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That New Hampshire poll showing Sanders close to Clinton is actually good for Clinton
Washington Post ^ | 08/05/2015 | Phillip Bump

Posted on 08/05/2015 7:46:28 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Right as the world learned which 200 of the 19,000 Republican presidential candidates would get to participate in the first debate on Thursday night, a bit of news on the other side of the 2016 coin. A new poll from WMUR in New Hampshire showed that Bernie Sanders had closed to within six points of Hillary Clinton. That's essentially within the 5.9-point margin of error for Democratic respondents. A statistical tie! Trouble in Clintonland!

At the risk of sounding ridiculously contrarian, the opposite is true. This is actually relatively good news for Clinton, all things considering.

I can back that assertion up. Here's the track in recent polling from the Granite State Poll.


A few things worth noticing here. The first is that the tightness in the race between Clinton and Sanders didn't just emerge. In the last poll, conducted in June, Clinton led Sanders by 8. So she lost a point, he gained one. In a poll with a margin of error of 6.

But also notice that the June poll was the first to drop Sen. Elizabeth Warren out of the picture. If you compare Clinton's drop with the combination of support for Warren and Sanders, you can see that Clinton appears to have started losing ground even before Sanders surged.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: berniesanders; clinton; hillary; newhampshire

1 posted on 08/05/2015 7:46:28 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

WaPo reasons: That in itself is not good news for Clinton, of course. But that the slide appears to have tapered off is.

THAT’s IT.


2 posted on 08/05/2015 7:48:07 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

HUH ???


3 posted on 08/05/2015 7:48:14 AM PDT by RaginRak
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To: SeekAndFind

WAPO whistling past the graveyard.


4 posted on 08/05/2015 7:48:18 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The trouble with America is that it's full of Americans. - King Obonzo)
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To: SeekAndFind

This reminds me of the “Trump is peaking” reports from a few weeks ago, even though he continues to inch up.


5 posted on 08/05/2015 7:51:10 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind

Honestly, this is just pathetic. It reminds me of all those polls for McCain and Romney that the Republican Establishment bent over and kissed their butts, explaining their way around the bad numbers. Pipe dreams.


6 posted on 08/05/2015 7:52:13 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: SeekAndFind

Sure it’s good news for her. If the trend continues, she will stabilize around 34% in February when New Hampshire votes. What isn’t good news about that for her?

Idiots.


7 posted on 08/05/2015 7:53:40 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: SeekAndFind
That New Hampshire poll showing Sanders close to Clinton is actually good for Clinton

So, then, if Sanders pulls ahead of her, I guess that will be terrific news for Hillary. If she continues to get such good news, her donors are going to start looking elsewhere.

8 posted on 08/05/2015 7:54:56 AM PDT by GreenHornet
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To: SeekAndFind

Anything short of incarceration next February will ensure her nomination.

The fix is in.


9 posted on 08/05/2015 8:06:07 AM PDT by cicero2k
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To: SeekAndFind

And global cooling is actually global warming.


10 posted on 08/05/2015 8:09:05 AM PDT by djpg
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To: SeekAndFind

11 posted on 08/05/2015 9:29:42 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SeekAndFind
The green line is the Washington Post's circulation circa 1997-2009....

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Audit Bureau of Circulations evidence showing that massive drop in Washington Post circulation is actually good news for the Washington Post

12 posted on 08/05/2015 9:36:15 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SeekAndFind

Makes no sense.


13 posted on 08/05/2015 11:44:30 AM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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