Posted on 10/22/2015 11:56:42 AM PDT by Mariner
With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of a September 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Trump at 27 percent with Carson at 21 percent.
Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 6 percent, with Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 5 percent each. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 3 percent undecided.
Carson tops Trump 33 - 13 percent among women. Men are divided as 25 percent back Carson and 24 percent go with Trump.
Trump tops the "no way" list as 30 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants say they "would definitely not support" him for the GOP nomination. Bush is next on this "no way" list with 21 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
heh heh
That’s why I don’t take this poll seriously. I don’t need to be convinced it’s a poll designed to get a certain outcome.
> “Looks legit.”
You just made yourself ridiculous.
The only poll that matters is how many show up on primary day to vote.
It takes a conscious committed effort to take the time to vote. It takes barely any energy to respond to a poll.
More than 8,000 ‘showed up’ at a Trump rally in Iowa yesterday. Showing up to a rally is a serious indicator of a person’s commitment and passion for a cause, unless they were paid which was not the case yesterday.
It was reported that those more than 8,000 that showed up are the largest crowd at that venue in history.
Those more than 8,000 are a far larger indication of sentiment than a poll of 574 unknowns who were selected from women and evangelicals, with likely double counting.
I smell a Rove.
Rovians will need to turn every poll around to create a narrative of Trump no longer the frontrunner. Let’s see them do it. I expect a massive fail.
You obviously have not read my posts subsequent to the first one.
I do that sometimes too :)
Bush is finished. Hang it up!!
It holds true in most places. The Reuters poll shows the same thing.
I just saw another article out of Iowa about home-school Christians being strongly in support of Ben Carson.
Nothing wrong with that. It’s their right. It’s just that we know if in a presidential poll they over-sample democrats and under-sample republicans that they can skew the results.
Same here. If you over-sample pro-Carson groups, then you will skew the results. So, when you look at the internals and discover they INCREASED their sample of pro-Carson groups over how they did it in September, then you have to ask yourself what’s going on. It makes me a bit suspicious.
LoL, sure. Let's ask President Ron Paul how those crowds translated into votes............oh wait.
Jeb news.
Quinnipiac got their call list from the Greater Des Moines Sewing and Ladies Christmas Club.
Quinnipiac got their call list from the Greater Des Moines Sewing and Ladies Christmas Club.
Ben Carson is the Establishments last ditch effort to stop Trump.
given the dirt tricks campaigning, and how this poll is MAGICALLY the only one the media is now discussing, ...
We should be vigilant for campaign Trolls.
(ala Mediamatters)
Democrats don't want Hillary and will vote for Trump or stay home.
Precisely
Same here!
I’m sure you’re right. Trenchant analysis based on the fact that the Democrats always abandon the Clintons.
“Name the last time a candidate who won Iowa (republican) went on to win the nomination.”
George W. Bush in 2000.
Mike Huckabee beat Mitt Romney in 2008, and George Bush beat Ronald Reagan in 1980!
http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/caucus-history-past-years-results/
Democrats running for offices in swing States have to be terrified, she is going to destroy any hope of gaining seats in those States.
It does not matter what you said before. What you said was enough to close the door on you by those that have the credentials to know better.
I see you posted subsequent posts to me that I have not read yet. But I will guess with high probability that you either fell into a fit and created a diatribe or back-peddled into a pathetic series of lame defenses or both.
Enjoy your Quinnipiac day.
He leads in Iowa.
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