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To: jimbo123

“It has a 4.5 percent margin of error among GOP primary voters.”

The poll movement in the article is probably noise. Maybe the bump for Fiorina and Rubio is a bump. Other than that maybe, Trump, Carson and Cruz stayed where they were pre-debate.


6 posted on 09/23/2015 4:13:43 PM PDT by ModelBreaker (')
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To: ModelBreaker; jimbo123; All

According to the article, the Carson jump was 6%. That is more than the 4.5% margin of error, so probably means actual increase in support for Carson. Having heard a 20 minute speech he gave, I agree that he was more impressive with that than with 2 minute sound bites as he complained.


15 posted on 09/23/2015 4:25:50 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: ModelBreaker; LS; SamAdams76

Carson seems to be a bit all over the place in various polls. Clearly Morning Consult and NBC have Trump at the high and Carson at the low ends of the MOE. CNN and Faux News have Trump lower and Carson higher. I still don’t understand the attraction with Carson other than he’s perceived to be religious, an outsider and a nice guy. Perhaps that’s it. He’s weak on immigration and suspect on 2A. He will gain some support short term for not backing down on his Muslim statements. Trump needs to broaden a bit with his 2A platform and his upcoming economic platform. That’s his wheelhouse so he needs to exploit. If the time comes that he needs to confront Carson on the issues he needs to be smart about it and Inhioe Roger Stone is still advising him in some capacity. Media will make it about race and he needs to not alienate the evangelicals. Great to see Linda Graham at 0. Even Gillmore had someone say they supported him!


33 posted on 09/23/2015 4:47:01 PM PDT by usafa92 (Conservative in Jersey)
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