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Cruz Records Weakest Home State GOP Primary Victory in Party History
Smart Politics ^ | 3/2/16 | Eric J. Ostermeier

Posted on 03/02/2016 9:00:23 AM PST by Sybeck1

Each of the 60 previous Republican presidential candidates who carried their home state did so with a larger percentage of the vote than Cruz; Cruz is one of only six who failed to reach the 50 percent mark

The Ted Cruz campaign delivered on its promise to win the Texas primary on Tuesday and then exceeded ‘expectations’ by also coming in first place in the neighboring state of Oklahoma and the Alaska caucuses.

With four victories now under his belt, Cruz will attempt to use his comparatively successful electoral track record against the remaining non-Trump candidates (Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Ben Carson) in an attempt to expedite their withdrawal from the race.

To be sure, the Texas U.S. Senator’s victory in his home state – and the most delegate rich state on the primary calendar thus far – was crucial for the Cruz campaign, and avoided an embarrassment that might have pressured him to withdraw after Super Tuesday.

While Cruz escaped that unenviable situation, his victory in Texas is decidedly shy of impressive.

In fact, by one measure, it is the least impressive home state primary victory in party history.

A Smart Politics analysis finds that Ted Cruz’s 43.8 percent showing in Texas marks the lowest support ever recorded by a Republican presidential candidate in a home state victory out of the more than five-dozen campaigns to win their home state since 1912.

Over the last 104 years since the debut of presidential primaries, Republican White House hopefuls have successfully carried their home state in a presidential primary 61 times.

Prior to Cruz’s plurality win in Texas on Tuesday, only five of these candidates failed to win a majority of the primary vote en route to their home state victory:

(Excerpt) Read more at editions.lib.umn.edu ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: cruz; texas; youcruzyoulose
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1 posted on 03/02/2016 9:00:23 AM PST by Sybeck1
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To: Sybeck1

I think Rubio’s on track to break that record in a couple weeks.


2 posted on 03/02/2016 9:01:38 AM PST by lquist1
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To: Sybeck1

W carried it in ‘00 with 88% compared to McCain’s 7%.


3 posted on 03/02/2016 9:01:51 AM PST by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Sybeck1

Uh oh....celebrating to fast.

Can’t wait to see NY. Guarantee Trump does better then Cruz did in Texas. Lol.

Trump 2016!


4 posted on 03/02/2016 9:02:45 AM PST by napscoordinator
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To: Sybeck1

So when your favorite sports team wins by 1 point/run it is not really a win? Trump logic. Bizarro world...


5 posted on 03/02/2016 9:02:55 AM PST by Resolute Conservative
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To: pgkdan

in before the cruzers with their hair on fire


6 posted on 03/02/2016 9:03:00 AM PST by jneesy (I want my country back and Trump is gonna give it to me)
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To: pgkdan

He will hold it until the 16th


7 posted on 03/02/2016 9:03:03 AM PST by scooby321
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To: Sybeck1

The percentage is not important, Texas owns Cruz!!!


8 posted on 03/02/2016 9:03:13 AM PST by Just mythoughts (Jesus said Luke 17:32 Remember Lot's wife.)
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To: Sybeck1

So if Trump doesn’t get 50% in New York, will we see the same article for him?


9 posted on 03/02/2016 9:03:37 AM PST by Durbin
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To: Resolute Conservative
Trump logic. Bizarro world...

It's actually very meaningful considering the 50% threshold for delegates. Had Cruz reached the 50%, the delegate count would look significantly different.

10 posted on 03/02/2016 9:04:00 AM PST by The Iceman Cometh (Ted Cruz & Marco Rubio - Amnesty Pimps)
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To: Sybeck1

This is news when Hillary’s vote total in Texas was over 400,000 less than the number of votes she got in 2008?

The story of Super Tuesday should be the complete collapse of the Democrat party.


11 posted on 03/02/2016 9:05:24 AM PST by UNGN (I've been here since '98 but had nothing to say until now)
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To: lquist1

Not if he doesn’t win it


12 posted on 03/02/2016 9:08:02 AM PST by Homer1
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To: Sybeck1

Stupid article. Cruz won his home state. That’s more than Algore could accomplish yet he came really close to winning in the November election.


13 posted on 03/02/2016 9:08:14 AM PST by al_c (Obama's standing in the world has fallen so much that Kenya now claims he was born in America.)
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To: Durbin

LOL - like that could ever happen.


14 posted on 03/02/2016 9:09:22 AM PST by major-pelham
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To: lquist1

I agree. Rubes will get 20.


15 posted on 03/02/2016 9:09:32 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Sybeck1

How many names were on the ballot in each of those previous races? There were thousands of votes cast in Texas for Jeb, Fiorina, Santorum, Christie, and even, embarrassingly, Linda Graham! The ballots were printed before they withdrew from the race. In a two person race, the totals would have been different.


16 posted on 03/02/2016 9:10:19 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: The Iceman Cometh

“It’s actually very meaningful considering the 50% threshold for delegates. Had Cruz reached the 50%, the delegate count would look significantly different. “

And thankfully, he didn’t! Because in truth, Texas isn’t really “in love” with Teddy. It’s more in the nature of “going home at 2 with a “10,” and waking up at 10 with a “2!” Texas will vote Trump in the general election in a heartbeat.


17 posted on 03/02/2016 9:11:30 AM PST by vette6387 (Obama can go to hell!)
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To: UNGN

Yep.


18 posted on 03/02/2016 9:11:45 AM PST by jospehm20
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To: Sybeck1

I’m not going to criticize Cruz’s wins yesterday.

He won those three states, and deserves to be congratulated for those wins.

What makes me mad about yesterday was Rubio winning anything.

I hate that punk.


19 posted on 03/02/2016 9:12:24 AM PST by chris37 (heartless)
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To: Durbin
So if Trump doesn’t get 50% in New York, will we see the same article for him?

http://www.270towin.com/states/New_York

Statistically, when did NY ever vote for a Republican for president? Since 1976, ONLY during the Reagan years did New York turn from blue to red in a presidential election! Not even the Texan Bush boys were able to take New York! And thus far, Cruz has failed to garner the support & votes of the Reagan democrats needed to take New York.

20 posted on 03/02/2016 9:12:32 AM PST by patlin ("Knowledge is a powerful source that is - 2nd to none but God" ConstitutionallySpeaking 2011)
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