Ted Cruz Overtakes Donald Trump in Latest Republican Presidential Poll

Wall Street Journel ^ | 2/17/16 | Janet Hook

[CaptainK]

Support for Donald Trump among Republicans has declined in the past month, leaving him slightly behind Sen. Ted Cruz in the race for GOP presidential nominee, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll conducted after a combative debate performance that soured some voters on the New York businessman.

Mr. Trump had enjoyed a double-digit lead over his rivals, but the new poll found support for him falling by seven percentage points since mid-January. Among registered voters who said they would participate in a GOP primary, he drew 26% in the new survey, narrowly trailing Mr. Cruz, who had 28%.

[dynoman]

[CaptainK]

And Rubio beats him too, but only if Cruz drops out. So which one will drop out first?

[lormand]

Donald Chump jumped the shark by going Code Pink

• In 1999, Trump said he had joined the Reform Party because Republicans are “just too crazy” right.
• In 2000, he said: “I hate the concept of guns.”
• In 2004: “I identify more as a Democrat.”
• In 2007: Told Wolf Blitzer on CNN’s “The Situation Room” that Hillary Clinton was the most qualified to make a nuclear deal with Iran.
• In 2008: Said he was “impressed” with Rep. Nancy Pelosi, and supported the idea of impeaching then President George W. Bush.
• “I’m going to take care of everybody,” Trump said in September 2015 on CBS’ 60 minutes. When asked how he would pay for it, he responded that “the government’s going to take care of it.”
• He thinks affirmative action is okay
• He would fund Planned Parenthood except for abortion. (This is current federal policy, though Trump doesn't seem to know it.)
• He supports a progressive income tax. He does not favor a flat tax.
• He doesn't want to cut Social Security or Medicare.
• He's in favor of a ban on assault weapons.
• He invited Bill and Hillary Clinton to his wedding.
• He doesn't "fully" believe in supply-side economics.
• He hates the Iran deal, but he wouldn't abrogate it after taking office.

  Abortion

  Then: On "Meet The Press" in 1999, Trump said he was "very pro-choice." "I hate the concept of abortion," he said. "I hate it. I hate everything it stands for. ... but I just believe in choice."

  Now: In an interview with Bloomberg Politics in January, Trump said, "I'm pro-life and I have been pro-life." He said he believed there should be exceptions in cases of rape, incest or the life of the mother.

  Guns

  Then: In Trump's 200 book "The America We Deserve," he wrote that he "generally" opposed gun control but supported an assault weapons ban and a longer waiting period to purchase a firearm.

  Now: At the 2015 NRA-ILA Leadership Forum, Trump said if he became president, "the 2nd Amendment will be totally protected." He told the Web site Ammoland he does "not support expanding background checks" and said current background checks "don't work."

  Healthcare

  Then: In an interview with Larry King in 1999, Trump said he was "very liberal when it comes to health care" and that he believes in "universal healthcare." Now: During his announcement, he called Obamacare "a disaster called the big lie" and said the deductibles were so high they were "virtually useless."

  Hillary Clinton

  Then: Either Trump or his son donated to Clinton in 2002, 2005, 2006 and 2007, he invited her to his 2005 wedding in Florida, where she sat front row, and he's donated at least $100,000 to the Clinton Foundation. He also said in an appearance on the Howard Stern show in the mid-2000s that she was a fantastic senator.

  Now: On NBC on Wednesday, he called Clinton "the worst secretary of state in the history of our nation" and said she would be "a terrible president."

  Party affiliation

  Then: Trump changed his party from Republican to Independent Party in 1999, and switched again to Democrat in 2001.

  Now: Has been a registered Republican since 2009.

  There are also some flips which haven't necessarily been from left to right.

  Jeb Bush

  Then: In Trump's 2000 book "The America We Deserve," he called Bush "a good man," "bright, tough and principled," and "exactly the kind of political leader this country needs now and will very much need in the future."

  Now: On Fox News's "On The Record" this week, he called Bush "pathetic" for his support of Common Core, said his immigration views were "baby stuff."

[Georgia Girl 2]

Yeh that’s the ticket. LOL!

[datura]

Did you look just a little further down in the main page before posting?

[HarleyLady27]

WRONG:

Huffington Post: Trump 37.5%; Cruz 18.5%; Rubio 16.4%; Carson 8.4%; Kasich 5.5%; Bush 5.4%

Morning Consult: 2/15-2/16

Trump 41%; Rubio 14%; Cruz 12% Carson 11%; Kasich 3%; Bush 7%

Suffolk/USA Today: 2/14-2/16

Trump 35%; Cruz 20%; Rubio 17%; Carson 4%; Kasich 7%; Bush 4%

Quinnipiac Poll: 2/10-2/15

Trump 39%; Rubio 19%; Cruz 18%; Carson 4%; Kasich 6%; Bush 4%

[20yearsofinternet]

Guess we’ll find out on Saturday if non-stop reposts of outlier polls on FR will translate to votes!

[bigbob]

“NBC surveyed 400 registered Republican voters. The poll has a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points”

1. NBC
2. 400 voters divided by 50 states = 8 voters polled per state
3. 4.9% MOE

and best of all:

“When is the national primary”???

[CaptainK]

I did a search

[deport]

Guess we’ll find out on Saturday if non-stop reposts of outlier polls on FR will translate to votes!

************

The nationwide doesn’t show that yet. As far as South Carolina voting begins
in about 60 hours and results will begin to emerge in 72 hours.

[DoughtyOne]

I would like to congratulate each and every Cruz supporter for this certain South Carolina victory in three days.

All the best.

D1

[Eddie01]

I’m having a blast... watching this BS poll get posted back to back to back.

Thanks for the great chart.

[fireman15]

So what significance will it have if Trump “outperforms” this poll by the margins predicted by every other poll that has been taken in the same time period?

[CaptainK]

I’m a Trump, Cruz supporter. In that order.

[ripnbang]

4th time.

[Yashcheritsiy]

So when is the national primary?

/sorry, I just had to

[Georgia Girl 2]

And Trump is still leading bigtime in every poll. Go figure. Maybe if you just post this a few more times. :-)

[JediJones]

[Gator113]

Thank you for that breakdown. What a stinking joke.