Posted on 09/30/2014 10:51:51 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
the chance, worth fighting for
As I wrote, in a group of IP I recently visited the liberated territories.
According to some of my observations there does exist a certain probability of occurrence of a large-scale sabotage and terrorist war. Yesterday we talked about the factors that are to be sustained. Today, we will focus on those obstacles in its way.
Unfortunately, there are less than a factor of the first group.
So:
- Visibility. Banal comparison of the diverse aspects of everyday life "under the NPT" and in a normal peaceful life, is clearly in the medium term, reduce the number of supporters of the "War of Nedorossiyu." So reduce the size of the potential support base saboteurs and terrorists among the local population.
In fact, the Ukrainian side has a winning "starting position" for the struggle for the hearts and minds of the local population rather than "dy-ryavye" in terms of creating INABILITY support the local population wide clandestine terrorist activity
- Availability of objective PROSPECTS for change and reform. Although this point and looks for today a controversial, but in general, it is undoubtedly present. Psychology of people is really changing. Even on a subconscious level, people understand that on "the old way" will be gone. In Kramatorsk, for example, one of the deputies of the local council (can not remember what level, by the way, "Regions") at a meeting with us said, "Well I do not wonder that people came to the Maidan, it would be nice to arrange in our region a sort of economic experiment, to minimize pressure checking, to give people in addition to a variety of political and economic freedom, and to establish mechanisms for the control of the national authority. "
- Among those people who hold pro-Ukrainian position on the liberated territories are the two categories of citizens. This is primarily YOUTH (enough to go, for example, in the Slavic town hall and get acquainted with its representatives), with the guys from the student and the student fraternities, get acquainted with the guys from the local pro-Ukrainian forces of self-defense. In general, active and patriotic citizens in these areas tend to be young people.
In addition to young people, there is a very active group BIZNESOVYE (especially small and medium-sized business) and economic independence of citizens, whose dependence in terms of "making money" from the state or minimal or even reduced to a practical zero. I will say more on these two categories of citizens for the most part and kept the Ukrainian idea in this region.
- The presence of the military, some of whom are native-born, their interaction and support to local activists, the interaction with the local population actually demolish the myths about "bloodthirsty" and "punitive" the current Ukrainian government and its armed forces.
Report to the local residents thought that the Ukrainian army is not arrived in the region in order that it "appease" or "punish", but only to restore the Ukrainian jurisdiction over these territories, it was strategically the right choice. And today it is a very pretty well in the Ukrainian military, even at the grassroots level, directly in communication with the local population of servicemen.
- Factor activity terroropodpolya danger of guerrilla warfare in the liberated territories have in fact already is realized leadership Ukrainian law enforcement agencies, still only at the tactical level. But the corresponding robot, whatever it was, is gradually gaining momentum. Security Service, the Interior Ministry. in some cases, and MAT are trying to organize and coordinate the robot in that direction. There is in this way are many obstacles (from complex "bureaucratic" mechanisms and banal incompetent managers to low-level logistics and betrayal of individuals), but day by day, this work is improved.
- Status of the local "leaky" frames as possible support this kind of action is now much Inspired not call for several reasons.
First, a significant amount of vatotsefalov managed to "light up" during the binge "dy-ry." They know about it, just know that the competent authorities of the Ukrainian them as well, "thought." Because prefers ESPECIALLY not blather. Basically trying to "destabilize the situation" in most cases is the result of the efforts of "aliens" or targeted, trained operations DNR and LC.
Secondly, it is hard to deny the obvious - with the arrival of the Ukrainian Army "nedorossky lawlessness" clearly went on the decline and almost came to nothing. Robberies, wringing, violence and murder are now strongly associated with "nedorosskim way of life." Need to be a complete jerk to "underground" to struggle for his return.
Third, as it turned out all this hysteria over "for Rutskii world - mouth tear" was largely conditional upon very specific monetary preferences of its adherents. Gradually, the Ukrainian security services cover ways to recharge, it can not they do not grieve and contributes greatly to their calming ...
- And the last aspect. There is no doubt that the most important and decisive factor for the increase or decrease POSSIBILITY in these areas of subversive and terrorist war will be the so-called "comparative analysis" of everyday life, held by the population of the region.
So far, the score in favor of Ukrainian (at least, businesses prefer to transfer production from Donetsk to Kramators'k, and not vice versa). However, this does not mean that the "dy-ryavye" this will completely agree. Because discounted the possibility of broad sabotage and terrorist attacks of the enemy (as a way to neutralize this advantage) on the already liberated territory is not worth it.
APOLOGY IN ADVANCE FOR GOOGLE TRANSLATION
liberated?
more like occupied unless I am missing something
No, you are correct. The Ukraine cannot fight Russia without weapons. This arrangement is the best that can be done... Putin wins again
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