Posted on 10/11/2015 10:22:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
In America, the saying goes, anyone can grow up to be president. Well, anyone did, and now it seems like everyone else wants to try.
One of Barack Obamas few accomplishments as president is that he has substantially lowered the bar for future aspirants. In retrospect, it is still mind-boggling that citizens of the most powerful nation on earth, presumed leader of the free world, risked its governance on a community organizer of little note, a senator for less than one term with no legislative achievements to speak of.
It should not be a surprise when the country that elects such a neophyte struggles with a tepid economy, a smaller work force, and a global environment in which former U.S. allies look to Russia for leadership and vision.
Another part of Obamas legacy is the surprising popularity of the three non-politicians in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. It is as if the American people have realized that if experience has produced todays political climate, then we might as well try a different type of inexperience. It cant be worse, can it?
Probably not, as long as the novice politician retains a sense of humility, a willingness to admit mistakes and learn from them, and an openness to diverse sources of information. Of the three novices in the Republican race, two Dr. Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina certainly qualify from that perspective. The third Donald Trump does not, and awakens ghosts from the distant past.
Almost all presidents have ascended to the office after serving as vice president or governor. Eisenhower was the last president who entered office as a non-politician but he had merely been the Supreme Commander of the Allied forces that won World War II.
Ross Perot was the last non-politician to mount a serious campaign for the presidency, and he probably cost George H.W. Bush reelection in 1992, although analysts spin the numbers both ways. But Trump replicates another individual who sought the presidency as his first elective office, and the similarities are fascinating.
Wendell Willkie was also a former Democrat and a successful businessman (frequently described as a Wall Street titan) who wrested the Republican nomination for the presidency in 1940 from several better known competitors, famed politicians all: Senators Robert Taft (Ohio) and Arthur Vandenberg (Michigan), and Thomas E. Dewey, then-district attorney of New York County. (Dewey gained the nominations in 1944 and 1948 while serving as New York governor.)
Willkie had the misfortune of opposing a sitting president FDR but the 1940 campaign saw FDR running for an unprecedented third term, with an economy still struggling and Nazi Germany rampaging through Europe. It was a winnable election, but Willkie, while a likable chap, was not an especially enthralling campaigner. He also labored to find the right message that would balance the Republican Partys isolationist tendencies with its internationalist wing.
Notwithstanding that Willkie and FDR had almost identical views on World War II full support for the Allies short of entering the war Willkie was lambasted by FDRs running mate Henry Wallace as the Nazis choice for president. Dirty campaigning is not a modern invention. Ironically, Wallace himself was later exposed as a Communist sympathizer.
In the end, Willkie won more votes than any Republican in history to that point but lost to FDR 55 percent to 45 percent.
Willkie did not have strong roots in the Republican Party and that certainly cost him in the general election a note of caution for Trump. Lacking a political base, he was unable to overcome FDR, the master of appealing to disparate voting blocs.
Yet the differences are also dramatic, starting with the political environment. Politics has always been raucous, but todays widespread exposure of candidates, the incessant campaign season, and the president-as-celebrity that has both dumbed down politics and precipitated Obamas elections have brought all campaigns into uncharted territory.
I once thought people who want an entertainer or beer buddy or perpetual candidate as president do not vote, but I have been proven wrong. Politicians nowadays have an enormous capacity to bypass traditional media and communicate directly to the people, not only through speeches but also YouTube, Twitter, Facebook, and other such dominant entities.
Trumps real fame is not as a businessman he has had ups and downs like most businessmen but as an entertainer. Trumps appeal is that he can speak in bombastic generalities to an audience that, to date, is largely intrigued by it.
Will they vote for him? Who knows, and heres what has brought me to (almost) the point of revulsion: the campaign is just too long, and as it is too long, it lends itself to producing not the best candidate or potential president but the shallowest and most superficial (not to mention the best financed).
There is something wrong when candidates drop out more than a half-year before anyone actually votes. Yes, it is an endurance test, but why? In theory, a president need not be a great debater; Obama certainly isnt, and the only times he was actually challenged publicly and in person by anyone (Paul Ryan and Benjamin Netanyahu come to mind), he just became snarky. But its not as if the next president will have to debate Putin, Merkel, Assad, or anyone else. Thats not how policy is made.
In theory, too, a president need not be telegenic or even a good speaker. Abraham Lincoln was not especially handsome and he had a tinny voice (although a legendary way with words). These campaigns produce the best candidates but being a good candidate often has little connection with being a good president; the proof of that proposition dwells in the White House today and he still cannot resist making at least five stump speeches weekly even though he cant run again.
The good candidate and the good president have almost opposite skill sets but todays campaigns are almost designed to reward the better candidate and penalize the person who would be the good president. So the campaigns must be shortened dramatically even six months seems too long and the party conventions (four days of hot air and balloons) should be eliminated.
Heres the ideal campaign: no candidate can announce, raise funds, or mention the word president until June 1 of the election year. Have one national primary both parties, same day, in July and one day for the election in November. (Or maybe September 1 and October 1, for the campaign kick-off and the national primary.) The top two candidates are the presidential and vice-presidential nominees (unless the latter declines).
Stop giving tiny states like Iowa and New Hampshire disproportionate influence over the outcomes of presidential elections. Campaigns would not be as expensive but would be more meaningful. And I beg eliminate all polling. Taking daily polls is like taking your pulse every ten minutes; it is both obsessive and worthless. It is mind-numbing as is the daily punditry. No other country in the world has such an extensive election process. Bad process, bad results.
Everyone knows where this is headed already so why not vote this November? Hillary Clinton is ethically challenged with a cackle that makes ones skin crawl, and will struggle thankfully to overcome Joe Biden. It says something about the state of American Jewry that the first Jewish candidate to be leading the polls in several states this late in a campaign is an intermarried, unaffiliated socialist.
The Democrat candidates are weak, but weak Democrats have won in the past by drawing heavily from the fear chapter in the Democrat handbook. Theyll accuse Republicans any and all of being anti-woman, anti-black, anti-Hispanic, anti-elderly, anti-poor, and anti-middle class and promise to hand out more free stuff. I would quite enjoy a Fiorina-Carson ticket being labeled anti-woman and anti-black.
The Republican slate is filled with qualified candidates. None is without flaws, but then, who is anywhere in life? Whom do the Democrats fear most? Judging by the level of attacks, the answers in no particular order would be Christie (for his campaigning skills, his ability to get things done with a hostile legislature, and his knack for communicating his positions in a way voters understand); Rubio (bright, young, dynamic Hispanic with a keen grasp of the issues and young almost always beats old in presidential elections); Kasich (for his record of achievement as a congressman and as a governor of a critical swing state); and, somewhat less, Jeb Bush (who is suffering from Bush fatigue but whose war chest will not allow the Democrats to steamroll him at any time during the campaign).
Democrats should fear Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina and even Donald Trump the first two because they cut into indispensable Democrat blocs and the latter because, well, he is unpredictable and all the rules of politics have changed in the last decade.
Trump will most likely flame out shortly after the voting starts. Democrats may wish for Ted Cruz because he is very conservative; be careful what you wish for, as there is no brighter, more articulate candidate than the Texas senator. Win or lose, he will be around for a long time. Mike Huckabee is a sage and folksy presence, a good combination. Almost all the candidates project what is most needed in a president: firm, sensible convictions grounded in reality and a reasonable way of implementing them.
The shame is that there are so many quality people Graham and Jindal, to name two others running for president that it is impossible for all of them to really get a fair hearing by the voters.
Down the road, we can evaluate each candidates approach and feelings toward Israel, if only to irritate Ann Coulter. For now, the race is on even if it is just about a year too early.
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About the Author: Rabbi Steven Pruzansky is spiritual leader of Congregation Bnai Yeshurun of Teaneck, New Jersey, and author, most recently, of Tzadka Mimeni: The Jewish Ethic of Personal Responsibility (Gefen Publishing House, Jerusalem, 2014). His writings and lectures can be found at www.Rabbipruzansky.com.
The piece is typical Chamber of Amnesty fare, blathering on for many paragraphs without once mentioning the issue that has given a populist like Trump traction.
There is no “there” there.
The entire article is an air sandwich.
Another guessed saying Trump will be out early... Next
He’s kind of all over the place, and I think that was a pointless swipe at Sander’s wife (that shiksa hussy!), but he makes some good points. I also have always thought Lincoln was decent looking and if his tinny voice didn’t hold him back, then Cruz may make out OK, because to me his voice is his worst feature, it’s just terrible.
My wife hates his hair.
Kind both agree and disagree
He misreads the appeal of Donald Trump who has laid out a very clear set of policies and positions. Also Trump is attracting Black and Hispanic votes. In a way I think that Trumps ambiguous past party affiliation is an advantage to attracting cross over votes.
The ability to blunt the Demonratic attacks on Republicans being anti-woman or anti-Black are why I think a female or Black should be the VP.
Fiorina is the most obvious choice but she and Trump seem to not get alone. Despite his pandering to the Ferguson thugs I think we are going to be looking at a Trump Carson ticket.
If this were a political video game I’d take a Donald Trump/Mark Cuban ticket but maybe not in real life.
Fiorina is Marco Rubio in a dress.
Really? Well, I gotta ask, how does she feel about Trump’s, er, hair?
One thing I do like about him is he has that sort of perpetually sad look, not as much a George Pataki does, but the same kind of face. My kid used to play basketball with another schoolgirl who had that same kind of look. I find it weird but charming.
Looks “thin and greasy” and “needs to be styled” according to her.
Graham? Quality people? Isn’t one imbecile homo POTUS enough?
Mr. Obama was the second, Linda would be the third.
Yes she is but she’d pull in votes from moderately liberal women. I don’t support her for president but if she balanced a ticket, got the GOP-E on board blunted the demonratic voter blocks. I’d put her on a ticket.
Better iCarly as VP than Satan’s Prom Queen as President
Wait, who was first?
Remember, he had to be both an imbecile AND a rump wrangler.
You know, she’s right. Nobody’s got good hair in this race!
When was the last time we had a pres. with good hair? JFK? And the wigs of the founders do not count!
Hey, Romney and the Carolina philanderer both did their best.
garbage
“Hey, Romney and the Carolina philanderer both did their best.”
LOL, yes, yes they did. I’ll give them credit for that.
Buchanan.
not only that, but in a related note, barack has proven the peter principle to be wrong. The principle states that a person rises only as high as permitted by his own incompetence.
If this peter principle was true, barack should've peaked when he was a community organizer.
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