Skip to comments.McAuliffe Up By 4 Points, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds (CUCCINELLI ROARING BACK!!!)
Posted on 10/30/2013 6:10:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA
The Virginia governor's race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 - 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.
Today's survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.
In the three-way matchup, 4 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 7 percent of those who name a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind in the next six days.
McAuliffe leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 - 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters go to McAuliffe 46 - 31 percent, with 16 percent for Sarvis.
Women back the Democrat 50 - 37 percent, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Men go to Cuccinelli 45 - 39 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.
"State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe's heels as the race to be Virginia's next governor enters the final week of the campaign," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters."
"With the race this close, the final decision by the roughly one in 10 voters who are supporting Libertarian Robert Sarvis has become even more critical. Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils. Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed.
"Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can't run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis' voters matter greatly since the libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall."
Obamacare, too bad we dont have another week.
Will the TEA Party be able to field enough candidates who can Primary-Out the Democrats and the Democrat-supportive RINO politicians in the up-coming 2014 Election, and thus reduce the crippling Democrat Blight that has plagued our Republic for the past 5 years?
Fannie Mae is located in Wash, DC.....and both are very troubling quasi govt agencies subsidized and bailed out by taxpayers.
<><> A recent Inspector General's report claims Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are masking billions of dollars in losses.
<><>Fannie/Freddie are centerpieces of the criminal enterprise called the Democrat Party-appointed Dem cronies and collaborators loot the organization, get cushy jobs, bonuses, etc. Fannie Maes political machine dispenses campaign contributions, jobs to friends and relatives of legislators, hires armies of lobbyists (even paying lobbyists not to lobby against it), pays academics who wrote papers validating the sub-prime home ownership mania, and spreads charitable contributions to housing advocates across the congressional map.
In sum, Fannie Mae serves as an industrial-sized patronage factory sharing profits with political allies, spreading taxpayer funds to voting blocslike ethnic groups-and doling out jobs to left-wing academics, Washington has-beens and back-scratching cronies.
<><> THIS IS AN OFFSHORE WIRE TRANSFER ALERT--POLS READY TO CASH-IN BIGTIME: Obama, himself, says its time to turn the page on Fannie and Freddie
MarketWatch | 7/24/13 | FR Posted by illiac
Obama's July speech on the US economy spelled out the beginning of the end for federally-controlled mortgage buyers Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Well work with both parties to turn the page on Fannie and Freddie, and build a housing finance system thats rock-solid for future generations, Obama said, according to a copy of his prepared remarks.
The House Financial Services Committee approved a bill in July that would get rid of the firms in five years, to be replaced by a National Mortgage Market Utility to help "securitize" mortgages. (Excerpt) more at blogs.marketwatch.com
NOTE WELL WHAT OBAMA "FORGOT" TO MENTION Page A15 WSJ report entitled Treasurys Fannie Mae Heist.
WSJ excerpt: The Federal government is seizing the substantial profits of the government-chartered mortgage firms, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, taking for itself the property and potential gains of private investors the government induced to help prop up these companies. This conduct is intolerable. A scathing article follows--a must read.
A HOLDER F/M COVER-UP? for massive sub-prime mtge fraud perpetrated by the Congressional Hispanic Caucus (as vote-crazed Obama/Dems suck-up for latino votes).
Sarvis need to (if he can but love of Virginia before his ego)to drop out.......tell his supporters to vote for Ken Cuccinelli...........I can pray this will happen. God bless Pro Life candidates and may the find favor with God and the voters.
OMG Pissy Matthews will maybe have an on-air stroke today.
Washington, Jefferson and Madison must be kicking to get out of their graves to box the ears of Virginians who are even contemplating voting for the RAT turd.
Not sure that's necessary... it's hot in the news now. The Obamacare lies are finally drawing blood from McAuliffe now, and Cuccinelli's emphasis in the closing days has been Obamacare and his having been the very first state AG to take a stand against it. I'm hoping this will be close enough that GOP and Tea Party turnout will possibly swing it for the Cuccinelli.
I keep telling everyone that this race is not over by a long shot. Turnout is key, and the critical question is whether the Obama youths and other voters are going to show up at the polls.
I’m sure the “Libertarian” candidate is getting mucho DemWit $$$, as without him McAwful most likely cannot prevail.
I have been praying for Ken much of this morning. Gave a donation for his election, but he needs more than money. He needs to be bathed in supplications to the Lord for strength and wisdom.
I also pray his opponents fail.
I think McCauliffe is tanking because of the news that Obama is coming to campaign for him. The stench of Obamacare is hitting McCauliffe.
Look for Obama to have “scheduling difficulties” and won’t be able to campaign for McCauliffe after all. The Clintons will make a quiet phone call to the White House.
Libertarian candidate is hurting Cuccinelli.
I think the Libertarians should give Cucc credit for taking the ObamaCare law to court.
Cuccinelli is far more libertarian in his overall ideology than the income tax-, mileage tax-, abortion-loving, enviro-whacko Sarvis.
Yep... been praying and distributing flyers throughout southern Gloucester County for the past few days.
We can NOT have McAuliffe sully this state.
Bottom line - GO VOTE, and don’t listen to the polls.
BTW, Rasmussen called me last night about the race. I voted straight Cuccinnelli.
I'm sure that if we exhumed the Founding Fathers, wrapped them in copper wire and surrounded them with magnets and reburied them, their spinning in their graves would generate more than enough electricity to make up for what we've lost through Obama's war on coal.
When is the election?
This coming Tuesday.
But it’s Quinnipiac. If they published a prediction that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow, I’d want to double-check it myself rather than take their word for it.
” the critical question is whether the Obama youths and other voters are going to show up at the polls”
along with the illegal aliens, the felons, and the dead.
Ah... so Ras will be out with their attempt at buzzkill later today then...
This is an outlier poll. I would LOVE to believe it accurate, but so far, it's outlier.
A surge I can get behind.
COAL WORKERS UNITE!!! RATS want you on food stamps. They want us ALL on food stamps.
That can pretty much be said about any poll. Quin hasn't seen wild swings like WaPo and Rasmussen... it's been in the 3-9 - point range the whole time.
They'd smack us silly for not marching on Washington and tarring/feathering pretty much the whole lot of them decades ago.
"Im sure the Libertarian candidate is getting mucho DemWit $$$, as without him McAwful most likely cannot prevail."
Rand Paul needs to keep up the support for Cuccinelli here. Sure, Libertarians won't agree with everything Ken believes, but McAuliffe is an all-out statist train wreck.
(btw, leftist Rachel Maddow is trying to distract Virginians from Paul's message by running "plagiarism" claims. Yes, that would be the same Rachel Maddow that supported plagiarist Barack Obama and fellow plagiarist Joe Biden....)
It's a new democrat tactic, they successfully used it in several house elections in 2012. They run a third party candidate claiming to be libertarian or tea party, with enough funding to make some waves and get some exposure (funded by a Soros front group posing as Libertarian/Tea Party.) The candidate then peals 5%-7% percent from the Republican which, unless the race is blowout, ensures a democrat win.
Hard to say, with the constant drumbeat of negative Obamacare stories saturating the airwaves. Quinnipiac has been in a tight range (3-9 pts) the whole campaign.
I voted absentee, as I’m at sea. I suspect the absentee vote will be heavily R. Mine was.
A FReeper posted the other day that most of Sarvis $$ is coming from Dim operatives. I guess this could be verified on OpenSecrets, etc. I don’t doubt it, though.
Uhhhhhhh....if Washington, Jefferson and Madison were alive today, why would they be in.......never mind.
Polling is an inexact science at best, and it’s hard to know who to trust. That said, Quinnipiac and Public Policy Polling are two of the least trustworthy, as their liberal biases skew their samples and are generally used to create the result rather than measure it.
Rasmussen is generally the most reliable, but in the end, it all comes down to who has the most accurate likely voter model, and no one knows that until after the election.
I wish Cooch would capitalize on this by putting up an ad that spells out all of obama’s lies and says that he knew from the beginning that obamacare was bad for America, and bad wrong for VA and that’s why he was the FIRST Attorney General to challenge it in court!
I could not disagree more about Rassmussen Reports. Scott Rassmussen has left the organization, and not on particularly good terms. Nate Silver, who like it or not has been dead on about polling issues, cited Rassmussen and PPP as polling firms to be ignored.
I don’t think people know McAuliffe and the Clintons
Or whether the IRS decides to target "specific groups."
The whole damn system is corrupt, and it's not going to change.
Everybody who can send a donation today, so he can run some good ads. I sent what I could a couple days ago.
I cannot conceive of people being stupid enough to vote for McAwful. He is toxic. Like letting a fox into your henhouse.
If the sheeple of Virginia don’t know the Cintonovs and McAuliffich, then they deserve him.
Rasmussen was blown out of the water in 2012. At one time, they had credibility, but seem to be badly skewed in their sampling methodologies.
I just don’t think this group does ‘voting’
It’s miraculous that Quinnipiac has McAuliffe this low.
Good luck Scott. I am surely praying for you, Cucc, and the Great State of Virginia. It will truly b a stake thru my heart if MacAuliffe wins.
I had to laugh this morning, because the Virginian Pilot had a poll with McAwful up double digits on the breaking news. I put link to this poll in comments and almost immediately, they took the article down and replaced it with this one.
Not sure if they were afraid that showing him up double digits might actually depress the vote for McAwful or not. It wouldn’t shock me if that is why they took it down.
The good news is only 62% of Sarvis voters are definetly voting for him with 18% likely to change their mind.
Quinnipac polls always “lean” left
When is this damned election?
Good news for Virginia if the trend continues.