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Sowell: Facts vs. Visions
Creators Syndicate ^ | August 26, 2014 | Thomas Sowell

Posted on 08/25/2014 1:28:50 PM PDT by jazusamo

The political left has been campaigning against the use of force since at least the 18th century. So it is not surprising that they are now arguing that heavily armed or aggressive police forces only inflame protesters and thus provoke violence.

Statisticians have long warned that correlation is not causation, but they have apparently warned in vain.

There is no reason to doubt that heavily armed police in riot gear may be more likely to show up where outbreaks of violence are expected. But when violence then breaks out, does that prove that it was the appearance of the police that caused it?

I strongly suspect that people who travel with armed guards are more likely to be murdered than people who do not travel with armed guards. After all, they are not paying to have armed guards for no reason.

If so, should we conclude from a higher murder rate among people with armed guards that having armed guards increases your chances of getting murdered? Shall we also conclude from this that we the taxpayers should no longer pay to have Secret Service agents guarding our presidents?

Actually, the history of assassinations of American presidents could be cited as evidence that armed guards are correlated with higher murder rates, if we proceed to "reason" the same way the advocates of weaker police presence seem to be reasoning.

There have been 43 Presidents of the United States, of whom four — Lincoln, Garfield, McKinley and Kennedy — have been murdered. That is a murder rate of 9 percent.

If the murder rate in the general population — most of whom do not have armed guards — were 9 percent, that would mean more than 27 million Americans murdered today. We haven't quite gotten up to a murder rate that high,...

(Excerpt) Read more at creators.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: looting; riots; sowell; thomassowell

1 posted on 08/25/2014 1:28:50 PM PDT by jazusamo
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2 posted on 08/25/2014 1:30:11 PM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo
...arguing that heavily armed or aggressive police forces only inflame protesters and thus provoke violence

That is not why I oppose the militarization of the police.

3 posted on 08/25/2014 1:31:50 PM PDT by WayneS (Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.)
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To: WayneS

You’re right - it’s the in between riots use of the militarized police forces that bother me.


4 posted on 08/25/2014 2:08:19 PM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570
You’re right - it’s the in between riots use of the militarized police forces that bother me.

It's like a firearm, if properly used it is a valuable tool, yet it can be misused for horrific results.

5 posted on 08/25/2014 3:33:22 PM PDT by oldbrowser (We have a rogue government in Washington)
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To: WayneS

Nor I


6 posted on 08/25/2014 3:44:22 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s ((If you can remember the 60s.....you weren't really there)
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7 posted on 08/25/2014 4:04:36 PM PDT by jazusamo (Sometimes I think that this is an era when sanity has become controversial: Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

How many killers ARE NOT.... DEMOCRATS.?..

any.. A FEW... HOW MANY?


8 posted on 08/25/2014 5:11:52 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: PeteB570

...and the no knock, full-on battle-dress SWAT raids to serve warrants for non-violent offenses.


9 posted on 08/26/2014 6:52:10 AM PDT by WayneS (Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.)
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