Posted on 11/23/2013 7:25:46 AM PST by IbJensen
China just dropped an absolute bombshell, but it was almost entirely ignored by the mainstream media in the United States.
The central bank of China has decided that it is no longer in Chinas favor to accumulate foreign-exchange reserves. During the third quarter of 2013, Chinas foreign-exchange reserves were valued at approximately $3.66 trillion. And of course the biggest chunk of that was made up of U.S. dollars.
For years, China has been accumulating dollars and working hard to keep the value of the dollar up and the value of the yuan down. One of the goals has been to make Chinese products less expensive in the international marketplace. But now China has announced that the time has come for it to stop stockpiling U.S. dollars. And if that does indeed turn out to be the case, than many U.S. analysts are suggesting that China could also soon stop buying any more U.S. debt. Needless to say, all of this would be very bad for the United States.
For years, China has been systematically propping up the value of the U.S. dollar and keeping the value of the yuan artificially low. This has resulted in a massive flood of super cheap products from across the Pacific that U.S. consumers have been eagerly gobbling up.
For example, have you ever gone into a dollar store and wondered how anyone could possibly make a profit by making those products and selling them for just one dollar?
Well, the truth is that when you flip those products over you will find that almost all of them have been made outside of the United States. In fact, the words made in China are probably the most common words in your entire household if you are anything like the typical American.
Thanks to the massively unbalanced trade that we have had with China, tens of thousands of our businesses, millions of our jobs and trillions of our dollars have left this country and gone over to China.
And now China has apparently decided that there is not much gutting of our economy left to do and that it is time to let the dollar collapse. As I mentioned above, China has announced that it is going to stop stockpiling foreign-exchange reserves
The Peoples Bank of China said the country does not benefit any more from increases in its foreign-currency holdings, adding to signs policy makers will rein in dollar purchases that limit the yuans appreciation.
Its no longer in Chinas favor to accumulate foreign-exchange reserves, Yi Gang, a deputy governor at the central bank, said in a speech organized by China Economists 50 Forum at Tsinghua University yesterday. The monetary authority will basically end normal intervention in the currency market and broaden the yuans daily trading range, Governor Zhou Xiaochuan wrote in an article in a guidebook explaining reforms outlined last week following a Communist Party meeting. Neither Yi nor Zhou gave a timeframe for any changes.
It isnt going to happen overnight, but the value of the U.S. dollar is going to start to go down, and all of that cheap stuff that you are used to buying at Wal-Mart and the dollar store is going to become a lot more expensive.
But of even more importance is what this latest move by China could mean for U.S. government debt. As most Americans have heard, we are heavily dependent on foreign nations such as China lending us money. Right now, China owns nearly 1.3 trillion dollars of our debt. Unfortunately, as CNBC is noting, if China is going to quit stockpiling our dollars than it is likely that they will stop stockpiling our debt as well
Analysts see this as the PBoC hinting that it will let its currency fluctuate, without intervention, thus negating the need for holding large reserves of the dollar. And if the dollar is no longer needed, then it could look to curb its purchases of dollar-denominated assets like U.S. Treasurys.
If they are looking to reduce these purchases going forward then, yes, youd have to look at who the marginal buyer would be, Richard McGuire, a senior rate strategist at Rabobank told CNBC in an interview.
Together, with the Federal Reserve tapering its bond purchases, it has the potential to add to the bearish long-term outlook on U.S. Treasurys.
So who is going to buy all of our debt?
That is a very good question.
If the Federal Reserve starts tapering bond purchases and China quits buying our debt, who is going to fill the void?
If there is significantly less demand for government bonds, that will cause interest rates to rise dramatically. And if interest rates rise dramatically from where they are now, that will set off the kind of nightmare scenario that I keep talking about.
In a previous article entitled How China Can Cause The Death Of The Dollar And The Entire U.S. Financial System, I described how China could single-handedly cause immense devastation to the U.S. economy.
China accounts for more global trade that anyone else does, and they also own more of our debt than any other nation does. If China starts dumping our dollars and our debt, much of the rest of the planet would likely follow suit and we would be in for a world of hurt.
And just this week there was another major announcement which indicates that China is getting ready to make a major move against the U.S. dollar. According to Reuters, crude oil futures may soon be pricedin yuan on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) may price its crude oil futures contract in yuan and use medium sour crude as its benchmark, its chairman said on Thursday, adding that the bourse is speeding up preparatory work to secure regulatory approvals.
China, which overtook the United States as the worlds top oil importer in September, hopes the contract will become a benchmark in Asia and has said it would allow foreign investors to trade in the contract without setting up a local subsidiary.
If that actually happens, that will be absolutely huge.
China is the number one importer of oil in the world, and it was only a matter of time before they started to openly challenge the petrodollar.
But even I didnt think that we would see anything like this so quickly.
The world is changing, and most Americans have absolutely no idea what this is going to mean for them. As demand for the U.S. dollar and U.S. debt goes down, the things that we buy at the store will cost a lot more, our standard of living will go down and it will become a lot more expensive for everyone (including the U.S. government) to borrow money.
Unfortunately, there isnt much that can be done about any of this at this point. When it comes to economics, China has been playing chess while the United States has been playing checkers. And now decades of very, very foolish decisions are starting to catch up with us.
The false prosperity that most Americans are enjoying today will soon start disappearing, and most of them will have no idea why it is happening.
The years ahead are going to be very challenging, and so I hope that you are getting ready for them.
Crime is rampant, negro teenagers are sneaking up behind whites and coldcocking them with a knockout punch, a traitorous liar is president, the entire government is loaded with perverts, Congress keeps rolling out legislation upon legislation, our military has been deliberately ruined and nobody seems to be doing anything about this mess!
If only a Senator or a Congressman would do the following three things after the impeachment and removal of Barry we might survive.
(1) a complete overhaul of the foreign aid policy.
(2) change the tax system to a low flat tax for businesses and individuals.
(3) charge a penalty in the form of a tax for companies that outsource jobs overseas. It wont fix things overnight, but those steps would create a turn around in our economy.
They finally figured out that the US is intentionally driving down the value of its own currency?
Stockpiling gold would have made a lot more sense.
Margaret Thatcher - 'The trouble with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money'.
The BRICS are going hard to divorce themselves from the dollar. Once they have, the reserve currency status of the dollar will be broken and that’s when the hyperinflation we’ve been expecting from “QE to infinity!” kicks in. The hyperinflation will start when confidence in holding your wealth in dollars collapses and the preference cascade for something else rolls across the globe.
I’ve been wondering for years what the hell China has been waiting for.
It’s like they’ve been holding a gun at our head all this time, and all we do is reach out and try helping them to pull the trigger.
However I add that the great thing about Red China's actions against us is that it will cause some inconvenience for us;
but it will result in REVOLUTION for them as tens of millions more citizens become unemployed and even more angry about total corruption in the ruling party.
I guess they’re doing their own form of quantative easing.
The clowns in charge are making it like Monoply money.
Hmmm...I guess I should ask for gold jewelry for my birthday...lots of it
Your number 3 sounds like it was copied straight out of the liberal playbook.
We're quickly moving into what will be referred to as a "calorie economy." Food will become very valuable. Business, because of obomacare (the straw that broke Americas back), are not going to survive. There won't be anyone left to bake the bread.
Rev.6:6 - And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, "A measure of wheat for a penny, and three measures of barley for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine."
(And I heard a voice from among the four living beings say, "A loaf of wheat bread or three loaves of barley will cost a day's pay. And don't waste the olive oil and wine.")
On similar threads I have suggested that U.S. exports pay for imports. It is surprising how many found this a really difficult concept so no doubt these same ones will find your article equally so.
My fellow Americans:
I know I am not saying what a majority of you are wanting right now, but I think it is time to bring back American manufacturing right here.
To America. Now.
We could help them in their goal to not stockpile dollars. Raise the import tariffs, put Americans back to work, restore American industry, make America less dependent on foreign countries. And China with reduced sales to the U.S. will quickly use it's foreign exchange reserves to feed it's people.
Enacting tariffs actually takes balls, something the Free Trader lacks.
Won't work. The U.S. has the highest corporate taxes in the world. The U.S. has out of control labor costs. The U.S. has obomacare, a massive new tax no one can afford to pay and still stay in business. The public schools are producing graduates who can't even read (but they can put a condom on a banana at record speed!).
Manufacturing would have to have a death wish to come back here. In order to get them back, Washington would have to be run by real conservatives for at least a generation.
And America will be destroyed. Their lifetime goals will have been accomplished. Praise Allah! Praise George Jackson and the Black Guerrilla Family!
We have reached the tipping point and the point of no return. We must prepare for what is coming. Good luck and God help us.
Sorry all those excuses, have been used up.
It is now time to bring back manufacturing to America.
Now. To repeat: now.
This needs law, behind it. America’s exporters have exported America’s manufacturing.
Enough. Bring back jobs. Now.
— we have until the fall of 2015
My projection also +\- 6 mo.
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