FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Forecast (as of Oct 14)

FiveThityEight ^ | 10/14/2014 | Nate Silver

[Eccl 10:2]

Republicans have a 60.4% chance of winning a majority.

[Eccl 10:2]

Republican percentages are growing incrementally. Click on the "Elections" box to see the individual races.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/#elections

[Drango]

72% at NYSlimes
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/upshot/elections-2014-make-your-own-senate-forecast.html?ref=politics&_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1

[grumpygresh]

The Dems have a 100% chance of cheating.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Washington Post: 94% Chance Republicans Win Senate
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3214843/posts

[Eccl 10:2]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html

RCP has it as D 45, R 45, Tossups 10.

They just moved NH into the Tossup category from Leans Dem.

The Tossups:

AK: Begich (D)
AR: Pryor (D)
CO: Udall (D)
GA: Open (R)
IA: Open (D)
KS: Roberts (R)
KY: McConnell (R)
LA: Landrieu (D)
NH: Shaheen (D)
NC: Hagan (D)

538 has these 10 as 7 R’s favored, 3 D’s favored (NH, KS, NC). And we are closing in those 3.

[Bullish]

The Dems have a 100% chance of cheating.

.... And a 100% chance of not being held accountable for it.

[BAW]

I really, really, really want the Repubs to win the Senate, mostly to put another roadblock in Obama's path to destruction.

I don't trust McConnell or Boehner, but I trust Reid and Pelosi even less.

[CatOwner]

Yes please, and not barely (51-49). Make it 53-47 or better.

[ProtectOurFreedom]

If only repub meant something besides Dem Lite.

[VRW Conspirator]

I will believe it when I see it. 2012 anyone? On the other hand, every time the Libs hear or read this news, the chances will go up that they will stay at home on election day.

[norwaypinesavage]

"If only repub meant something besides Dem Lite."

You've seemed to have forgotten the vote on Obamacare. There is an overwhelming significant difference there.

[ProtectOurFreedom]

Can’t argue with that. Let me put it this way: if only there were more such principled defensive stands and if only they’d go on offense to restore the Republic and it’s conservative ideals.