Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Weakest Economic Recovery in Modern Times
Townhall.com ^ | January 7, 2016 | Jeff Jacoby

Posted on 01/07/2016 7:47:54 AM PST by Kaslin

Even in boom times, any president can expect candidates from the opposing party to subject his record to pitiless scrutiny. The economy under Barack Obama isn't exactly filling voters with confidence, so it's not surprising that presidential hopefuls are pretty severe in their critique.

Listen to the kinds of things being said as candidates assure voters that they understand how shaky the economy is, more than six years into the current recovery.

"Our middle class is shrinking," one candidate warned during a debate. "Our poor families are becoming poorer, and 70 percent of us are earning the same or less than we were 12 years ago. We need new leadership."

Another candidate scorned the administration's happy talk about unemployment falling to just over 5 percent. "What they forgot to tell you," he told an audience, "is that statistic doesn't include those people who have given up looking for work, those people who are working part time. Add it all together and real unemployment is over 10 percent."

Politics being what it is, nobody is surprised when Republicans harshly judge Obama's handling of the economy. But wait — those quotes come from Democrats. That was former governor Martin O'Malley lamenting that wages haven't improved in 12 years. It was Senator Bernie Sanders pointing out how bad the jobless numbers really are. With the exception of Hillary Clinton, who told the Boston Globe that she would give Obama an "A" and "the credit he deserves for saving our economy," candidates across the spectrum have acknowledged how threadbare this recovery has been.

The Great Recession formally ended in June 2009, just five months after Obama's inauguration. Nevertheless, polls repeatedly find that large swaths of voters believe the US economy is still suffering from recession. They may be wrong on the technical definition. But they aren't nearly as wrong on the essence of the matter as the president, who insists the economy is coming up roses.

"The economy, by every metric, is better than when I came into office," Obama told Jon Stewart during his last appearance on "The Daily Show." Even PolitiFact, which no one has ever accused of leaning Republican, rated that whopper "Mostly False."

In truth, a depressing array of "metrics" shows an economy that has yet to get back on its feet, notwithstanding the unprecedented sums spent by Washington in the form of "stimulus," bailouts, and gargantuan budget deficits.

Six million more Americans live in poverty today than when Obama was elected. Median household income (in real dollars) was no higher at the end of 2015 than at the end of 2007. The labor force participation rate — the share of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one — has sunk to 62.5 percent, a level not seen since the Carter administration. Since the recession ended, the economy has grown at an annual rate of just 2.2 percent. That is way below average for post-recession recoveries. Indeed, this has been the weakest economic recovery in modern times.

It should have been one of the strongest.

In America, the historical pattern has always been that the deeper the recession, the stronger the recovery that follows. After a severe recession like the one Obama inherited, the economy should have come roaring back faster than usual, quickly regained what had been lost. This isn't after-the-fact wisdom: It is what the administration itself predicted at the time. Far from anticipating the limping slog of the last seven years, the White House confidently forecast an economic recovery that would feature robust GDP growth of 4 percent or more. It never came close.

More Americans would be working, paychecks would be larger, and public confidence would be sturdier if the economy had bounced back as vigorously as expected. Obama thought he had a better way to fix a recession. Turns out he had a worse way. Live and learn, voters.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economy; resident0bama

1 posted on 01/07/2016 7:47:54 AM PST by Kaslin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Kaslin
People vote their pocketbook.

The Democrats will NOT win in 2016.

2 posted on 01/07/2016 7:49:26 AM PST by Cowboy Bob (With Trump & Cruz, America can't lose!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

3 posted on 01/07/2016 7:49:42 AM PST by PROCON
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Workforce participation is slightly over 62%.

There is no recovery in the private sector nor for the people.


4 posted on 01/07/2016 7:51:55 AM PST by Psalm 144 (The mill grinds exceedingly fine.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

What “recovery”?

It appears to be a long, steady slide downhill to me. The only way the Obummer sycophants can try to squeeze good news out of the economy is to ignore the overwhelmingly bad aspects (95 million out of the workforce, record numbers on food stamps, wage stagnation, loss of net wealth over the last few years, more people living from paycheck to paycheck, the efforts to buoy the economy by massive printing of money will ultimately result in massively higher federal interest payments, etc., etc.).

No hope, very little pocket change.


5 posted on 01/07/2016 8:02:59 AM PST by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cowboy Bob

Democrats vote with fraud and the dead plus anything else illegal but I hope that enough real people will turn out to offset their evil tactics.


6 posted on 01/07/2016 8:04:14 AM PST by wally_bert (I didn't get where I am today by selling ice cream tasting of bookends, pumice stone & West Germany)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Obama has accelerated the decline, but the sucking sound of manufacturing and jobs to turd world countries is the real problem. One can’t have a capitalist economy if it doesn’t make capital.


7 posted on 01/07/2016 8:09:37 AM PST by DonaldC (A nation cannot stand in the absence of religious principle.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Going from minus 2% growth to minus 1% growth is now called a recovery.


8 posted on 01/07/2016 8:34:31 AM PST by lewislynn ( You know you're a Muslim if everything offends you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cowboy Bob

Lets pray they won’t


9 posted on 01/07/2016 8:39:13 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him, and he got them. Now we all have to pay the consequenses)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: lewislynn; DonaldC; wally_bert; SharpRightTurn; Psalm 144; PROCON; Cowboy Bob

BTTT


10 posted on 01/07/2016 8:44:56 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him, and he got them. Now we all have to pay the consequenses)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

If one were to put any stock in economic wave theory, the beginning of the next growth period has been narrowed to about 2017.


11 posted on 01/07/2016 4:13:54 PM PST by Ozark Tom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

There has never been a recent recovery, just a severe depression masked by 6 trillion in government deficits to pay for modern bread lines. They hid the depression behind government debt. When it finally collapses, it is going to be hell. Which is exactly what they want.


12 posted on 01/07/2016 5:07:12 PM PST by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (The Confederate Flag is the new "N" word.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cowboy Bob

If they voted with their pocketbooks, we’d have won everything last time.


13 posted on 01/08/2016 10:00:51 AM PST by MaggiesPitchfork
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson