Posted on 10/22/2015 11:56:42 AM PDT by Mariner
With a big boost from women, Dr. Ben Carson leads Donald Trump 28 - 20 percent among Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants, with 13 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and 10 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to the results of a September 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Trump at 27 percent with Carson at 21 percent.
Today, Sen. Rand Paul is at 6 percent, with Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 5 percent each. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 3 percent undecided.
Carson tops Trump 33 - 13 percent among women. Men are divided as 25 percent back Carson and 24 percent go with Trump.
Trump tops the "no way" list as 30 percent of Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants say they "would definitely not support" him for the GOP nomination. Bush is next on this "no way" list with 21 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
Getting into your daughter’s mother-in-law’s head sounds like it would be a short trip.
As an indicator of who will eventually get elected Iowa is a big fat zero. I really don’t know why politicians spend so much time and money to win it!!
She probably knew that years ago :)
The best thing that could happen for the Democrats is that Trump would win. Those who not never vote for him would be stuck with no option. Trump, the fraud, faux conservative would have helped Hillary win, which many of us think is goal anyway.
I hope folks start taking a close look at Carson...they wont like what they see!
Anyone who says to a robber to turn his weapon on the guy behind the counter shows lack character. Carson will never get this household’s votes. The more he talks, the more I suspect he’s lying.
Having just read how this mess works in Iowa. It’s a waste of money and time.
I'll show you the respect due a fellow Freeper.
But I'll say that there is no evidence, however thin, to indicate Trump is not in it to win it.
Likely, much to your chagrin.
How can he be the best thing for the Democrats when he will cut into Reagan Democrats and blue dogs more than anyone else? He’ll cut into the African American vote more than any other GOP’er. I can’t remember a single black person in the media going for Romney last time.
True, but we will all know in a few months.
That is a good analysis
LOL
Then the question remains: Where did the list come from?
Did Quinnipiac develop it on there own, and how?
And really, how does one really poll a caucus state?
If hanky-panky was going on which is very possible since Q-Kiddie pollsters are still very liberal, and/or to make new headlines.
Did they call 5,000 people to narrow down to Likely GOP Caucus goers?
Or, did somebody hand them a list?
That's possible too.
After polling Iowa for sometime, they would know who to call back in a later poll to skew in the direction they want. It's very easy to do.
he is being paid to do exactly that.
It is the mockingjay plan. Split the jbush competition up.
Not This Baptist Pastor. I am for Trump!
That’s really a generic poll question.
Try “how political polls work” in a search engine.
A large number of people are quizzed at random, then the sample is narrowed down by demographics and other question responses. Polls rely on people being truthful.
I know how they work and that's my point.
Quinnipiac did not narrow down from a very large random sample to get their list of 574.
They just made a statement of: "574 likely Republican Caucus Goers" with no mention of how they developed that list.
I know how they work and that's my point.
Quinnipiac did not narrow down from a very large random sample to get their list of 574.
They just made a statement of: "574 likely Republican Caucus Goers" with no mention of how they developed that list.
A more reliable, scientific survey would start with 5-8000 random numbers in Iowa.
Name the last time a candidate who won Iowa (republican) went on to win the nomination. Iowa is of nearly no matter at all.
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