Posted on 09/11/2015 8:02:46 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
And well they should. A new CNN poll released last night shows a staggering 19-point drop in Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers over the last two months. That’s taken her from a commanding 56/19 lead in July over Bernie Sanders to just a 37/27 lead. It’s also dropped Hillary into a three way race with Joe Biden, who now gets 20% of the poll — and 35% for second choice, beating both Hillary and Sanders.
Chuck Todd says that Hillary donors — who thought she was unbeatable — must be panicking by now. With each poll now, Todd says, “it feels like there is a new bottom“:
Todd called the poll another low for Clinton. “Every time you think, okay, when is she at bottom, it feels like there’s a new bottom,” he said.
“A month ago when she was having bad poll numbers, when it was starting to go down, one of the things they hung their hat on is, ‘Well, as bad as her numbers may look, she’s still in better shape when matched up against any one Republican,’” Todd noted. “Well, that’s not happening anymore, right? This is just pile after pile after pile.”
Todd said that donors who would still be loyal when Clinton’s numbers drop in the primary can’t ignore poll numbers showing her doing terrible in the general. “Suddenly if her electability is in question, then that’s when the handwringing truly begins and when donors start panicking. And I think they are panicking.”
If not, they should be, although this poll has some issues, too. It’s a sample of 395 Democrats or Democrat-leaners, a subset of a larger 930-respondent sample, most of which we covered yesterday. (The Republican and GOP-leaning sample was larger, 474 respondents.) The margin of error in this subsample is listed at five percentage points. That doesn’t eliminate Hillary’s plunge, but it does call into question whether it’s really quite this steep — or whether it might even be worse.
The small sample size also makes hash of the demos, which makes it a little more difficult to analyze where the crash is occurring. Interestingly, Sanders has a 39/30 lead among white voters, although CNN’s sample apparently didn’t have enough non-white voters to present statistics on them. Hillary has higher leads among voters 50 and older, and that suggests a problem among younger voters … but once again, it seems that the poll didn’t have enough of them.
Oddly, though, Hillary gets the highest enthusiasm numbers in the poll, at 43%. Bernie Sanders gets a surprisingly low 31%, considering his arena-size events. Biden splits the difference at 37%. Martin O’Malley continues to be invisible in polling.
There is an interesting difference between the two partisan subgroups, too. CNN asked about the importance of on-the-job experience in determining a vote. In the Republican sample, it fell far short in importance than agreeing on issues, 23/65, and slightly worse among supporters of Donald Trump, 21/71 — even though Trump’s positions on issues are significantly different than the conservative agenda. For Democrats in general, experience takes a more significant position, 40/45, and for Hillary supporters, it’s the main consideration at 58/32. I’ll have more on that later.
“Every time you think, okay, when is she at bottom, it feels like there’s a new bottom,” he said.
an unfortunate phrasing.... but all too true.
The bottom is 0.00000
In investing, there is the saying, "Don't try to catch a falling knife." Unlike investing, a popularity bottom is unlikely to provide a good entry point like a rebound. It's more like "It's always darkest before it goes totally black."
When you’re losing to ¡Yeb!, you are really losing
My current regret is that she might not last long enough! I hope her ego overrides her intelligence and she stays to damage her Democrat opponents. Otherwise the MSM will coalesce around the replacement and it will be the GOP that will self-destruct!
#H’sBottomDoesntMatter
Well, dammit, it is HER turn and anybody who doesn’t vote for her is sexist!
Funny. Her handlers told he to be “softer” and admit her email mistakes. The really hopeful sign coming from all of this: People aren’t fooled by her bullcrap and she continues to fall more and more with each interview. The Dems would be better to pull a Teresa Kerry move they made after her nomination speech years ago: Lock her in a room somewhere and throw the key away.
Good old Hillary “poly-bottom” Clinton.
It Ain't Over 'Til The Fat Lady Sings
Right now she is the anti-Trump regarding polling. She tries to defend herself. She apologizes. She tries to appear likeable. Regardless of what she does, her numbers still take a dive. May it continue.
let us hope there are no more videos of hillary “dancing” made available anytime soon,
The GOPe is going to be stoked. Now they’re really gonna double down on attacking Trump.
Damn if Mitt Romney is not proven right again with that 47% remark.
You could put a banana slug on the Democrat ticket and it’d poll 47% or close to it.
Something fishy here, notice how the emphasis is on Carson and Jeb? I’m sure CNN would love either one to run against her. Trump, not so much, because I’ve had democrat friends say they like what he is saying and would vote for him over Hillary. My 90+ aunt says Trump has spunk, and she’s a card holding Union member and Dem supporter from the FDR days. She thinks it may be worth the gamble to go with Trump. She feels Hillary is a phony. Ahh, the wisdom of old age.
so thats Hillary’s OTHER girlfriend?
Hubba-Hubba !
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