Posted on 02/16/2015 6:23:24 AM PST by Kaslin
Global Science Report is a feature from the Center for the Study of Science, where we highlight one or two important new items in the scientific literature or the popular media. For broader and more technical perspectives, consult our monthly “Current Wisdom.”
—
On Page 3 of Friday’s Washington Post is (yet another) lurid climate story, this time about mega-droughts of several decades that are going to pop up in the Pacific Southwest around 35 years from now. The findings are based upon the UN’s climate model suite that, according to our presentation to the American Geophysical Union, is in the process of failing, because it just isn’t warming at the rate they project. Here, for example, is a graphic from John Christy and Dick McNider of the University of Alabama-Huntsville, showing the growing disparity.
The work cited in the Post ignores this teensy-weensy little problem and, instead drives the models with the UN’s biggest scenario for future carbon dioxide emissions, something that natural gas, which emits much less carbon dioxide than coal when used for electrical generation, is in the process of burying.
But it gets worse.
Droughts in the Pacific Southwest are usually broken by the big pacific climate oscillation known as El Niño. They occur every four to eight years or so. So, in order to have decades of drought, there has to be decades without El Niños.
The overdriven, overheated climate models used in this study cannot simulate them with any degree of realism.
That’s why, in the Post article, study co-author Toby Ault
had a word of caution. Weather conditions can vary, climate impacts can be mitigated, and the warnings of the study might not come to pass. A single El Niño weather pattern in the West could interrupt periods of prolonged drought.
At least younger climate scientists like assistant professor Ault are getting wiser. The fates willing, he’s going to live another 35 years, and we hope much longer. And when those pesky El Niños (along with many other potential co-conspirators) destroy the forecast of gloom and doom, he’ll be able to say that he warned that could happen, because the models his team used didn’t have a good handle on them.
The morons can't accurately predict what the weather will be in 3 days and I'm supposed to believe they know what the weather will be in 35 years?
The Charged Aerosol Release Experiment (CARE) Program
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008cosp...37..261B
A new experiment called the Charged Aerosol Release Experiment (CARE) employs the release of dust in the upper atmosphere to form a dusty plasma in space. Two solid rocket motors strapped side-by-side in opposition will provide a pin-wheel high speed dust dispenser for the CARE experiment. A spherical dust cloud will form as a radial expansion around the CARE dust release module. The release will occur between 200 and 250 km altitude in the F-region where the 10 to 1000 nm diameter particles will become charged by electron attachment. As the charged dust particle stream through the ionosphere, plasma irregularities will be produced by streaming and fluid plasma instabilities. The plasma turbulence will driven by large electric fields at the surface of the cloud resulting from the separation of unmagnetized negatively charge dust from the background positive ions which are tied to magnetic field lines. In addition, two stream instabilities from the charge particles moving through the plasma will cause plasma wave structures. The effects of the CARE dust release will be diagnosed with in situ electric field booms, dust detectors, and Langmuir probes. Remote sensing of the CARE release will involve ground backscatter radars in the HF, VHF, and UHF frequency ranges. At late times, the dust cloud will settle into the mesosphere where an artificial mesospheric cloud will be formed. Satellite imagery using the AIM satellite will measure the long-term dispersal of the artificial dust cloud. The results of the CARE experiment will be compared with radar, optical and rocket measurements of natural polar mesospheric clouds.
Irregularities Associated with Artificially Created Dusty Plasmas in the near Earth Space Environment
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFMSA21A1440B
Actually...there’s a whole list of interesting things to read... http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-abs_connect
Eco-porn is big business but has to become more lurid with time to remain effective.
We are in a mild El Nino event now. I have been tracking maritime temperatures and rainfall for over a decade, and I can say without qualification that maritime temperature has no predictive value for the amount of rainfall, none. It may correlate over decades, but it is useless in making forecasts for any particular year.
I suspect the average career of an academic or bureaucrat is about 35 years - given their “success” in predicting near-term temperature trends, I can understand their desire to go with a prediction almost four decades into the future.
Could that dust cover deflect the incoming Iranian EMP attack?
No, but the increased particulate matter in the air should contribute to more clouds, rain, snow, and ...cold!
Eastcoast snow storms and pounding they are getting this winter?
May not be climate change at all, except what some crazy government funded weather experiment caused.
No, but the increased particulate matter in the air should contribute to more clouds, rain, snow, and ...cold!
Eastcoast snow storms and pounding they are getting this winter?
May not be climate change at all, except what some crazy government funded weather experiment has caused.
And it looks like their dumping this charged plasma dust around the poles! Which then puts it into circulation all around the globe.
The second link gives you a better idea of what they are doing.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charged_Aerosol_Release_Experiment
Here is what they say they are doing. http://www.nasa.gov/centers/wallops/CARE.html
Yeah. Global warming is killing us this winter down here in Alabama. Low temps of 18, 12, 11, 9, 15, 18, 17, 11, 22. Yup, those global warming temps this winter has us melting. That snow in Huntsville today is just warming them up. Gonna be 11 here in NE Alabama this coming Thursday. Glad that heat wave is coming in on Friday when it will be 38 high and 22 low that night gets here.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.