The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over

FiveThirtyEight ^ | 08/11/2015 | By HARRY ENTEN

[SeekAndFind]

Not long ago, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders was surging. In just a few months, the Vermont senator halved Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa and moved to within shouting distance of her in New Hampshire. But it’s probably time to change the verb tense. No longer is Sanders surging. He has surged. From now on, picking up additional support will be more of a slog.

Take a look at the monthly averages of Clinton’s and Sanders’s support in live-interview polls taken in Iowa and New Hampshire since April (the month that both Clinton and Sanders officially entered the race):

	IOWA		NEW HAMPSHIRE
MONTH	CLINTON	SANDERS	Clinton	Sanders
July	55%	26%	45%	35%
June	51	29	47	30
May	57	16	62	18
April	59	9	51	13

Support for Sanders rocketed up in Iowa but has leveled off since June. The story is nearly the same in New Hampshire. Sanders rose from June to July in the Granite State, but his ascent slowed.¹

So what’s going on? Sanders is maxing out on gains simply because of increased name recognition. Different pollsters ask about favorability and name recognition in different ways — making comparisons tricky — but the University of New Hampshire (UNH) polled Democrats in the state in April, June and July. Sanders’s favorable rating went from 45 percent in April to 66 percent in June and then to 69 percent in July.

[Steely Tom]

He could announce that Caitlyn Jenner is his pick for VP.

[LeoWindhorse]

that so many are so supportive of this disheveled little socialist is symptomatic of how far gone our country has become , the lunatics are on the loose

[BenLurkin]

If Sanders were ever to pose a genuine threat to Mrs. Clinton’s candidacy — the Washington cartel would make short work of him.

[stephenjohnbanker]

You.....you mean people quit believing in him after he reached 100 trillion dollars of free stuff ?

[SeekAndFind]

I think people (even Democrats) do not like him surrendering to the #BlackLivesMatter crowd.

[Patton@Bastogne]

that’s racist !!!!!

[RushIsMyTeddyBear]

Just looking at him assures me he has old BO and bad breath. Ugh!

[Biggirl]

But yet, he still bring in crowds of people that Hillary can only dream of.

[caww]

They had to have Berni’s rally’s before the college students went back to school....when you look at the photos up close my gosh they’re more than a little dominate...not to mention the “pinks” and “pets”.

[caww]

Bernie simply opened the way for Hillary because she can’t run a campaign worth crap....and besides to old to handle the campaign trail.

[capydick]

that so many are so supportive of this disheveled little socialist is symptomatic of how far gone our country has become , the lunatics are on the loose

They approve of the way he backed down and slinked off the stage when confronted by the #blacklivesmatter thugs

[Steamburg]

The RNC should sue for plagiarism of their Trump articles. Hill still talks to cameras in empty rooms. If it weren’t for journalists, there would be no Hillary following.

[faithhopecharity]

the vast majority of D’s do NOT want Hillary foisted off on them

they are attracted to Bernie because he is more honest and has a far less rotten record in political office

the Bernie surge will only end if and when a more acceptable (to the majority of D’s, that is) main-stream Democrat of any prominence seriously starts to campaign for the D nomination

until that happens, we expect Bernie to keep doing quite well (despite the Soros opposition and funding of disruptive street thug gangs to mess up his speeches)

[Paladin2]

Time for Operation Chaos II.

[Charles Martel]

He could announce that Caitlyn Jenner is his pick for VP.

Or worse... Oprah.

[Talisker]

LOL, yesterday the nurse’s union rejected Hillary for Bernie, and today Bernie’s declared as “over.”

[lodi90]

the vast majority of D’s do NOT want Hillary foisted off on them

---

Dems are sheep who will follow whatever figurehead they are given by the party. Sanders, Clinton, Biden, etc. Matters little who the nominee is.

[dfwgator]

Yep, everyone is tired of the Bush/Clinton Political Cartel.

[Dr. Ursus]

He ran out of free S***!