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WSU statistician sues seeking Kansas voting machine paper tapes
AP ^ | 06 April 2015 | Roxana Hegeman

Posted on 04/07/2015 1:35:15 PM PDT by Theoria

A Wichita State University mathematician sued the top Kansas election official Wednesday, seeking paper tapes from electronic voting machines in an effort to explain statistical anomalies favoring Republicans in counts coming from large precincts across the country.

Beth Clarkson, chief statistician for the university’s National Institute for Aviation Research, filed the open records lawsuit in Sedgwick County District Court as part of her personal quest to find the answer to an unexplained pattern that transcends elections and states. The lawsuit was amended Wednesday to name Secretary of State Kris Kobach and Sedgwick County Elections Commissioner Tabitha Lehman.

Clarkson, a certified quality engineer with a Ph.D. in statistics, said she has analyzed election returns in Kansas and elsewhere over several elections that indicate “a statistically significant” pattern where the percentage of Republican votes increase the larger the size of the precinct.

While it is well-recognized that smaller, rural precincts tend to lean Republican, statisticians have been unable to explain the consistent pattern favoring Republicans that trends upward as the number of votes cast in a precinct or other voting unit goes up. In primaries, the favored candidate appears to always be the Republican establishment candidate, above a tea party challenger. And the upward trend for Republicans occurs once a voting unit reaches roughly 500 votes.

“This is not just an anomaly that occurred in one place,” Clarkson said. “It is a pattern that has occurred repeatedly in elections across the United States.”

The pattern could be voter fraud or a demographic trend that has not been picked up by extensive polling, she said.

(Excerpt) Read more at kansascity.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: Kansas
KEYWORDS: elections; kansas; statistics; voting; votingmachine
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Fascinating.
1 posted on 04/07/2015 1:35:15 PM PDT by Theoria
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To: Theoria

It’s because most of us work for a living.


2 posted on 04/07/2015 1:37:10 PM PDT by Mercat
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To: Theoria
Kobach on Sedgwick County election lawsuit: Time is past, votes are sealed

'The State Board of Canvassers certified the election results on Nov. 26. Kobach said the records were sealed five days later in accordance with the law.'

3 posted on 04/07/2015 1:39:36 PM PDT by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: Theoria

Lets see someone sue the election officials in Pennsylvania and Philly for the districts that have 100%+ returns for the Democrats, eh?

Regards

alfa6 ;>}


4 posted on 04/07/2015 1:41:34 PM PDT by alfa6
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To: Theoria

there is no reason we don’t have secure, verifiable, voting.

think bitcoins and block chains.

you only get a ballot, given by an approved person, if you present the proper id. once received, you can cast the votes as if you were spending bitcoins.

done this way, no votes could be added and any invalid ballots (given to dead people for instance) could be invalidated and pulled from the lot.

additionally, you would get a paper receipt... allowing you to verify if the votes from your ballot were counted. the entire block chain, and list of ballots given out, would be visible to the public. this would allow independent people to verify the person receiving the ballot was eligible to vote and if not, report the ballot for review. if the review proved the ballot was invalid, the votes could be removed properly.

everyone who cast a vote could prove their vote was counted and part of the tally.


5 posted on 04/07/2015 1:43:26 PM PDT by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: Theoria

The most significant trend, in the last twenty years, is the increasing number of people who are telling pollsters to go to hell.

Which is a group that is disproportionately conservative.


6 posted on 04/07/2015 1:44:02 PM PDT by jdege
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To: Theoria

Gee, too bad she didn’t look at Al Franken’s razor thin victory over Norm Coleman in Franken’s first Senate term. With election results showing a virtual even race in the majority of precincts, ballot boxes just appeared with100% Franken’s votes.


7 posted on 04/07/2015 1:47:24 PM PDT by The Great RJ (Pants up...Don't loot!)
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To: Theoria
Fascinating, indeed:

In primaries, the favored candidate appears to always be the Republican establishment candidate, above a tea party challenger.

8 posted on 04/07/2015 1:52:24 PM PDT by kosciusko51
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To: Theoria

The true anomaly is in the inner city voting. Fix that and then compare...


9 posted on 04/07/2015 1:52:43 PM PDT by Ingtar (Capitulation is the enemy of Liberty, or so the recent past has shown.)
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To: kosciusko51

Yeah, that appears to be her concern.


10 posted on 04/07/2015 1:56:09 PM PDT by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: Theoria

So she is concerned about the number of republican voters ? Wonder if she is as concerned with all of the dead democrat voters?
Somehow i doubt it........


11 posted on 04/07/2015 1:59:23 PM PDT by SECURE AMERICA (I am an American Not a Republican or a Democrat.)
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To: Theoria

She should check out some areas in Philadelphia that get greater than 90% of the population voting dem.


12 posted on 04/07/2015 2:03:02 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: Theoria
Humbug!

With her credentials, if this were truly a "personal quest to find the answer" she would have no trouble at all gathering a group of esteemed peers for the purposes of a study.

It seems more likely she is motivated, in what must be a very time-consuming personal effort, not to seek an answer but to force some sort of outcome. Perhaps something along the line of some judicial order handicapping Republicans by 5% or some such.

13 posted on 04/07/2015 2:07:03 PM PDT by frog in a pot
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To: jdege

the increasing number of people who are telling pollsters to go to hell.


In Israel, as many as 10% of conservatives lie to the pollsters, we need to be doing that, too. I’ve personally never been polled even though I’ve voted in every election since I turned 18. And only got called - and dismissed - for jury duty twice.


14 posted on 04/07/2015 2:07:22 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: frog in a pot
One of her concerns:

'In primaries, the favored candidate appears to always be the Republican establishment candidate, above a tea party challenger.'

15 posted on 04/07/2015 2:11:08 PM PDT by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: sten

With Bitcoins the miners maintain the integrity of the system. A massive undertaking paid for with Bitcoin inflation.

Who would verify the election results?
A sample perhaps, the complete chain?


16 posted on 04/07/2015 2:12:11 PM PDT by DUMBGRUNT (BINGO!)
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To: sten

“think bitcoins”

Would you have to mine your bitcoin before you vote?


17 posted on 04/07/2015 2:15:00 PM PDT by TexasGator
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To: Theoria

Cities vote for bigger gov, rural areas vote for smaller gov. Areas with lower population density naturally have a larger precinct size, and increasingly vote Republican. Precincts in the cities are small in size but have more voters. If she compares voting behavior to precinct population density rather than geographic size she will find a uniform correlation.


18 posted on 04/07/2015 2:30:21 PM PDT by Reeses
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To: Theoria
Yes, I noticed, but that statement seems out of context and unrelated to her broader issue. The latter seems to be a concern and an inference that an increasing number of votes for Republicans seems unsupported.

Some time ago, I posted a graphic that depicted the counties in the US that were Republican-controlled. The map, which unfortunately was coded with red color, was overwhelmingly red.

So it is not surprising to me that in serious elections Republicans seem to appear in numbers far beyond what the polls and talking heads predict or can even imagine. There just isn't that percentage of Republicans in their universe.

19 posted on 04/07/2015 2:34:38 PM PDT by frog in a pot
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To: Theoria

P.S. Kris Kobach is a straight-shooter and very capable litigator. His response will be interesting.


20 posted on 04/07/2015 2:36:52 PM PDT by frog in a pot
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