Skip to comments.US Q4 GDP Revised Down To 2.4% From 3.2% On Lower Consumer Spending
Posted on 02/28/2014 6:54:05 AM PST by SeekAndFind
The U.S. economy grew at a 2.4 percent annualized rate in the fourth quarter, the Commerce Department said Friday, revising down its initial estimate of a 3.2 percent increase in the nation's economic performance.
The drop in fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth was largely due to a smaller-than-expected boost from Americans buying bit-ticket items such as autos.
Consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the U.S. economy, slowed to a 2.6 percent rise from 3.3 percent in the third quarter. Export, inventory accumulation and government spending also contributed to the downward revision in GDP.
Capital Economics' Paul Ashworth now expects the first-quarter 2014 GDP growth to be close to 2.0 percent. "Once the weather effects begin to unwind in the second quarter, however, we would anticipate a pick-up in GDP growth to nearer 3 percent over the remaining three quarters of this year," Ashworth said in a note.
The U.S. Federal Reserve, which has been trimming the amount of money it is injecting into the economy through monthly bond purchases, views the recent soft patch as a cold weather-related temporary phase. Fed Chair Janet Yellen told lawmakers Thursday that it will take a "significant" change in the outlook for the economy to prompt the central bank to consider pausing or changing the pace of tapering.
(Excerpt) Read more at ibtimes.com ...
Isn’t that a fairly large difference for a GDP revision?
When is the last time they raised a previous estimate after the period was over?
Yep, that darn weather will get you every time. Sure has been a lot of weather influenced economics since 2008.
RE: Isnt that a fairly large difference for a GDP revision?
Yes, HUGE, HUGE difference. This simply means the economy has been very sluggish throughout 2013.
They forgot to mention in the headline that this was “unexpected.”
That’s off the mark by trillions of GDP right?
Don’t remember the weather being all that terrible in Q4...
I heard an interesting factoid yesterday...
People getting tax refunds this year plan to use the money to pay on existing loans or credit card bills.
I found that interesting in that they are NOT doing what they normally do with the ‘extra’ windfall from the government, which is spend it on consumer goods. So the money won’t be having any influence on the economy.
It also seems to me to indicate a real lack of confidence.
This risk was known in October. Many thought GDP would land at 2% or below for Q4 yet the regime published 3.2%.
RE: Thats off the mark by trillions of GDP right?
Off the top of my head, here’s how I would calculate it roughly ( and economists out there can correct me if I am wrong ).
Let’s say 2012 GDP was $15 Trillion. Forbes tells us that From the fourth quarter of 2012 to the fourth quarter of 2013 real GDP gained 2.5%.
2.5% of $15 trillion is $0.375 trillion or $375 Billion dollars.
So no, it is off the mark by just a few hundred billion dollars. That’s still a huge amount of money. We haven’t been thinking in terms of Billions for the longest time.
Excessive credit card purchasing is creating a false economic illusion. The banking cartels are lining their pockets with 12-18% interest (not to mention the up-front 2-4% merchant fee) while the economic viability of the cash-strapped borrower is diminishing.
By DEFUNDING socialist collectives, you are FUNDING/strengthening your own position/survival.
IDP - Individual’s Defended Position / FReedom BUMP!
In my humble opinion, looking at the data, the only thing helping the economy if fracking. There is really nothing else of new value being added to productivity...
They danced all over the media when that 3.2 was announced. Now you won't hear a peep..................
I did my taxes last night. My refund?
To celebrate, I guess I’ll buy a meal at Hardee’s.............
Don’t forget the economic effect of Easter being early or late.
And Good Friday falling on a Friday again screwing everything up.
We’re Going Galt on Barry at an accelerating rate.
Yep. I wonder what influence Punxsutawney Phil might have as well?
also- 3.2% to 2.4%— exactly 25% DIFFERENCE
This is a HUGE mistake- done on purpose-
THE MSM?... WILL NEVER cover this
Yet the stock market is soaring, the S&P closing at new record highs almost every day, etc.
Something is not right with this picture.
Especially in light of the accepted 2+% inflation rate.
Realistically, there is really no place else for the money to go.
This is probably the biggest Ponzi-like scam ever. The market, in parlous times, is a recognzed “greater fool than I” mechanism. But beyond that, how many little guys are partaking of this market in the spectacular manner that many perceive the market is engendering?
The simple fact of the matter is, this bull is being ridden by the market elites. It’s another vehicle for stripping wealth from middle America.
Since there is, fundamentally, nothing (or very little) to support the market’s meteoric rise, when the inevitable correction makes itself felt, these elites will have long since liquidated their positions, leaving it to the “greater fools” to pick up the pieces.
Rest assured, when this happens, many other segments of the economy will be teetering on the brink, so it behooves us all to remain vigilant and know exactly what is going on.
That one more reason (among many) why this board is so important.