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A Little Clarity in Arkansas as Tom Cotton Opens a Lead
nytimes.com ^ | 9/10/14 | Nate Cohn

Posted on 09/10/2014 12:54:45 PM PDT by cotton1706

There has always been something slightly peculiar about the Republican Party’s designation as the favorite to win the Senate this November. Among the competitive races, it hasn’t had a clear lead in the six states where it needs to win, and it has enjoyed a significant advantage in only three Democratic-held states: in South Dakota, Montana and West Virginia.

The Republicans’ advantage has been more about the large number of opportunities across a range of red states, rather than any actual breakthroughs there in which Republicans have taken a big lead.

Arkansas could be the first state where the G.O.P. turns a big opportunity into a big lead in the polls.

For much of the summer, an onslaught of partisan polls contaminated the polling averages in Arkansas, making it hard to discern whether Mark Pryor, the Democratic incumbent, was trailing or leading his Republican challenger, Tom Cotton. There were very few nonpartisan polls, and they often disagreed. Two traditional live-interview surveys from NBC/Marist and New York Times/Kaiser Family Foundation gave Mr. Pryor a large lead among registered voters, while other polls showed Mr. Cotton in a much closer race. Photo

Polls suggest that Tom Cotton, the Republican Senate candidate in Arkansas, has pulled into the lead in his race to unseat Mark Pryor. Credit William Widmer for The New York Times

Over the last month, however, a new wave of polls makes it fairly clear that Mr. Cotton, the Republican, now has an advantage. Since July, there have been eight surveys that weren’t sponsored by some element of the Democratic campaign apparatus; all but one show Mr. Cotton with a lead.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; ar2014; elections
It's almost mid-September and the primaries are over. Things are starting to take shape.
1 posted on 09/10/2014 12:54:45 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Two liberals it seems like, the same thing we will see in many other races across the country.

That I why I am not a member of a party


2 posted on 09/10/2014 12:56:09 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: GeronL

That is why I always write in my own name for every election.

But I never win, darn it!


3 posted on 09/10/2014 1:01:25 PM PDT by Haiku Guy (Health Care Haiku: If You Have a Right / To the Labor I Provide / I Must Be Your Slave)
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To: cotton1706

Surely Cotton must’ve said or done something that doesn’t comport to firewall, 100%, purist ideology. Just in case, we’d better try to knock him down a peg.


4 posted on 09/10/2014 1:01:43 PM PDT by ScottinVA (If it doesn't include border security, it isn't "reform." It's called "amnesty.")
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To: Haiku Guy

Keep trying, maybe some day you will win.


5 posted on 09/10/2014 1:03:51 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: cotton1706

The voting system is now so corrupt I doubt the Republicans will take the Senate.


6 posted on 09/10/2014 1:04:49 PM PDT by stinkerpot65 (Global warming is a Marxist lie.)
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To: ScottinVA

I don’t think he votes with Democrats 100% of the time, you might lose interest


7 posted on 09/10/2014 1:05:06 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: Haiku Guy; GeronL

Maybe if you got your moniker down to something less than seventeen syllables.......


8 posted on 09/10/2014 3:19:56 PM PDT by shibumi (Cover it with gas and set it on fire.)
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To: shibumi

lol


9 posted on 09/10/2014 3:34:10 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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