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Fair Polling with Proper MOE (Averages) Since the Debate 2 (Vanity)
BigEdLB ^ | 10/8/15 | BigEdLB

Posted on 10/08/2015 4:00:56 PM PDT by BigEdLB

Rare vanity post. Polling with <5.0% MOE and eliminating polling with agendas. IBD and CFG. Polling since debate


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poll

1 posted on 10/08/2015 4:00:56 PM PDT by BigEdLB
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To: BigEdLB

Trump/Cruz 2016


2 posted on 10/08/2015 4:08:50 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Is the Pope Catholic?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

That is wonderful work. I want to thank you and encourage your updates. I think these numbers are accurate. I encourage everyone to reject “Real Clear Politics” because they are screwed to the rinos real bad and they picked Romney last time. They include polls that measure the wrong group. Totally irrelevant polling. Disregard any poll except those that measure “likely republicans to vote or caucus in primaries” and know this Trump is not bought.


3 posted on 10/08/2015 4:26:20 PM PDT by WENDLE (Trump is not bought . He is no puppet.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Thank you for the update....Trump steams ahead...others are iceberg bound.


4 posted on 10/08/2015 4:32:32 PM PDT by spokeshave (MDSM = Mentally Discombobulated Screaming Media)
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To: All

Two things. Multiple polls in a location are weighted on age, and I apportion the undecideds.


5 posted on 10/08/2015 4:38:57 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: All

Two things. Multiple polls in a location are weighted on age, and I apportion the undecideds.


6 posted on 10/08/2015 4:39:00 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: BigEdLB

What does this mean? “Polling since debate”


7 posted on 10/08/2015 5:53:49 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: BigEdLB

“Multiple polls in a location are weighted on age”

What weighting did you give based on newer vs. older?


8 posted on 10/08/2015 6:04:34 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: D-fendr

Polling since Debate II


9 posted on 10/08/2015 7:15:45 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: D-fendr

Algorithm using the date the polling was completed


10 posted on 10/08/2015 7:16:32 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: BigEdLB

If it’s too much trouble, please don’t bother, but could you give the weights of two points, say around Sept. 18 and around Oct 1? There’s quite a bit of volatility during that time.

Again, if it’s not something you can do quick and easy, don’t bother.

thanks for your replies.


11 posted on 10/08/2015 7:36:32 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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