas Cruz went up only 1 point and Kasich went down 1 point after Rubio dropped out.
Link to data and chart:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html
HotAir and the rest of Salem Witch Media is desperate for hope.
Maybe they should all drop out! Then Trump will get bored and go away. Like playing dead to a grizzly bear. The angry bear will take few bites out of your ass, but eventually he will leave onto more interesting activities.
Are you Trumpies happy now that Kasich is in? You will NOT get the required delegates for Trump to get the nomination, unless the GOPe changes the rules. Trump also wants a 2man race- or has he changed his mind ?
Aren’t you sad that Ted Cruz happily and “hat in hand” embraced the endorsement of Mitt Romney? And Romney doesn’t even like Cruz. He and the GOPe are simply using Cruz as a tool to try and stop the Trump nomination. When they get what the want, they will eventually throw Cruz overboard like he was a rotten tomato.
Trump supporters are happy. He IS going to win it all, lock, stock, and barrel.
Trump will get to 1,237, sorry all your guys already dropped out.
Cruz won’t hit 1,000, before Tuesday Trump lead Cruz by 99 delegates. Cruzets blabbered how great Cruz did. Now Trump leads Cruz by about 270 delegates.
Time to convene “Operation Sea Island III”
Can they get Sen. John McCain to endorse Cruz ??
How about Sen. Mitch McConnnell ??
Burned all of those bridges, you say ??
Cruz is now unmasked. He will do or say anything to try to hang on. Most people are just turning away.
Trump, Cruz and Kasich. Yep, a two man race. /S
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