Posted on 08/30/2015 9:14:18 AM PDT by Theoria
In Iowa, when J. Ann Selzer talks, people listen.
Many surprising findings in a new survey by Ms. Selzer, Iowa’s most respected pollster, are sure to be topics of elated or anxious conversations on campaign conference calls on Monday morning.
Among the findings, released Saturday night: Hillary Rodham Clinton’s lead over Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont has shrunk to just 7 percentage points; Donald J. Trump’s favorability with Republicans has sharply increased, suggesting he has room to increase his lead; and Democrats are largely untroubled about Mrs. Clinton’s email controversy – suggesting her vulnerabilities are deeper.
With both parties’ nominating races entering a more serious phase after Labor Day, there is room for candidates to move up or down, but the late-summer snapshot in the poll, conducted for The Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics, will concentrate the minds of many of the candidates.
Mrs. Clinton’s support among likely Democratic caucus-goers dropped 20 percentage points from Ms. Selzer’s previous Iowa Poll in May; Mr. Sanders’s support grew 25 points since January.
Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., who has not said if he will run, polled at 14 percent. If he doesn’t run, his supporters would split equally between Mrs. Clinton and Mr. Sanders.
Three other Democrats in the race, Martin O’Malley, Jim Webb and Lincoln Chafee, who are at 3 percent or less, would have to forfeit their supporters if the caucuses were held now. Democratic rules require candidates to reach a viability level of around 15 percent for their votes to be counted.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Kind of getting the feeling Hillary is now something like Romney was for us in the last cycle...the presumptive nominee that the grass roots wants to replace. Will be interesting to see if there starts to be a flavor-of-the-week alternative to her on the Dem side.
I'm NOT 'mad as hell' - I'm disgusted. Disgusted with the corruption and smallness of the totally inadequate people in DC....
Iowa, spending millions to Lobbyist just trying to be important.
Dear NY Times Please vet our current occupant of the whitehouse.
Well, if this is close to the truth... Run Joe, run!!!
While there are some differences in the parallel...and its just idle speculation, I am wondering if we will see Sanders have a few weeks of being the not-Hilary candidate and if another one will follow...but then one of the differences is that the Democrat field of alternatives is smaller--and that Hilary has a real devastating legal troubles that might or might blow up on her before she secures the nomination.
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