Based on which sources are saying it, I’d guess that UKIP’s supposed greater draw from the Tories will prove to be largely not true. UKIP will pull a lot of fed up Labour fence-sitters and turn a few of their seats. They’ll have something under half the
When the smoke clears, the likely coalition will be led by the Conservative Party, with the Liberal Dems as coalition members. The LDs have seemed to be in a downward spiral, but seem likely to benefit from voters fed up with both the Tories and Labour, and unwilling to vote UKIP. The LDs seem to be doing a lot of vote fishing in Wales this time around.
Farage merely talks the talk about ignoring the NeoSoviet conquest of Europe, it’s an election year. That position is also consistent with UKIP’s main reason for being, which is pulling the UK out of the EU, and getting control of immigration — two things that Putin would also love to see, but which will probably remain beyond UKIPs grasp. And forever.
The growing impact of the Polish vote (mostly no to UKIP)
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-31442230
Brexit would be ‘disaster’ for UK and EU
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/brexit-would-be-disaster-uk-eu-1488194
Whoops. UKIP will have something under half the number of seats of either Tories or Labour, and edge LD and Greens.