"Death to America!"
"Death to America!"
1/ It’s time for some Counterintelligence #realtalk about actual espionage threats to USG in 2015; this is a big deal and WSJ isn’t helping.
2/ The “Big 4†CI threats to USG in 2015 are Russia, China, Cuba, and Israel, more or less but not 100% of the time in that order. Not new.
3/ Russia is No 1 CI threat due to excellent HUMINT, solid tradecraft & a strategic sense for deception AKA #provokatsiya USG cannot match.
4/ Russia is also significantly helped by a really solid SIGINT effort, both FSB & GRU, that has lots of skilled personnel. They’re good.
5/ Chinese HUMINT isn’t all that skilled but it’s a numbers game. Tough to stop. Only upside is they’re cautious outside the ethnic milieu.
6/ PRC SIGINT isn’t as good as the Russians but, again, they have big battalions. Also, their hacking is tough to stop, as OPM+DoD+WH know.
7/ Yes, Cuba really is a CI powerhouse vs USG, as I’ve explained in detail, excellent HUMINT in USA, http://20committee.com/2013/04/28/fidels-secret-friends-in-dc/
8/ Israel has good HUMINT, excellent SIGINT, and loads of chutzpah. They know they have a free hand vs USG. See: http://20committee.com/2012/07/29/friends-from-the-institute/
9/ Israeli HUMINT vs US is persistent+aggressive, arguably most aggressive CI threat we face anywhere. They know they face few consequences.
10/ France is another intel partner that also spies on USG hard. But they follow more rules than Israel does. They respect certain lines.
11/ Iran and KSA are serious CI threats too but not really inside USA (Iran esp). Regionally, a big CI problem, but worldwide not so much.
12/ Bottom line is USG faces many CI threats but only a few countries really target us hard inside our own country. Overseas is different.
source: https://twitter.com/20committee
