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Our Man in Iowa: Early Signs of a Big Turnout for Republicans
NY Times ^ | 1/26/16 | TRIP GABRIEL

Posted on 01/26/2016 8:57:56 AM PST by jimbo123

Good morning from Iowa, where premium gasoline is $1.67 a gallon at Git-n-Go, and where a warming trend has arrived, which could last through the caucuses six days from now, favoring a strong turnout.

There are mounting signs these caucuses may go into the record books for turnout, at least on the Republican side. Tami Jorgensen, who works for the auditor of the predominantly conservative Warren County, told me she was astonished at how many people had called asking for the location of their precinct's caucuses.

-snip-

Where's Jeb Bush?

You know who is not here? Jeb Bush, who has all but abandoned Iowa for a New Hampshire-or-bust strategy. Mr. Bush has spent just two days in Iowa this month. But the "super PAC" supporting him, Right to Rise, continues to drop heavy ordnance on Senator Marco Rubio of Florida in TV ads and on Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio in mailings.

The circular firing squad among establishment-leaning Republicans baffles some strategists.

"If Right to Rise spent $50 million contrasting Jeb Bush and Donald Trump, this race would be very different," said Stuart Stevens, who was Mitt Romney's top strategist in 2012 and whose consulting firm is advising Mr. Christie, although he is not directly involved in the campaign.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cruz; deportjebbush; iowa; trump
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1 posted on 01/26/2016 8:57:56 AM PST by jimbo123
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To: jimbo123

>> “If Right to Rise spent $50 million contrasting Jeb Bush and Donald Trump, this race would be very different,” said Stuart Stevens

Why yes it would, Stewie, but not in the way you’d like to imagine.


2 posted on 01/26/2016 9:00:39 AM PST by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: jimbo123

Yup, we are here to caucus for Trump... I brung a few friends along...

Hey guys! I told ya we shoulda brought foldin chairs!

When does this rucus, er I mean caucus start?

3 posted on 01/26/2016 9:00:42 AM PST by Bobalu (I told you so!)
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To: jimbo123

I am hoping this expected abnormal turnout of Republicans consists of BOTH Trump and Cruz supporters. I really don’t care which one wins in the end. I only want Bush, Rubio and Christie to be so inundated with neglect they slither back to their damned holes under the nearest rock.


4 posted on 01/26/2016 9:01:12 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: jimbo123

A big turnout would be favorable to Trump, from what I’ve heard and read.


5 posted on 01/26/2016 9:01:51 AM PST by Signalman
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To: jimbo123

The excitement builds.

Heavy calling about caucus information.

Who are those people and who do they support?


6 posted on 01/26/2016 9:03:13 AM PST by SaxxonWoods (Trump and/or Cruz, it's all good.)
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To: jimbo123

A big turnout is a good thing for our republic. It means are ticked off and/or engaged. An engaged populace is good for America. Especially in making it great again....


7 posted on 01/26/2016 9:04:26 AM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: jimbo123

Yeah I figured this out a long time ago. It’s going to be the biggest caucus turnout for Iowa.


8 posted on 01/26/2016 9:05:56 AM PST by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: jimbo123
There are mounting signs these caucuses may go into the record books for turnout, at least on the Republican side. Tami Jorgensen, who works for the auditor of the predominantly conservative Warren County, told me she was astonished at how many people had called asking for the location of their precinct's caucuses.

Impossible! Steve Deace's cousin's boyfriend talked to some guy who is really well respected in Iowa and is always right about these kinds of things. He says that the turnout won't be any higher and that the polls that say Trump is ahead are wrong because they call for high turnout. He says there's a 89% chance that Cruz wins by 140 points, based on his scientific turnout models.

You know they're really good too, because he did them on a computer.

9 posted on 01/26/2016 9:06:05 AM PST by perfect_rovian_storm
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To: jimbo123

Big turnout means Trump wins.


10 posted on 01/26/2016 9:08:40 AM PST by ModelBreaker (')
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To: ModelBreaker

That’s about a given on both points. A new Iowa record turnout and then Trump wins.


11 posted on 01/26/2016 9:11:14 AM PST by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: ripnbang

America is and always has been great... Even when the Libtards are running the show. Ever seen anyone trying to escape? Even the DUmmies who say they will leave if “X” wins.


12 posted on 01/26/2016 9:12:38 AM PST by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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To: ModelBreaker

Big turnout means Trump wins.

*************

Possible but depends upon the “ACC” effect.


13 posted on 01/26/2016 9:16:51 AM PST by deport
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To: jimbo123; flaglady47; Jane Long; HarleyLady27; RitaOK; JustaCowgirl; DoughtyOne; Bushbacker1; ...
As one who has run in 11 primaries and generals for elective office during my political career (won every one of 'em) let me tell ya that a larger than normal voter turnout means "protest vote".

In this case the turnout will be protesting the same things Mr. Trump is protesting, mark my words.

Leni

14 posted on 01/26/2016 9:17:18 AM PST by MinuteGal (GO, TRUMP, GO !!!)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

Boy, there is going to be wailing and gnashing of teeth next week among both Cruzers and the GOPe. Trump now over 40% in CNN poll. I haven’t seen a Reuters 5-day rolling poll in a while.


15 posted on 01/26/2016 9:18:39 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: MinuteGal

Those comments got my vote.

“:^)


16 posted on 01/26/2016 9:19:40 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Free Republic Caucus: vote daily / watch for the thread / Starts 01/20 midnight to midnight EST)
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To: RasterMaster

Gov. Kasich, is that you?


17 posted on 01/26/2016 9:19:47 AM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: Signalman

Big turnout= All of those people at Trump rallies are going to show up.

Because that number sure as heck dont go to Cruz’s.


18 posted on 01/26/2016 9:21:11 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: jimbo123

Mr. Bush has spent just two days in Iowa this month. But the “super PAC” supporting him, Right to Rise, continues to drop heavy ordnance on Senator Marco Rubio of Florida in TV ads and on Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio in mailings.


Jeb has zero chance of winning in Iowa, but obviously Mike Murphy wants to cash in on his percentage of the ad buys before Jeb flames out. Nice work if you can get it.


19 posted on 01/26/2016 9:24:53 AM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: MinuteGal
...a larger than normal voter turnout means "protest vote".

Yep. Nothing brings them to the polls like "We're mad as hell and we're not going to take this anymore!" .

20 posted on 01/26/2016 9:25:02 AM PST by Billthedrill
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