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McAuliffe Up By 4 Points, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds (CUCCINELLI ROARING BACK!!!)
Quinnipiac Poll ^ | 30 October 2013 | Quinnipiac University

Posted on 10/30/2013 6:10:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA

The Virginia governor's race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 - 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.

Today's survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.

In the three-way matchup, 4 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 7 percent of those who name a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind in the next six days.

McAuliffe leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 - 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters go to McAuliffe 46 - 31 percent, with 16 percent for Sarvis.

Women back the Democrat 50 - 37 percent, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Men go to Cuccinelli 45 - 39 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.

"State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe's heels as the race to be Virginia's next governor enters the final week of the campaign," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters."

"With the race this close, the final decision by the roughly one in 10 voters who are supporting Libertarian Robert Sarvis has become even more critical. Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils. Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed.

"Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can't run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis' voters matter greatly since the libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall."


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: cuccinelli; elections; mcauliffe; mcawful; virginia
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Keep waking up, Old Dominion! Let's throw McAwful into the Potomac!
1 posted on 10/30/2013 6:10:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: ScottinVA

Obamacare, too bad we dont have another week.


2 posted on 10/30/2013 6:12:31 AM PDT by sickoflibs (To GOP : Any path to US Citizenship IS putting them ahead in line. Stop lying about your position)
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To: ScottinVA; All

Will the TEA Party be able to field enough candidates who can “Primary-Out” the Democrats and the Democrat-supportive RINO politicians in the up-coming 2014 Election, and thus reduce the crippling Democrat Blight that has plagued our Republic for the past 5 years?


3 posted on 10/30/2013 6:13:46 AM PDT by Graewoulf (Traitor John Roberts' Marxist Obama'care' Insurance violates U.S. Constitution AND Anti-Trust Law.)
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To: All
HI THERE, VA VOTERS, did you know Freddie Mac is located in (drum roll, please) McLean, Virginia (Terry's hometown)?

Fannie Mae is located in Wash, DC.....and both are very troubling quasi govt agencies subsidized and bailed out by taxpayers.

============================================

SALIENT POINTS

<><> A recent Inspector General's report claims Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are masking billions of dollars in losses.

<><>Fannie/Freddie are centerpieces of the criminal enterprise called the Democrat Party-—appointed Dem cronies and collaborators loot the organization, get cushy jobs, bonuses, etc. Fannie Mae’s political machine dispenses campaign contributions, jobs to friends and relatives of legislators, hires armies of lobbyists (even paying lobbyists not to lobby against it), pays academics who wrote papers validating the sub-prime home ownership mania, and spreads “charitable” contributions to housing advocates across the congressional map.

In sum, Fannie Mae serves as an industrial-sized patronage factory — sharing profits with political allies, spreading taxpayer funds to voting blocs——like ethnic groups-——and doling out jobs to left-wing academics, Washington has-beens and back-scratching cronies.

<><> THIS IS AN OFFSHORE WIRE TRANSFER ALERT--POLS READY TO CASH-IN BIGTIME: Obama, himself, says it’s time to ‘turn the page’ on Fannie and Freddie
MarketWatch | 7/24/13 | FR Posted by illiac

Obama's July speech on the US economy spelled out the beginning of the end for federally-controlled mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. “We’ll work with both parties to turn the page on Fannie and Freddie, and build a housing finance system that’s rock-solid for future generations,” Obama said, according to a copy of his prepared remarks.

The House Financial Services Committee approved a bill in July that would get rid of the firms in five years, to be replaced by a National Mortgage Market Utility to help "securitize" mortgages. (Excerpt) more at blogs.marketwatch.com

NOTE WELL WHAT OBAMA "FORGOT" TO MENTION Page A15 WSJ report entitled “Treasury’s Fannie Mae Heist“.

WSJ excerpt: The Federal government is seizing the substantial profits of the government-chartered mortgage firms, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taking for itself the property and potential gains of private investors the government induced to help prop up these companies. This conduct is intolerable.” A scathing article follows--a must read.

===============================================

A HOLDER F/M COVER-UP? for massive sub-prime mtge fraud perpetrated by the Congressional Hispanic Caucus (as vote-crazed Obama/Dems suck-up for latino votes).

4 posted on 10/30/2013 6:15:29 AM PDT by Liz
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To: ScottinVA

Sarvis need to (if he can but love of Virginia before his ego)to drop out.......tell his supporters to vote for Ken Cuccinelli...........I can pray this will happen. God bless Pro Life candidates and may the find favor with God and the voters.


5 posted on 10/30/2013 6:15:39 AM PDT by blueyon (The U. S. Constitution - read it and weep)
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To: ScottinVA

OMG Pissy Matthews will maybe have an on-air stroke today.


6 posted on 10/30/2013 6:16:04 AM PDT by CMailBag
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To: ScottinVA
How is that McAuliffe even has a chance?

Washington, Jefferson and Madison must be kicking to get out of their graves to box the ears of Virginians who are even contemplating voting for the RAT turd.

7 posted on 10/30/2013 6:17:13 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: sickoflibs
Obamacare, too bad we dont have another week.

Not sure that's necessary... it's hot in the news now. The Obamacare lies are finally drawing blood from McAuliffe now, and Cuccinelli's emphasis in the closing days has been Obamacare and his having been the very first state AG to take a stand against it. I'm hoping this will be close enough that GOP and Tea Party turnout will possibly swing it for the Cuccinelli.

8 posted on 10/30/2013 6:17:37 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

I keep telling everyone that this race is not over by a long shot. Turnout is key, and the critical question is whether the Obama youths and other voters are going to show up at the polls.


9 posted on 10/30/2013 6:22:17 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: ScottinVA

I’m sure the “Libertarian” candidate is getting mucho DemWit $$$, as without him McAwful most likely cannot prevail.


10 posted on 10/30/2013 6:23:54 AM PDT by FiddlePig
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To: ScottinVA

I have been praying for Ken much of this morning. Gave a donation for his election, but he needs more than money. He needs to be bathed in supplications to the Lord for strength and wisdom.

I also pray his opponents fail.


11 posted on 10/30/2013 6:23:56 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: All

I think McCauliffe is tanking because of the news that Obama is coming to campaign for him. The stench of Obamacare is hitting McCauliffe.

Look for Obama to have “scheduling difficulties” and won’t be able to campaign for McCauliffe after all. The Clintons will make a quiet phone call to the White House.


12 posted on 10/30/2013 6:25:11 AM PDT by ClarenceThomasfan (My dream ticket is Cruz/Rubio 2016)
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To: ScottinVA

Libertarian candidate is hurting Cuccinelli.

I think the Libertarians should give Cucc credit for taking the ObamaCare law to court.


13 posted on 10/30/2013 6:25:14 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: xzins
I think the Libertarians should give Cucc credit for taking the ObamaCare law to court.

Hell yes!

Cuccinelli is far more libertarian in his overall ideology than the income tax-, mileage tax-, abortion-loving, enviro-whacko Sarvis.

14 posted on 10/30/2013 6:27:23 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Gave a donation for his election, but he needs more than money. He needs to be bathed in supplications to the Lord for strength and wisdom.

Yep... been praying and distributing flyers throughout southern Gloucester County for the past few days.

We can NOT have McAuliffe sully this state.

15 posted on 10/30/2013 6:29:10 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

Bottom line - GO VOTE, and don’t listen to the polls.

BTW, Rasmussen called me last night about the race. I voted straight Cuccinnelli.


16 posted on 10/30/2013 6:31:09 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: Texas Eagle
Washington, Jefferson and Madison must be kicking to get out of their graves to box the ears of Virginians who are even contemplating voting for the RAT turd.

I'm sure that if we exhumed the Founding Fathers, wrapped them in copper wire and surrounded them with magnets and reburied them, their spinning in their graves would generate more than enough electricity to make up for what we've lost through Obama's war on coal.

17 posted on 10/30/2013 6:32:49 AM PDT by Maceman (Just say "NO" to tyranny.)
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To: Texas Eagle
Let's face it, If Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today, they would take one look at Washington District of Corruption and start turning over in their graves.
18 posted on 10/30/2013 6:33:08 AM PDT by Tupelo ( Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. An old Republican Tradition.)
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To: ScottinVA

When is the election?


19 posted on 10/30/2013 6:33:29 AM PDT by Pit1 (Obama is the big pile in the road.)
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To: Pit1
When is the election?

This coming Tuesday.

20 posted on 10/30/2013 6:34:25 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

But it’s Quinnipiac. If they published a prediction that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow, I’d want to double-check it myself rather than take their word for it.


21 posted on 10/30/2013 6:34:35 AM PDT by kevkrom (It's not "immigration reform", it's an "amnesty bill". Take back the language!)
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To: mrs9x

” the critical question is whether the Obama youths and other voters are going to show up at the polls”

along with the illegal aliens, the felons, and the dead.


22 posted on 10/30/2013 6:34:53 AM PDT by tgusa (gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger .......)
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To: mrs9x

Ah... so Ras will be out with their attempt at buzzkill later today then...


23 posted on 10/30/2013 6:35:18 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA
Quinnapiac is deeply partisan, therefore, consider motivations. Is this merely to fire up the liberal base?

This is an outlier poll. I would LOVE to believe it accurate, but so far, it's outlier.

24 posted on 10/30/2013 6:35:48 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Early 2009 to 7/21/2013 - RIP my little girl Cathy. You were the best cat ever. You will be missed.)
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To: ScottinVA

A surge I can get behind.

COAL WORKERS UNITE!!! RATS want you on food stamps. They want us ALL on food stamps.


25 posted on 10/30/2013 6:36:40 AM PDT by SC_Pete
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To: kevkrom
But it’s Quinnipiac. If they published a prediction that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow

That can pretty much be said about any poll. Quin hasn't seen wild swings like WaPo and Rasmussen... it's been in the 3-9 - point range the whole time.

26 posted on 10/30/2013 6:36:52 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: Tupelo
If Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today

They'd smack us silly for not marching on Washington and tarring/feathering pretty much the whole lot of them decades ago.

27 posted on 10/30/2013 6:37:03 AM PDT by kevkrom (It's not "immigration reform", it's an "amnesty bill". Take back the language!)
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To: FiddlePig

"I’m sure the “Libertarian” candidate is getting mucho DemWit $$$, as without him McAwful most likely cannot prevail."

Rand Paul needs to keep up the support for Cuccinelli here. Sure, Libertarians won't agree with everything Ken believes, but McAuliffe is an all-out statist train wreck.

(btw, leftist Rachel Maddow is trying to distract Virginians from Paul's message by running "plagiarism" claims. Yes, that would be the same Rachel Maddow that supported plagiarist Barack Obama and fellow plagiarist Joe Biden....)

28 posted on 10/30/2013 6:37:21 AM PDT by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: FiddlePig
I’m sure the “Libertarian” candidate is getting mucho DemWit $$$, as without him McAwful most likely cannot prevail.

It's a new democrat tactic, they successfully used it in several house elections in 2012. They run a third party candidate claiming to be libertarian or tea party, with enough funding to make some waves and get some exposure (funded by a Soros front group posing as Libertarian/Tea Party.) The candidate then peals 5%-7% percent from the Republican which, unless the race is blowout, ensures a democrat win.

29 posted on 10/30/2013 6:37:53 AM PDT by apillar
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To: Lazamataz
This is an outlier poll. I would LOVE to believe it accurate, but so far, it's outlier.

Hard to say, with the constant drumbeat of negative Obamacare stories saturating the airwaves. Quinnipiac has been in a tight range (3-9 pts) the whole campaign.

30 posted on 10/30/2013 6:38:33 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

I voted absentee, as I’m at sea. I suspect the absentee vote will be heavily R. Mine was.


31 posted on 10/30/2013 6:38:46 AM PDT by tgusa (gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger .......)
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To: FiddlePig

A FReeper posted the other day that most of Sarvis $$ is coming from Dim operatives. I guess this could be verified on OpenSecrets, etc. I don’t doubt it, though.


32 posted on 10/30/2013 6:39:30 AM PDT by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: Tupelo
Let's face it, If Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today, they would take one look at Washington District of Corruption and start turning over in their graves.

Uhhhhhhh....if Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today, why would they be in.......never mind.

33 posted on 10/30/2013 6:40:27 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: ScottinVA

Polling is an inexact science at best, and it’s hard to know who to trust. That said, Quinnipiac and Public Policy Polling are two of the least trustworthy, as their liberal biases skew their samples and are generally used to create the result rather than measure it.

Rasmussen is generally the most reliable, but in the end, it all comes down to who has the most accurate likely voter model, and no one knows that until after the election.


34 posted on 10/30/2013 6:40:55 AM PDT by kevkrom (It's not "immigration reform", it's an "amnesty bill". Take back the language!)
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To: ScottinVA

I wish Cooch would capitalize on this by putting up an ad that spells out all of obama’s lies and says that he knew from the beginning that obamacare was bad for America, and bad wrong for VA and that’s why he was the FIRST Attorney General to challenge it in court!


35 posted on 10/30/2013 6:42:50 AM PDT by pgkdan
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To: kevkrom

I could not disagree more about Rassmussen Reports. Scott Rassmussen has left the organization, and not on particularly good terms. Nate Silver, who like it or not has been dead on about polling issues, cited Rassmussen and PPP as polling firms to be ignored.


36 posted on 10/30/2013 6:44:32 AM PDT by hcmama
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To: Texas Eagle

I don’t think people know McAuliffe and the Clintons


37 posted on 10/30/2013 6:47:42 AM PDT by stanne
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To: mrs9x
Turnout is key, and the critical question is whether the Obama youths and other voters are going to show up at the polls.

Or whether the IRS decides to target "specific groups."

The whole damn system is corrupt, and it's not going to change.

38 posted on 10/30/2013 6:50:56 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: ScottinVA
Please, everybody in VA--vote for Cuchinelli and take someone to the polls with you.

Everybody who can send a donation today, so he can run some good ads. I sent what I could a couple days ago.

I cannot conceive of people being stupid enough to vote for McAwful. He is toxic. Like letting a fox into your henhouse.

vaudine

39 posted on 10/30/2013 6:51:56 AM PDT by vaudine
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To: stanne

If the sheeple of Virginia don’t know the Cintonovs and McAuliffich, then they deserve him.


40 posted on 10/30/2013 6:52:31 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: kevkrom
Rasmussen is generally the most reliable, but in the end, it all comes down to who has the most accurate likely voter model, and no one knows that until after the election.

Rasmussen was blown out of the water in 2012. At one time, they had credibility, but seem to be badly skewed in their sampling methodologies.

41 posted on 10/30/2013 6:53:24 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: Texas Eagle

I just don’t think this group does ‘voting’


42 posted on 10/30/2013 6:53:39 AM PDT by stanne
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To: kevkrom

It’s miraculous that Quinnipiac has McAuliffe this low.


43 posted on 10/30/2013 6:54:23 AM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: ScottinVA

Good luck Scott. I am surely praying for you, Cucc, and the Great State of Virginia. It will truly b a stake thru my heart if MacAuliffe wins.


44 posted on 10/30/2013 6:54:35 AM PDT by yellowdoghunter (Welcome to Obamastan!)
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To: ScottinVA

I had to laugh this morning, because the Virginian Pilot had a poll with McAwful up double digits on the breaking news. I put link to this poll in comments and almost immediately, they took the article down and replaced it with this one.

Not sure if they were afraid that showing him up double digits might actually depress the vote for McAwful or not. It wouldn’t shock me if that is why they took it down.


45 posted on 10/30/2013 6:54:39 AM PDT by republicangel
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To: kevkrom

The good news is only 62% of Sarvis voters are definetly voting for him with 18% likely to change their mind.


46 posted on 10/30/2013 6:58:08 AM PDT by tn_cruzin
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To: ScottinVA

Quinnipac polls always “lean” left


47 posted on 10/30/2013 7:00:02 AM PDT by capt B
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To: ScottinVA

Quinnipiac


48 posted on 10/30/2013 7:00:49 AM PDT by capt B
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To: ScottinVA

When is this damned election?


49 posted on 10/30/2013 7:02:31 AM PDT by zerosix (Native Sunflower)
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To: ScottinVA

Good news for Virginia if the trend continues.


50 posted on 10/30/2013 7:05:03 AM PDT by indthkr
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