Posted on 08/22/2014 7:33:22 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
In the long term any country’s demographic trajectory is ultimately reliant on its Total Fertility Rate (TFR) the number of children born to the average woman. Mortality matters, but if a country has a super low TFR it can have the best healthcare in the entire world and nothing will prevent its population from collapsing. Anyone who doubts this should consider the example of Japan, which boasts extremely high life expectancy but which is nonetheless caught in a demographic “death spiral.” Despite it’s excellent healthcare and the outstanding health of its people, Japan’s TFR has been so low for so long that the number of births is in unavoidable decline. Unless there is a substantial change in its fertility patterns, Japan’s population will shrink indefinitely.
That might sound like a bit of a digression, but I’m astounded at the number of people who respond to the articles I’ve written on Russian demography with arguments that place an extremely high emphasis on average life expectancy and the functioning of the healthcare system (two areas in which Russia fares rather poorly). It is possible of course for a country to have such a low level of life expectancy and such a high level of mortality that they conspire to outweigh its TFR, but in order for this to be the case people would, on average, have to be dying before they have children. I don’t think there’s a single country in the world where that is actually the case, and it is certainly not the case in Russia, where men live until 65 and women life until about 74 (that is, several decades after they have left reproductive age).
(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...
Hey Vlad, want some Mexicans?
If I’m reading this correctly, Russian ‘Mail Order Brides’ just became more expensive...?
*SMIRK*
How many of those babies are named Mohammed?
And don’t they just treat abortion as a regular form of birth control with some women having 20-30 or more abortions in their lifetime?
Your reading comprehension is poor. The article clearly states, “where men live until 65 and women life until about 74”.
Another item that doesn't show up in the Official US inflation statistics.
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