Posted on 08/20/2015 9:19:11 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Over the past month of the presidential campaign, there have been multiple surprises (Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump), the relatively expected (Hillary Clinton), and the disappointing (Chris Christie, Rick Perry, and Rand Paul).
With less than 450 days until the 2016 election, here's another look at who has the best chance of making it to the White House to succeed President Barack Obama.
Our rankings are based on the Real Clear Politics averages of national polls and those in New Hampshire and Iowa. We also factor in candidates' fundraising numbers released last month and their momentum (or lack thereof) over the past few weeks, especially after the first Republican presidential debate earlier this month.
Here's a look at where all the candidates stand.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
HERE ARE THE TOP 2 THUS FAR:
_______________________________________
2. Donald Trump, Republican, businessman
Trump has lit the political world on fire since his entry into the race earlier this summer.
Trump’s bombastic entry into the race has vaulted him to the top of almost every recent polls nationally and of the early-voting states of New Hampshire and Iowa. And at least one poll is showing him gaining ground against Hillary Clinton.
There’s a clear appetite among Republican primary voters for someone like Trump, whose claims about illegal immigration have again inflamed the debate over immigration reform. And with his claim that he’s worth more than $10 billion, he won’t be pressed for funds. He said last weekend that he was prepared to spend $1 billion on his campaign.
Time will tell if Trump can sustain his serious momentum and be a real factor five months from now, when voters finally start going to the polls. But with the way he keeps weathering controversy after controversy that would seemingly sink most other candidates, it looks like he’s going to be in the conversation for a while.
National polling average among Republican voters: 22% (1st)
Iowa: 19.3% (1st)
New Hampshire: 24.5% (1st)
STOCK: Rising
Last month: 4
1. Hillary Clinton, Democrat, former Secretary of State
Clinton is No. 1 here because she’s proved formidable in both polling and fundraising — and she still looks to be able to glide to the Democratic nomination, despite continued controversy over her use of a private email server as secretary of state.
Clinton averages about 49% of the Democratic vote when combining national, Iowa, and New Hampshire polls. Though these are all different races with different electorates, her strength in all three shows her overall dominance in the primary.
She’s ahead by an average of about 24 points in national polling, according to Real Clear Politics. She’s up by the same margin in Iowa, but there are signs of tightening in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire. New polls released this week also showed her on shaky ground against Republican hopefuls in theoretical general-election matchups.
Overall, Clinton is a shaky No. 1 at this point. But she still has the easiest path to the nomination. If Vice President Joe Biden does decide to run, that path could become much more difficult.
National polling average among Democratic voters: 54.5% (1st)
Iowa: 50.5%% (1st)
New Hampshire: 40.7% (1st)
STOCK: Neutral
Last month: 1
NOTE THIS:
11. Joe Biden, Democrat, Vice President of the United States
Welcome a newcomer to the presidential power rankings: Vice President Joe Biden, who is newly considering a challenge to front-runner Hillary Clinton.
Biden would have an uphill battle if he were to enter the race, which is becoming an increasingly likely proposition.
But lingering concerns over Clinton’s use of a private email server, plus Biden’s legitimacy over Bernie Sanders as a potential nominee, would quickly vault him into the forefront of a hotly contested primary. (Keep in mind that the poll numbers below are from him being a theoretical candidate, and that he would likely see a boost if he were to officially enter the race.)
Most Democratic voters now want him to take the plunge: A CNN poll released this week showed that 53% of Democrats prefer his entry into the race.
National polling average among Democratic voters: 11% (3rd)
Iowa: 9.3% (3rd)
New Hampshire: 6.7% (3rd)
STOCK: Rising
Last month: N/A
In the political world that's light years away...
Today's polls are pretty much worthless except for the News organization to manipulate their reporting...
Whatta joke!
Everything for the Party, Comrades!
I think I’d rate somewhere in the top 300,000,000
I read the entire article and didn’t find fault.
RE: Whatta joke!
Can you elaborate?
The left media hasn't said anything about how wealthy he is yet. They hammered Willard Romney on that on a daily basis and Trump is worth 20 times what Mittens is. JMO.
After all the evil crap she’s done, Hillary! is still #1. Go figure.
70% of the populace won’t care until Feb.
Polls have been and are meaningless until then.
They’re using combined polls. Can’t these imbeciles do the math, 4 Democrat candidates in a pool vs. 17 candidates on Republican side.. Yeah, we might be a tad watered down. Especially fund-raising since Hillary got most of hers before servergate.
From link
#1) Hillary
2) Trump
3) Jeb
4) Walker
...
19) Grahamesty HA-HA
And ratings, don't forget ratings. The Trump circus has driven ratings up in July and August, typically an AWFUL time of year for TV news ratings, particularly politically-oriented news, and particularly in an off year.
I pretty much stopped watching the news, it's 24/7 Trump.
I am already sick to death of the Trump circus, and I like the guy...!
Hillary will make a deal and drop out of the race...zer0 will pardon her crimes upon leaving office.
I think the media can and will destroy him when the time is right. He is after all a largely media created animal. If it weren’t for the media he would be another little known billionaire
It won’t matter that it was many years ago or what the context was, they’ll only remember that he said he didn’t want black guys counting his money. The week after that it will be another old comment the week after that another old comment etc.
Somewhere Todd Akin is shaking his head at this whole affair.
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